RoboScout Top MLB Prospects At Every Level On June 23, 2024

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It’s officially summer now. While some of you are watching the College World Series, Euro 2024, or even the Stanley Cup, RoboScout is busy in the lab calculating which prospects can help you in your dynasty league.

Let’s take a look at who is performing as of games through June 22.

As a reminder, the RoboScore is the value (0 to 100) assigned per level by RoboScout based on 2024 statistical performance and projecting fantasy value (without considering defensive position or ability). The RoboCast number is the RoboScore but with Statcast blended in and then transformed to the 0 to 100 scale.

Dominican Summer League Hitters (min 20 PA)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Jesus MadeMIL92100
2Jaset MartinezCIN9298
3Jose AndersonMIL9295
4Justin GonzalesBOS8194
5Saul GomezBAL8794
6Adriander MejiaBAL7993
7Yolfran CastilloTEX8092
8Luis PenaMIL9191
9Elvin GarciaBAL8090
10Juneiker CaceresCLE7990
11Estivel MorilloCLE9589
12Stiven MartinezBAL7788
13Yeiferth CastilloCLE7187
14Queni PinedaNYY7587
15Richard MaticNYY7687
16Jose FamiliaPHI7286
17Johan RodriguezCLE8886
18Kevin GarciaMIL10086
19Javier SanchezTEX8985
20Alirio FerrebusPHI6884

The DSL list is beginning to take shape as more Statcast data flows in and the small-sample variances shake out in exchange for a better representation of true talent.

Red Sox 1B Justin Gonzales is a 6-foot-5 behemoth showing excellent swing decisions, bat-to-ball and impact on contact. He’s a slugger who has drawn comparisons to Franmil Reyes. While his groundball rate is above 50%, Gonzales still has an above-average barrel rate for the level against both fastballs and non-fastballs.

Orioles catcher Adriander Mejia is another rising name. He has a swinging strike rate of 0% after 44 plate appearances. The trade-off–as is often the case–is that his exit velocities are not particularly noteworthy yet. Mejia’s 90th percentile exit velocity is under 100 mph. But as a 17-year old–and especially with the 80-grade contact ability thus far–there is a lot of upward room for growth, especially in the Orioles development machine.

I also buried the lede. Brewers infieler Jesus Made is the new No. 1 prospect in the DSL. A shortstop from the Dominican Republic who signed for just under $1 million, Made’s amateur scouting report described an above-average athlete with above-average raw power and plus speed. Made’s showing it so far with three home runs and six steals. RoboScout is almost as impressed with his contact ability and swing decisions, which are both plus for the level. Made is the clear top DSL target this week and is viable in leagues up to 150 prospects.

Reds outfielder Jaset Martinez is a slightly lesser target showing excellent swing decisions and solid contact. The Venezuelan doesn’t have the same exit velocities as the two Brewers in our top three. Keen observers will notice he ranked in the top three last week and his wRC+ has only crept higher since.

Complex League Hitters (min 50 PA)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Robert CalazCOL92100
2Eduardo TaitPHI10099
3Eduardo QuinteroLAD8697
4Yoeilin CespedesBOS8796
5Dameury PenaMIN8695
6Eric BitontiMIL8994
7Yeremi CabreraTEX9691
8Edgleen PerezNYY7790
9Starlyn CabaPHI7990
10Brailer GuerreroTBR7889
11Franklin AriasBOS7386
12Pablo GuerreroTEX8686
13Felnin CelestenSEA7784
14Jeremy RodriguezNYM8484
15Julio ZayasNYM7484
16Andruw MusettBOS6883
17Bryan AcunaMIN6983
18Aroon EscobarPHI7183
19Abrahan RamirezNYY7282
20Larry MartinezTBR7182
21Alexander AlbertusLAD6782
22Franyerber MontillaDET6781
23Demetrio CrisantesARI6480
24Welbyn FranciscaCLE6479
25Brian SanchezNYY6379

Last week, Phillies catcher Eduardo Tait ranked No. 23 with a 102 wRC+ and two home runs. Twenty-five plate appearances and three home runs later, the lefthanded hitter ranks second. As a 17-year old, he is one of the youngest hitters in the Complex League. As you would expect from his high ranking, he has the lowest strikeout rate, highest OPS and most home runs of any hitter under 18 years old. After this week, the 2023 DSL All-Star is immediately pushing top 125 depending on the appropriate catcher adjustment for your league settings.

With plus contact and chase rates, but with lower bat speed, look no further than Abrahan Ramirez. The Yankees prospect has a 196 wRC+ over 119 plate appearances. The Venezuelan infielder has below-average power, but an advanced hit tool and approach. That should leave to above-average on-base percentages throughout his career.

Complex League Pitchers (min 12 IP)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Trevor HarrisonTBR94100
2Samuel SanchezLAD9395
3Christian ZazuetaLAD8895
4Sean LinanLAD9194
5Jacob BresnahanCLE9893
6Hayden RobinsonMIL9493
7Keyner BenitezMIA10092
8Ovis PortesBOS8492
9Yeferson VargasBOS8391
10Rafael GonzalezHOU8490
11Jesus PalaciosBAL8790
12Nelfy YnfanteSTL9189
13Adrian HerreraCIN8188
14Alix HernandezSFG8288
15Luis ArestiguetaATL7885
16Adrian BohorquezMIN8384
17Sandy OzunaCOL8583
18Jordarlin MendozaNYY7483
19Jogly GarciaCLE7682
20Zander MuethPIT7382
21Juan NunezHOU7381
22Jeremy ReyesATL7881
23Joseph YabbourNYM7281
24Enniel CortezMIL8581
25Jesus CarreraHOU7580

Baseball America’s Josh Norris mentioned Rays RHP Trevor Harrison on the latest fantasy baseball podcast. Harrison continues to top the complex league table. Right now, his four-pitch arsenal is dominated by his 94 mph four-seamer, but the 6-foot-4 righthander turned in another seven-strikeout week with a start of 5+ innings.

Yeferson Vargas (Red Sox) has climbed the list. His three-pitch mix includes a 94 mph fastball, a low-80s bullet slider that gets over 30% whiffs and chases, and an 87 mph changeup with 10 inches of vertical separation from the fastball. He has an advanced pitching arsenal for a 19-year-old righthander.

Low-A Hitters (min 50 PA)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Lazaro MontesSEA100100
2Michael ArroyoSEA9397
3Colt EmersonSEA8895
4Kevin McGonigleDET7992
5Ralphy VelazquezCLE8190
6Jonny FarmeloSEA7889
7Josue De PaulaLAD7488
8Jeral PerezLAD7687
9Blake MitchellKCR7887
10Jaison ChourioCLE7587
11Jesus BaezNYM7685
12Zyhir HopeLAD6682
13Yophery RodriguezMIL7782
14Max ClarkDET6880
15Logan WagnerLAD6480
16Angel GenaoCLE6580
17Bryce EldridgeSFG6880
18Josue BricenoDET6479
19Leandro AriasBAL6078
20Aidan SmithSEA7378
21Tai PeeteSEA6877
22Thomas SosaBAL6376
23Alfredo DunoCIN7476
24Walker JenkinsMIN5675
25Aidan MillerPHI6275

Along with Leandro Arias, Baltimore’s Low-A Delmarva roster boasts two more of the youngest hitters in the Carolina League in Aron Estrada and Thomas Sosa. The latter hit a home run and stole three bases last week. Six weeks ago, Baseball America’s Geoff Pontes wrote that Sosa was an early 90th percentile exit velocity standout. At the time, Sosa struggled to elevate the ball and had a 38% strikeout rate along with an 85 wRC+. Fast forward to today and Sosa still has a top-10 90th percentile exit velocity for Low-A. Now, he has had a much more palatable 22% strikeout rate, a reduced groundball rate of 36% and a better-than-league-average chase rate since the story was published at the beginning of May. The toolsy, athletic lefthanded-hitting outfielder already showed a tantalizing power/speed blend. Now, he’s demonstrating fantastic in-season growth.

Last week, I compared the Statcast data of Michael Arroyo to Lazaro Montes to show how well Arroyo’s underlying metrics compared to the more well-known name. This week, I’ll compare Sosa with Ralphy Velazquez, the Guardians first baseman whose primary value is with the bat.

 Contact%90th EVChase%Barrel%Hard%xwOBAcon
Sosa72%107 mph26%16%42%.348
Velazquez73%106 mph25%18%41%.353

The data easily justifies that Sosa is a top 300 fantasy prospect.

Dodgers 3B Logan Wagner made the Hot Sheet last week, but he’s been doing it all season. Wagner now ranks in the top 15, ahead of Aidan Smith (Mariners), Max Clark (Tigers), and even Aidan Miller (Phillies). The 155 wRC+ as a 20-year-old is nice, but RoboScout really likes the underlying Statcast data. Wagner has a howitzer for an arm, above-average contact rate and a plus barrel rate, chase rate and 90th percentile exit velocity. The Dodgers’ prospect infield depth is crowded, but Wagner is in the same conversation as Jeral Perez and Alex Freeland as the most impressive Dodger infield pop-ups of 2024.

Low-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Matt WilkinsonCLE100100
2Jonah TongNYM9198
3Quinn MathewsSTL8596
4Santiago SuarezTBR8395
5Alejandro RosarioTEX8495
6Grant TaylorCHW7590
7George KlassenPHI7790
8Didier FuentesATL7788
9Jarlin SusanaWSN7386
10Eliazar DishmeyMIA7286
11Yujanyer HerreraMIL8286
12Kohl DrakeTEX8182
13Thomas WhiteMIA7081
14Gary Gill HillTBR7880
15Travis SykoraWSN7380
16Welinton HerreraCOL6880
17Mavis GravesPHI8280
18Jace KaminskaCOL7279
19Jose GonzalezTEX6978
20Noble MeyerMIA6578
21Luis SernaNYY7778
22Tyler GoughSEA6177
23Bishop LetsonMIL6477
24Isaiah LoweSDP6475
25Jedixson PaezBOS7575

Marlins RHP Eliazar Dishmey was a top name after the first weeks at the complex. Miami then promptly promoted him to Low-A. He has performed admirably in full-season ball on the strength of his flat mid-90s fastball and 80 mph slider. Dishmey threw five perfect innings on Thursday with six strikeouts. He’s now in the top 10.

Sean Linan doesn’t quite qualify for the Low-A list with just over eight innings, but the Dodgers righty is currently fourth on the Complex League RoboScout list. He has a 29% strikeout-minus-walk rate as a 19-year-old at Low-A Rancho Cucamonga. His low-release 91-92 mph fastballs generate over a foot of armside run and his high extension helps both play up even more–especially his four-seamer. Linan rounds up his starter’s pitch mix with a low-80s slider and low-80s changeup. Both generate above-average whiffs. He’s another intriguing Dodgers arm to keep an eye on as he accumulates innings.

Kohl Drake is another interesting name. The lefty has the highest strikeout rate among Low-A starting pitchers over the last six weeks with an electrifying 45% mark over 33 innings. Almost as impressively, he has walked fewer than six percent of the batters he’s faced and has a 0.27 ERA during that time. From a stuff metrics point of view, Drake’s six-pitch arsenal is solid but not eye-popping.

He has a 92 to 93 mph four-seamer albeit with impressive armside run, two effective secondaries in his 84 mph slider and 80 mph curveball, and a solid change-up. Although a bit older at 23 years old, the 6-foot-5-inch lefthander has the fourth-highest season strikeout-minus-walk rate among Low-A pitchers with a minimum of 40 innings since 2006. Incidentally, his teammate Alejandro Rosario ranks seventh. Expect both to be promoted to High-A Hickory any day now. Drake really should be rostered in any league with at least 350 prospects, despite the relative lack of fantasy buzz.

High-A Hitters (min 50 PA)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Luke KeaschallMIN96100
2Xavier IsaacTBR100100
3Carter JensenKCR9093
4Samuel ZavalaCHW8690
5Sal StewartCIN8489
6Henry BolteOAK8689
7Luke AdamsMIL8588
8Alex FreelandLAD7986
9Cutter CoffeyBOS8885
10Sebastian WalcottTEX9685
11William BergollaPHI8784
12Yohendrick PinangoCHC7582
13Mike BoeveMIL7482
14Jefferson RojasCHC7581
15Angel GenaoCLE7581
16Brayden TaylorTBR8081
17Cam CollierCIN7979
18Charles McAdooPIT7379
19Jesus RodriguezNYY7178
20C.J. KayfusCLE7276
21Thayron LiranzoLAD7176
22Ethan SalasSDP8176
23Hector RodriguezCIN7076
24Kristian CampbellBOS6776
25Ricardo OlivarMIN6976

Red Sox slugger Cutter Coffey is the hottest name in High-A over the past two weeks. He famously homered in six consecutive games en route to hitting the most home runs in the minor leagues over the last 14 days. Despite the big power numbers, Coffey’s bat speed and exit velocities are still not quite league-average. Where he definitely excels is in his swing decisions and his ability to make contact. To sum up, RoboScout is exercising caution.

William Bergolla Jr. is another top-15 name who has especially turned it on over the last six weeks. The Phillies infielder first made RoboScout waves in 2022, when he had a sub-4% DSL strikeout rate and a 150 wRC+ at 17 years old. Last year, skipping the complex and going straight to full-season ball proved a bit ambitious for the middle infielder. He couldn’t generate a 90th percentile exit velocity greater than 96 mph despite the preternatural contact ability. In 2024, the 90th percentile exit velocity is still well below league-average but he’s added three ticks to it. He has actually had a recorded exit velocity of 109 mph, far surpassing the 103 mph max he had in 2023.

Since May 5, Bergolla has the highest wRC+ amongst High-A teenagers, 24 points higher than Sebastian Walcott (Rangers), 44 points higher than Samuel Zavala (White Sox) and more than 60 points higher than the weighted runs created of Jefferson Rojas (Cubs), Ethan Salas (Padres), Luis Lara (Brewers) and Cam Collier (Reds). Bergolla is showing the profile of a hit-over-power infielder in the mold of Nacho Alvarez and Vaughn Grissom.

High-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Quinn MathewsSTL90100
2Noah SchultzCHW85100
3Matt WilkinsonCLE100100
4Luis PeralesBOS8397
5Owen MurphyATL8697
6Zebby MatthewsMIN7891
7Chase DollanderCOL7791
8Jaden HammDET8387
9K.C. HuntMIL8285
10Jonah TongNYM7884
11Jedixson PaezBOS8483
12Brandyn GarciaSEA6782
13Alessandro ErcolaniPIT6782
14Winston SantosTEX7182
15Sean SullivanCOL8381
16Moises ChaceBAL6680
17Austin PetersonCLE7479
18Edgar PortesBAL6479
19Nolan McLeanNYM6478
20Joseph MontalvoTEX7078
21Peter HeubeckLAD6878
22Owen WildTBR7278
23Jake BlossHOU6577
24Luis VargasATL6377
25Ryan LobusTEX6677

Now that he qualifies, Red Sox righty Jedixson Paez nearly enters the top 10. Paez and fellow Red Sox righty Luis Perales are the only two starting pitchers with at least 16 innings in High-A with a swinging strike rate over 20%. We discussed his stuff in a previous RoboScout article when the Venezuelan was still in Low-A. His slider-forward arsenal continues to befuddle older hitters. Paez is squarely in my fantasy top 400, even despite his fastball (his third-most thrown pitch) only reaching the low 90s.

Braves righty Luis Vargas enters the top 25. Vargas has a sub-2% walk rate and a sub-1.00 WHIP in 16 innings since being promoted to High-A Rome. The 22-year old Dominican righthander has a primarily two-pitch mix with a flat 94 mph four-seam fastball and mid-80s gyro slider which he unfurls from a 5-foot-6-inch release height. A bit of a stockier build, Vargas has averaged over five innings per start in his three starts in Rome. Unless he is added to the 40-man roster, RoboScout thinks Vargas is an imminent Rule 5 selection this winter. He’s on the fantasy watchlist for now.

Double-A Hitters (min 40 PA)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Emmanuel RodriguezMIN100100
2Agustin RamirezNYY8993
3Luke KeaschallMIN8791
4Moises BallesterosCHC8990
5Roman AnthonyBOS8186
6Carson WilliamsTBR8985
7Hao-Yu LeeDET8485
8Cole YoungSEA8484
9Alex FreelandLAD7884
10Matthew LugoBOS8083
11Samuel BasalloBAL8180
12James TriantosCHC7479
13Edgar QueroCHW7478
14Colby ThomasOAK7278
15Kristian CampbellBOS7077
16Deyvison De Los SantosARI8477
17Jett WilliamsNYM6976
18Harry FordSEA7675
19C.J. KayfusCLE7374
20Yohendrick PinangoCHC6472
21Tyler LocklearSEA6772
22Marcelo MayerBOS6771
23Ryan CliffordNYM7570
24Nate FurmanCLE6070
25Dalton RushingLAD6069

C.J. Kayfus is now eligible for the list and debuts inside the top 20. The Guardians first baseman has the highest ISO of any Double-A hitter with at least 50 plate appearances over the last six weeks. RoboScout had been unimpressed with Kayfus considering his 90th percentile exit velocity was barely average for High-A and he’s a 22-year-old college first baseman. However, the third-rounder out of Miami mashed immediately upon his promotion to Double-A Akron. RoboScout has no choice but to sit up and take notice.

A lefthanded first baseman with an above-average hit tool but only average power, comparisons to Kyle Manzardo are inevitable. Keep in mind that in his age-22 season, Manzardo had a higher contact rate by five percent, a higher barrel rate by four percent, a higher 90th percentile exit velocity by two mph, and a higher maximum exit velocity by five mph, albeit in nearly 200 more plate appearances than Kayfus.

Mets slugger Ryan Clifford finds himself at the back of the top 25. He has the third-highest ISO of any Double-A hitter since May 5, trailing only Kayfus and Deyvison De Los Santos (D-backs). Clifford’s 90th percentile exit velocity of 105 mph is within the top quartile for the level. but his contact rate is below 66%. Because the slugger’s swing decisions are better than average, his contact quality transcends the swing and miss enough to be a flashing red light. Unless he can improve on the bat-to-ball skills, he is in danger of becoming a three-true-outcomes prospect.

Double-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Noah SchultzCHW100100
2Zebby MatthewsMIN9997
3Braxton AshcraftPIT8683
4Tink HenceSTL9182
5Nolan McLeanNYM7880
6Chandler ChamplainKCR9180
7Logan HendersonMIL8278
8Ben CaspariusLAD7578
9Blade TidwellNYM7477
10Brandon YoungBAL8476
11Bubba ChandlerPIT7276
12Thomas HarringtonPIT7775
13Zach PenrodBOS8274
14Yilber DiazARI7974
15Jackson JobeDET6974
16Brandon SproatNYM7674
17Kyle McGowinCHC7773
18Cameron WestonBAL7773
19Justin WrobleskiLAD7173
20Miguel UllolaHOU7172
21Troy MeltonDET7072
22Ty MaddenDET7872
23Carson PalmquistCOL7272
24Ian BedellSTL7672
25Jacob MisiorowskiMIL6672

A few days after we discussed him in these very pages, Cardinals righty Ian Bedell was promoted to Triple-A Memphis. This makes complete sense to RoboScout. Bedell shined in his last four starts with a 36% strikeout-minus-walk rate and a sub-2.00 ERA over 23+ innings.

Purely as an observation from running RoboScout, it’s has been interesting to see that Cameron Weston (Orioles) is putting up extremely similar Double-A numbers to much-documented Mets Brandon Sproat.

 AgeIPK%-BB%WHIPxFIPGB%SwStrk%
Sproat2335.224.4%0.842.9744%16%
Weston2334.124.1%0.903.2452%16%

Weston has an extremely interesting profile. Rather than throwing a four-seamer from his low release height–which is in the sixth-lowest percentile for righthanders–Weston throws a 91-92 mph two-seamer with over a foot and a half of armside run. As expected from such a low-slinging release, he also has a complementary slider. But he also throws a splitter, which is unusual for a lower release but makes RoboScout’s heart aflutter. After throwing five shutout innings this week with another eight strikeouts, Weston has put himself on the map with his 2024 performance. Yet another interesting name in the Orioles system, put him on your fantasy watchlist for now.

Triple-A Hitters (min 50 PA)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1James WoodWSN100100
2Jose FerminSTL8892
3Jackson HollidayBAL9089
4Coby MayoBAL8388
5Miguel VargasLAD7983
6Kyle ManzardoCLE7582
7Andy PagesLAD7579
8Chase MeidrothBOS7077
9Leo JimenezTOR6876
10Matthew LugoBOS7276
11Luis MatosSFG6776
12Adrian Del CastilloARI6875
13Heston KjerstadBAL7074
14Angel MartinezCLE7374
15Javier SanojaMIA6774
16Jonatan ClaseSEA7373
17Deyvison De Los SantosARI8173
18Jace JungDET6872
19Jhonkensy NoelCLE7972
20Tyler BlackMIL6672
21Heliot RamosSFG6372
22Junior CamineroTBR7071
23Brett BatyNYM6271
24Jordan BeckCOL6571
25Spencer HorwitzTOR6071

Angel Martinez has done nothing but hit since returning from a fractured hamate bone in his foot. So much so, the Guardians infielder (and sometimes center fielder) earned a callup to the big leagues this week. Martinez produced a 179 wRC+ with three homers over his first 67 plate appearances in Triple-A upon returning from injury on May 28, vaulting into the top 15.

Always a hit-over-power prospect, Martinez has shown vast improvement in his swing decisions this year. He lowered his overall swing rate from 50% in 2023 to 44% in 2024 while reducing his chase rate from a poor 34% to an impressive 20%. The power is below-average–even for a 22-year old–but Martinez should still grow into 20 home runs in the major leagues at peak. The Triple-A data shows Martinez bears quite a similar hitting profile to fellow Guardians hit-over-power-infielders Juan Brito and Brayan Rocchio.

Hitter in Triple-AAgeContact%90th EVChase%Barrel%MaxEV
A Martinez (2024)2283%101 mph21%9%105 mph
J Brito (2024)2279%102 mph22%14%105 mph
B Rocchio (2023)2279%102 mph28%14%107 mph

Triple-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

RankNameTeamRoboRoboCast
1Paul SkenesPIT100100
2Christian ScottNYM9595
3David FestaMIN9084
4Jack LeiterTEX7881
5Cade PovichBAL8879
6Chayce McDermottBAL7778
7Carson SpiersCIN7477
8Tobias MyersMIL7377
9Slade CecconiARI8277
10Brandon YoungBAL8176
11Elieser HernandezLAD7375
12Matt ManningDET7174
13Will WarrenNYY6973
14Louie VarlandMIN7673
15Alek ManoahTOR7573
16Chad PatrickMIL7172
17Quinn PriesterPIT8272
18Albert SuarezBAL7471
19Cristian MenaARI7771
20Nick NastriniCHW7771
21AJ Smith-ShawverATL6969
22Gerson GarabitoTEX6969
23Chandler ChamplainKCR7468
24Bryce ElderATL8568
25Cooper CriswellBOS6268

Since publication of last week’s RoboScout article, Brandon Young (Orioles) has now qualified for the Triple-A list and finds himself inside the Top 10. Encouragingly, he has had three outings since the beginning of June of five innings or more. Though in his last two Triple-A outings, by the fourth inning, he has been lost 1-2 mph of the four-seam velocity he showed at the beginning of the game.

Since May 5, the pitcher (minimum 15 innings) with the highest strikeout rate in the entire full-season minor leagues is Hans Crouse (Angels) with a 52% mark. He also has the highest swinging strike rate–the only one above 25%–in that same time frame, in one of the most hitter-friendly environments. Unsurprisingly, the Angels called him up this week. RoboScout is intrigued–but as a reliever, is not ranking him too highly. That being said, Crouse and Chase Shugart (Red Sox) are the most interesting Triple-A relief pitcher names.

Happy bidding! 

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