RoboScout Top MLB Prospects At Every Level On July 21, 2024 

Dominican Summer League Hitters (min 30 PA)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Emil Morales	LAD	100	100
2	Edward Florentino	PIT	95	98
3	Jesus Made	MIL	94	98
4	Jose Anderson	MIL	99	96
5	Rainiel Rodriguez	STL	94	95
6	Luis Pena	MIL	90	92
7	Eduardo Beltre	MIN	86	92
8	Yolfran Castillo	TEX	83	88
9	Juan Ortuno	MIL	85	87
10	Elvin Garcia	BAL	79	86
11	Jaset Martinez	CIN	77	85
12	Estivel Morillo	CLE	89	85
13	Adriander Mejia	BAL	75	85
14	Juneiker Caceres	CLE	88	84
15	Jirvin Morillo	CIN	78	84
16	Stiven Martinez	BAL	82	83
17	Rafael Flores	TOR	68	80
18	Justin Gonzales	BOS	76	80
19	Jesus Alexander	SFG	68	79
20	Gabriel Rodriguez	CLE	75	78

 

Emil Morales (Dodgers) is now the top-ranked DSL hitter with a 178 wRC+ along with seven homers and seven steals through 127 plate appearances. His contact rate is still below average, but it’s outweighed by his contact quality, which is pretty much the best in the league. He has the highest barrel rate of any DSL hitter with at least 70 plate appearances, ranking just ahead of Eduardo Beltre (Twins). Morales has the eighth-highest expected wOBA on contact.

Cardinals catcher Rainiel Rodriguez has one of the higher xWOBAcons. The DSL all-star ranks fifth on RoboScout’s list. The 17-year old Dominican backstop also has seven home runs, showing his plus game power. Rodriguez’s maximum exit velocity of 108 mph is already higher than max exit velos for well-regarded players such as C.J. Kayfus (Guardians), Michael Arroyo (Mariners), and Colt Emerson (Mariners). The raw power is already present albeit against inferior pitching. Rodriguez does show a bit more chase than league average but has an average contact rate so far in his 107 plate appearances. His defense lags behind the bat, but he does have a strong arm.

Considering their place on the defensive spectrum, Morales, Jesus Made (Brewers), Luis Pena (Brewers), and Eduardo Beltre (Twins) look like the class of the DSL. Consider all four top 200 fantasy prospects.

 

Complex League Hitters (min 60 PA)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Franklin Arias	BOS	98	100
2	Yeremi Cabrera	TEX	99	99
3	Robert Calaz	COL	100	99
4	Eric Bitonti	MIL	90	93
5	Eduardo Tait	PHI	98	91
6	Pablo Guerrero	TEX	88	88
7	Eduardo Quintero	LAD	82	87
8	Yoeilin Cespedes	BOS	83	86
9	Starlyn Caba	PHI	81	85
10	Javier Mogollon	CHW	86	84
11	Edgleen Perez	NYY	73	82
12	Engelth Urena	NYY	73	81
13	Brailer Guerrero	TBR	75	80
14	Welbyn Francisca	CLE	81	80
15	Felnin Celesten	SEA	74	79
16	Braylin Morel	TEX	84	79
17	Miguel Rodriguez	BAL	73	78
18	Dameury Pena	MIN	77	78
19	Aroon Escobar	PHI	69	77
20	Jhonny Severino	PIT	73	77
21	Yasser Mercedes	MIN	70	77
22	Luis Merejo	CLE	71	76
23	Jeremy Rodriguez	NYM	83	75
24	Carlos Tavares	WSN	69	73
25	Demetrio Crisantes	ARI	62	73

With a huge week where he smashed two home runs and stole nine(!) bases, Franklin Arias (Red Sox) now finds himself at the top of the Complex League Hitters list. RoboScout has liked Arias for a while–without even knowing that he is playing above-average defense at shortstop–because also under the hood, he is making discriminate swing decisions, making contact at a near 80% rate, and making solid quality of contact with an xwOBAcon higher even than that of org mate Roman Anthony (Red Sox). He’s one of my favorite breakouts this year and a Top 75 fantasy prospect with 20/20 potential and good bat-to-ball skills.

Converted Yankees catcher Engelth Urena is flying up the charts on account of his 185 wRC+ since June 3. An outfielder earlier in his career, Urena’s defense hasn’t quite caught up to the bat, although he lost significant development time from a broken hand and a knee injury the past two years. In 2024, however, the 19-year old Dominican has shown plus swing decisions and a plus contact rate all season with his quality of contact steadily improving as the season has worn on, showing 25+ home run power. Although the bat is solid, his fantasy value will likely hinge on whether he can stick at catcher because the profile is not quite in the vicinity of other first base or left field prospects.

Braves shortstop John Gil is another interesting name outside the top 25. He is showing an excellent blend of power and speed while playing  solid defense. Gil has really turned it on over the last six weeks, hitting all of three of his home runs and stealing 18 of his 26 bases over his last 122 plate appearances. Although the 18-year old is showing elite swing decisions, with average to above-average contact, the quality of contact lags the hit tool even though he has raised his 90th percentile exit velocity to 102.5 mph, 3 mph higher than in 2023. He’s an exciting but raw fantasy prospect who should be seeing full-season ball shortly. Put him on your watch list.

Complex League Pitchers (min 12 IP)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Yordy Herrera	STL	100	100
2	Trevor Harrison	TBR	93	98
3	Christian Zazueta	LAD	87	91
4	Samuel Sanchez	LAD	92	91
5	Sean Linan	LAD	90	90
6	Ovis Portes	BOS	84	90
7	Hayden Robinson	MIL	93	89
8	Joseph Yabbour	NYM	82	89
9	Keyner Benitez	MIA	98	89
10	Jefferson Jean	OAK	86	88
11	Juan Valera	BOS	85	87
12	Jacob Bresnahan	CLE	92	87
13	Johan Simon	TOR	79	86
14	Jogly Garcia	CLE	82	86
15	Alix Hernandez	SFG	84	86
16	Adrian Herrera	CIN	81	85
17	Jesus Carrera	HOU	85	84
18	Sandy Ozuna	COL	89	84
19	Zander Mueth	PIT	77	83
20	Rafael Gonzalez	HOU	79	83
21	Nelfy Ynfante	STL	90	82
22	Jordarlin Mendoza	NYY	76	82
23	Luis Reyes	CHW	84	82
24	Luis Morellis	CIN	85	82
25	Enniel Cortez	MIL	85	81

Jefferson Jean (Athletics) enters the top 10 this week with a 41% strikeout rate—the second-highest mark for anyone averaging more than two innings per appearance. The bad news is that it comes with a 16.7% walk rate so he obviously needs to work on the control. The arsenal though is quite solid as the 19-year old righthander has a 95-97 mph fastball with over a foot of armside run, an 83 mph slider with two-plane break, and a show-me changeup that he needs to work on. If he can harness the command, he can jump up rankings.

Low-A Hitters (min 60 PA)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Leodalis De Vries	SDP	100	100
2	Michael Arroyo	SEA	92	98
3	Axiel Plaz	PIT	97	97
4	Colt Emerson	SEA	87	95
5	Aidan Smith	SEA	89	95
6	Lazaro Montes	SEA	98	94
7	Blake Mitchell	KCR	84	93
8	Kevin McGonigle	DET	83	90
9	Jonny Farmelo	SEA	78	88
10	Demetrio Crisantes	ARI	75	87
11	Josue De Paula	LAD	73	86
12	Jeral Perez	LAD	75	85
13	Ralphy Velazquez	CLE	77	83
14	Jaison Chourio	CLE	74	83
15	Walker Jenkins	MIN	70	82
16	Zyhir Hope	LAD	67	81
17	Jesus Baez	NYM	76	81
18	Alfredo Duno	CIN	74	81
19	George Wolkow	CHW	81	80
20	Rosman Verdugo	SDP	73	78
21	Arjun Nimmala	TOR	74	78
22	Logan Wagner	LAD	63	78
23	Yophery Rodriguez	MIL	78	77
24	Angel Genao	CLE	65	76
25	Bryce Eldridge	SFG	66	76

We have a new top hitter in Low-A. Preseason favorite Leodalis De Vries (Padres) has been on a tear with six home runs, eight stolen bases and a 120 wRC+ since June 3 as the youngest hitter in the league. De Vries has a xwOBAcon over .400 with league-average contact and chase rates. No wonder RoboScout is infatuated.

If you’re interested in power, look no further than White Sox outfielder George Wolkow. He has eight home runs since his promotion to full-season ball on June 4. The 6-foot-7 behemoth generates otherworldly power at 18 years old, evidenced by the 43.5% strikeout rate, but it comes at a cost. Under the hood, it might be even worse than the surface stats, as he has a sub-50% contact rate and a chase rate that is a standard deviation worse than league average. Right now, the immensity of the power supersedes the flaws in the profile–but the track record associated with this type of swing-and-miss is not great. Since 2006, essentially only Bobby Dalbec at age 22 in 2017 and Domingo Santana at age 17 in 2010 had strikeout rates near this level in Low-A–and they still struck out at “only” a 37% rate–and made it to the major leagues.

Low-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Matt Wilkinson	CLE	100	100
2	Jonah Tong	NYM	91	95
3	Quinn Mathews	STL	85	94
4	Alejandro Rosario	TEX	84	93
5	Jarlin Susana	WSN	80	92
6	Santiago Suarez	TBR	79	90
7	Didier Fuentes	ATL	81	90
8	Grant Taylor	CHW	77	89
9	George Klassen	PHI	78	88
10	Travis Sykora	WSN	82	87
11	Eliazar Dishmey	MIA	73	86
12	Yujanyer Herrera	MIL	83	85
13	Sean Linan	LAD	84	84
14	Kohl Drake	TEX	82	82
15	Thomas White	MIA	72	82
16	Ovis Portes	BOS	70	81
17	Mavis Graves	PHI	85	80
18	Welinton Herrera	COL	69	79
19	Gary Gill Hill	TBR	78	79
20	Jace Kaminska	COL	74	79
21	Isaiah Lowe	SDP	67	79
22	Noble Meyer	MIA	67	78
23	Jackson Nezuh	HOU	66	77
24	Jose Gonzalez	TEX	70	77
25	Alimber Santa	HOU	66	77

Since June 1, the highest swinging strike rate of starting pitchers in Low-A are Travis Sykora (Nationals), Tommy Vail (White Sox)–a 25 year old lefthander–and Jojo Ingrassia (Red Sox). Ingrassia, a 21-year old lefthander, has a 40% strikeout rate and the second highest swinging strike rate at the level behind only Jonah Tong (Mets) who is of course at High-A Brooklyn now.

Under the hood, Ingrassia has above-average extension from a low three-quarter slot, allowing his 93 mph four-seam fastball to play up and contributing to both his 83 mph slider and his above average-to-plus split finger to each generate whiff rates over 50%. He probably needs to clean up the mechanics as his release heights have a four-inch variance, which advanced hitters will probably pick up on, but for now, the 14th-round selection out of Cal-State Fullerton in 2023 has been showing all the traits of a potential midrotation starter. Note the Red Sox just placed him on the injured list with elbow inflammation. He’s a deep league watchlist candidate until we learn more about the injury.

Since we’re on the topic of lefties for Low-A Salem with a low release slot and big extension, Noah Dean (Red Sox) and his five-pitch mix grades out with even better stuff than Ingrassia. Since June 3, both pitchers have strikeout rates over 39% and ground ball rates over 52%, but Dean has a 10% walk rate (compared to Ingrassia’s 7%) and is also two years older, slightly diminishing his peak projection. If the fifth-round draft pick of 2022 out of Old Dominion can get the walk rate into the single digits, he has a chance to be a back of the rotation starter, or, failing that, should be an effective weapon out of the bullpen.

High-A Hitters (min 60 PA)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Michael Arroyo	SEA	96	100
2	Luke Keaschall	MIN	90	97
3	Lazaro Montes	SEA	100	95
4	Luke Adams	MIL	88	94
5	Sal Stewart	CIN	83	91
6	Xavier Isaac	TBR	87	90
7	Carter Jensen	KCR	84	89
8	Sebastian Walcott	TEX	88	87
9	Alex Freeland	LAD	75	85
10	Samuel Zavala	CHW	80	84
11	Brayden Taylor	TBR	77	82
12	William Bergolla	PHI	79	81
13	Henry Bolte	OAK	74	80
14	Ricardo Olivar	MIN	69	79
15	Cooper Ingle	CLE	69	79
16	Cutter Coffey	BOS	73	79
17	C.J. Kayfus	CLE	68	78
18	Jhostynxon Garcia	BOS	68	78
19	Charles McAdoo	PIT	68	78
20	Jefferson Rojas	CHC	71	78
21	Yohendrick Pinango	CHC	70	77
22	Angel Genao	CLE	69	76
23	Kristian Campbell	BOS	63	76
24	Jesus Rodriguez	NYY	67	75
25	Cam Collier	CIN	74	75

Since June 3, only Jhostynxon Garcia (Red Sox) and Nick Cimillo (Pirates) have hit more home runs than Allan Castro‘s (Red Sox) nine. Castro, a 21-year old outfielder signed out of the Dominican Republic, has taken a step forward in actualizing his game power, raising his 90th percentile exit velocity from 103.4 mph to just under 106 mph in 2024.

He always had good raw power–he had a 115 maximum exit velocity in 2023 and has registered a 111 mph this year–and coupled with his league average or better contact rate and chase rates, he finds himself just outside the top 25 after putting up the ninth-highest wRC+ in Low-A since June 3 for hitters with more than 100 plate appearances. RoboScout sees him as a slightly below-average hitter in the major leagues but capable of 20 to 25 home run seasons–though if he is only a fourth outfielder, he might never get the playing time to reach that ceiling.

Luke Adams (Brewers) has quietly put up an excellent year at High-A with nine home runs, 21 stolen bases and a 154 wRC+ over 312 plate appearances as a just-turned 20-year old. Playing mostly third base–but likely having to move across the diamond to first base–Adams has shown excellent on-base ability with better-than-league-average contact and chase rates and an excellent 106 mph 90th percentile exit velocity. Unfortunately, he hasn’t optimized his launch angles. Adams has the league’s 91st percentile for exit velocity, but his barrel rate and xwOBAcon are barely league average. Still, on account of his surface stats, RoboScout sees his peak MLB projection to be similar to Luke Keaschall (Twins)— with fairly similar underlying metrics as well. Purely from the data, he is a solid top 50 to 75 fantasy prospect.

High-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Noah Schultz	CHW	87	100
2	Matt Wilkinson	CLE	100	100
3	Quinn Mathews	STL	90	98
4	Luis Perales	BOS	85	98
5	Owen Murphy	ATL	88	97
6	Chase Dollander	COL	86	97
7	Zebby Matthews	MIN	80	92
8	K.C. Hunt	MIL	89	90
9	George Klassen	PHI	79	88
10	Jonah Tong	NYM	85	88
11	Kohl Drake	TEX	87	86
12	Thomas White	MIA	76	85
13	Jedixson Paez	BOS	92	84
14	Jaden Hamm	DET	83	84
15	Winston Santos	TEX	73	83
16	Alessandro Ercolani	PIT	69	82
17	Moises Chace	BAL	68	81
18	Brandyn Garcia	SEA	69	81
19	Edgar Portes	BAL	68	80
20	Sean Sullivan	COL	84	80
21	Austin Peterson	CLE	76	79
22	Lazaro Estrada	TOR	66	79
23	Nolan McLean	NYM	66	79
24	Ben Shields	NYY	72	78
25	Owen Wild	TBR	73	78

There has been very little movement in the High-A ranks since last week so instead I’ll mention again how Jedixson Paez (Red Sox) is proving to be a difficult evaluation for RoboScout. On the surface, there has not been a hotter pitcher since June 1. Paez has a 42% strikeout rate and a 4% walk rate over his six starts during that time, averaging nearly five innings per outing. The 38% strikeout minus walk rate is nearly 6% more than the starting pitcher with the second highest mark: Ben Shields (Yankees) with a 33% mark.

The difficulty is that similar to Matt Wilkinson (Guardians) and Yu-Min Lin (Diamondback), the surface stats are excellent but the arsenal doesn’t wow. However, what he lacks in arm speed—his fastballs sit 90 to 92 mph and his slider is 81 mph—he makes up for with big horizontal movement paired with well above average extension. He has an extremely fun pitching profile–and, from the data, a top 150 fantasy prospect in RoboScout’s opinion.

Double-A Hitters (min 60 PA)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Emmanuel Rodriguez	MIN	100	100
2	Agustin Ramirez	NYY	89	90
3	Luke Keaschall	MIN	85	89
4	Moises Ballesteros	CHC	88	88
5	Ryan Clifford	NYM	85	85
6	Matthew Lugo	BOS	79	84
7	Carson Williams	TBR	83	82
8	Cole Young	SEA	81	81
9	Deyvison De Los Santos	ARI	82	80
10	Roman Anthony	BOS	77	80
11	Alex Freeland	LAD	74	80
12	Hao-Yu Lee	DET	79	80
13	C.J. Kayfus	CLE	75	79
14	Kristian Campbell	BOS	72	79
15	Edgar Quero	CHW	75	78
16	Jacob Wilson	OAK	67	75
17	Marcelo Mayer	BOS	71	75
18	Colby Thomas	OAK	70	75
19	Charles McAdoo	PIT	70	74
20	Samuel Basallo	BAL	80	73
21	Tyler Locklear	SEA	66	73
22	Harry Ford	SEA	70	72
23	James Triantos	CHC	70	71
24	Alejandro Osuna	TEX	65	70
25	Kahlil Watson	CLE	66	68

Will you look at that? Kahlil Watson (Guardians) cracks the top 25 at Double-A for the first time all season as he attempts to rehabilitate his prospect pedigree. On the season, the 21-year old has 13 home runs and 10 stolen bases with a 108 wRC+. He has done most of his damage over the last six weeks with seven homers in his last 103 plate appearances. His power is unquestioned—he has a 104.7 mph 90th percentile exit velocity—but there have always been concerns with the swing-and-miss. He is sporting a 30% strikeout rate with a 69% contact rate, which places him in the same contact vs 90thEV cluster as Ryan Clifford (Mets), Carson Williams (Rays) and Joe Mack (Marlins). If you like their prospect profile–though with slightly lower defensive value–he is a shorter step down to them than you would have thought, even a month ago.

Double-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Noah Schultz	CHW	100	100
2	Zebby Matthews	MIN	97	97
3	Bubba Chandler	PIT	87	89
4	Jackson Jobe	DET	85	88
5	Logan Henderson	MIL	90	86
6	Braxton Ashcraft	PIT	87	84
7	Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	80	84
8	Tink Hence	STL	92	83
9	Thomas Harrington	PIT	83	80
10	Quinn Mathews	STL	80	80
11	Chandler Champlain	KCR	92	79
12	Ben Casparius	LAD	77	79
13	Blade Tidwell	NYM	75	79
14	Austin Peterson	CLE	83	78
15	Carson Palmquist	COL	81	78
16	Troy Melton	DET	75	77
17	Nolan McLean	NYM	73	77
18	Emiliano Teodo	TEX	78	77
19	Zach Penrod	BOS	84	76
20	Yilber Diaz	ARI	80	76
21	Kyle McGowin	CHC	78	76
22	Caden Dana	LAA	79	75
23	Brandon Young	BAL	85	75
24	Mason Adams	CHW	84	74
25	Tyler Stuart	NYM	75	74

Last year, Alex Pham (Orioles) put himself on the map with a solid 13.3 K/9 at High-A Aberdeen and earning the promotion to Double-A Bowie where he pitched 60 innings with a strikeout minus walk rate of 16%. Repeating the level in 2024, he has a strikeout minus walk rate of 20%. He has really dominated over the last six weeks with a 26% mark.

His four-seam fastball sat 91.9 mph topping out at 93 mph with a 20 inches of IVB last year. This year, he’s getting even more ride at 21 inches–the fifth-highest induced vertical break in full-season ball–while now sitting 92.4 mph and topping out at 96 mph. He threw both a slider and a cutter last year–in addition to a curveball with heavy downward action–but this year he is leaning much more on the cutter which sits 86 mph and generates over 40% whiffs. Don’t be fooled by the superficial 5.38 ERA – his xFIP on the season is 3.42, which is lower than Hayden Birdsong (Giants) who was called up to San Francisco earlier this year. All in all, it’s a back of the rotation mix. He should begin accumulating innings for Triple-A Norfolk by August if he isn’t packaged in a trade the next few days.

Noah Schultz (White Sox) looked human at the Futures Game and RoboScout is wondering if fatigue is beginning to set in, as the lefthander has only struck out 23% of batters in his last five starts after having a 38% rate in High-A. On June 3rd, his slider sat 82.8 mph with 13.1 inches of glove-side run with a spin rate of 2895 rpm. Since then, his slider has sat 82.5 mph with 11.7 inches of horizontal run—nearly fewer 1.5 inches—with a spin rate around 185 rpm lower and released from a height that is one inch lower. Hopefully this is not portending an issue—and is something to watch for over the next few weeks. RoboScout has digital digits crossed on behalf of the second highest ranked minor league pitcher for 2024, behind only Paul Skenes.

Triple-A Hitters (min 60 PA)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	James Wood	WSN	100	100
2	Jackson Holliday	BAL	98	97
3	Coby Mayo	BAL	89	94
4	Jose Fermin	STL	81	89
5	Kyle Manzardo	CLE	80	86
6	Miguel Vargas	LAD	78	86
7	Andy Pages	LAD	74	82
8	Adrian Del Castillo	ARI	73	82
9	Agustin Ramirez	NYY	78	82
10	Jacob Wilson	OAK	70	79
11	Moises Ballesteros	CHC	76	78
12	Matthew Lugo	BOS	70	77
13	Niko Kavadas	BOS	65	76
14	Deyvison De Los Santos	ARI	80	76
15	Angel Martinez	CLE	75	75
16	Luis Matos	SFG	66	75
17	Jonatan Clase	SEA	71	75
18	Shay Whitcomb	HOU	73	75
19	Jordan Beck	COL	64	75
20	Chase Meidroth	BOS	66	74
21	Jace Jung	DET	70	73
22	Joey Loperfido	HOU	64	73
23	Orelvis Martinez	TOR	70	72
24	Heliot Ramos	SFG	62	72
25	Johnathan Rodriguez	CLE	64	72

Although his brief 40 plate appearance major league debut didn’t go as planned–with a 63 wRC+ with no home runs–Johnathan Rodriguez (Guardians) has once again mashed since returning to Triple-A, with a 157 wRC+ and nine home runs in his 120 plate appearances since returning to Columbus. The slugger makes good swing decisions and has tremendous bat speed, projecting as a 25 home run bat in the major leagues. If you like his org mate and prospect “doppelbanger” Jhonkensy Noel, you should probably like Rodriguez just as much—even accounting for the fact that Noel is two years younger—because of the fact that he chases significantly less out of the zone than Noel.

Triple-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)

Rank	Name	Team	Robo	RoboCast
1	Paul Skenes	PIT	100	100
2	Christian Scott	NYM	91	92
3	David Festa	MIN	88	81
4	Jack Leiter	TEX	76	79
5	Tylor Megill	NYM	80	79
6	Chayce McDermott	BAL	77	78
7	Will Warren	NYY	75	77
8	Carson Spiers	CIN	75	77
9	Cade Povich	BAL	86	77
10	Tobias Myers	MIL	73	77
11	Slade Cecconi	ARI	82	76
12	Yilber Diaz	ARI	79	76
13	Chad Patrick	MIL	76	76
14	Elieser Hernandez	LAD	73	75
15	Braxton Ashcraft	PIT	75	75
16	Alek Manoah	TOR	75	73
17	Quinn Priester	PIT	84	72
18	Cristian Mena	ARI	79	72
19	Louie Varland	MIN	72	71
20	Albert Suarez	BAL	75	71
21	Reid Detmers	LAA	84	71
22	Matt Manning	DET	67	71
23	AJ Smith-Shawver	ATL	69	70
24	Jake Woodford	PIT	72	69
25	Josh Winckowski	BOS	68	68

For fantasy managers who are desperate for starting pitching in redraft or in their dynasty league this year–Allan Winans (Braves) has been pitching quite well since June 1 with 42 strikeouts and only four walks in his last 41.1 innings. His 22.8% strikeout minus walk rate over that span is the seventh-highest among starting pitchers, behind such names as Shane Baz (Rays), Jeffrey Springs (Rays), David Festa (Twins), and Will Warren (Yankees). The stuff is still below-average, but the craftiness of his changeup-forward approach – his cambio gets whiffs and chases at a greater than 40% rate–might provide some reasonably cheap fantasy value if he returns to the Atlanta rotation, for example, to “control” Reynaldo Lopez’s workload through the dog days of summer.

Happy bidding!