RoboScout Top MLB Prospects At Every Level On Aug. 4, 2024
Somehow the calendar flipped to August and only one-third of the major league season is left. The MLB trade deadline is behind us. The trade deadline in your dynasty league—please make sure you have a trade deadline in your dynasty league—is probably approaching or also in the past.
That doesn’t mean there is nothing to care about in the minor leagues. In most of my leagues, we’re allowed to pick up minor leaguers all the way until the end of the season. And, especially as draftees have now started to be assigned to professional affiliates, we’re starting to see some data from them—albeit fewer than 20 plate appearances in most cases.
As always, RoboScout watches it all for you.
As a reminder, the RoboScore is the value (0 to 100) assigned per level by RoboScout based on 2024 statistical performance and projecting fantasy value (without considering defensive ability or position). The RoboCast number is the RoboScore but with Statcast blended in and then transformed to the 0 to 100 scale.
Dominican Summer League Hitters (min 30 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Emil Morales | LAD | 100 | 100 |
2 | Rainiel Rodriguez | STL | 93 | 95 |
3 | Eduardo Beltre | MIN | 84 | 91 |
4 | Jesus Made | MIL | 81 | 89 |
5 | Jose Anderson | MIL | 81 | 85 |
6 | Juneiker Caceres | CLE | 80 | 82 |
7 | Edward Florentino | PIT | 70 | 81 |
8 | Luis Pena | MIL | 77 | 81 |
9 | Yolfran Castillo | TEX | 71 | 80 |
10 | Stiven Martinez | BAL | 72 | 78 |
11 | Elvin Garcia | BAL | 67 | 77 |
12 | Arnaldo Lantigua | LAD | 62 | 76 |
13 | Adriander Mejia | BAL | 63 | 76 |
14 | Juan Ortuno | MIL | 69 | 76 |
15 | Jirvin Morillo | CIN | 68 | 75 |
16 | Cesar Lugo | CHC | 63 | 75 |
17 | Estivel Morillo | CLE | 73 | 75 |
18 | Jaset Martinez | CIN | 61 | 74 |
19 | Queni Pineda | NYY | 60 | 74 |
20 | Sebastian Baquera | TEX | 63 | 73 |
Dodgers shortstop Emil Morales regains the top spot by a large gap after a preposterous week where he hit five home runs and stole two bases. Morales now leads all DSL hitters with 12 homers through 167 plate appearances. He’s likely the consensus top prospect in the DSL, although Jesus Made (Brewers), or Eduardo Beltre (Twins) if you listened to our latest fantasy podcast, may take offense.
Morales’ teammate, Arnaldo Lantigua, is second in the DSL with 10 homers after hitting three this week. Lantigua now ranks 12th on our hitters list after ranking No. 24 last week. Lantigua signed for $700,000 as a physically mature corner outfielder out of the Dominican Republic in 2023. He had above-average power with average speed. Keep in mind he’s repeating the level and is already 18 years old.
In 2023, Lantigua’s 90th percentile exit velocity was 99.7 mph with a 106.7 mph max. This year he already has six balls in play that have been hit over 104 mph, with a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph. He also has been showing little problem catching up to high velocity in a small sample size. We don’t like to invest too heavily in 18-year-olds who are doing well in the DSL, but Lantigua is also showing average contact and average chase to supplement his plus exit velocities. Expect to see him stateside next year and to likely reach full-season ball.
Complex League Hitters (FINAL, min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Franklin Arias | BOS | 100 | 100 |
2 | Robert Calaz | COL | 100 | 98 |
3 | Yeremi Cabrera | TEX | 97 | 97 |
4 | Eric Bitonti | MIL | 94 | 96 |
5 | Pablo Guerrero | TEX | 93 | 93 |
6 | Eduardo Quintero | LAD | 84 | 89 |
7 | Eduardo Tait | PHI | 97 | 88 |
8 | Yoeilin Cespedes | BOS | 84 | 87 |
9 | Javier Mogollon | CHW | 86 | 85 |
10 | Engelth Urena | NYY | 77 | 84 |
11 | Welbyn Francisca | CLE | 85 | 84 |
12 | Daiverson Gutierrez | NYM | 79 | 83 |
13 | Starlyn Caba | PHI | 79 | 83 |
14 | Edgleen Perez | NYY | 74 | 82 |
15 | Brailer Guerrero | TBR | 76 | 81 |
16 | Felnin Celesten | SEA | 76 | 81 |
17 | Braylin Morel | TEX | 85 | 81 |
18 | Miguel Rodriguez | BAL | 74 | 80 |
19 | Yolfran Castillo | TEX | 76 | 80 |
20 | Jhonny Severino | PIT | 75 | 79 |
21 | Aroon Escobar | PHI | 72 | 79 |
22 | Jeremy Rodriguez | NYM | 84 | 79 |
23 | Luis Merejo | CLE | 73 | 78 |
24 | Dameury Pena | MIN | 78 | 78 |
25 | Yasser Mercedes | MIN | 73 | 78 |
26 | Carlos Tavares | WSN | 72 | 77 |
27 | Demetrio Crisantes | ARI | 66 | 75 |
28 | Franyerber Montilla | DET | 70 | 74 |
29 | Antonis Macias | TEX | 65 | 74 |
30 | Alexander Albertus | LAD | 68 | 73 |
31 | Arjun Nimmala | TOR | 73 | 73 |
32 | John Gil | ATL | 76 | 73 |
33 | Abrahan Ramirez | NYY | 65 | 73 |
34 | Walker Jenkins | MIN | 65 | 72 |
35 | Andruw Musett | BOS | 69 | 72 |
With the Complex League season over, we’ve extended out the list to display the Top 35.
Complex League Pitchers (FINAL, min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Trevor Harrison | TBR | 95 | 100 |
2 | Yordy Herrera | STL | 100 | 100 |
3 | Christian Zazueta | LAD | 89 | 93 |
4 | Samuel Sanchez | LAD | 94 | 93 |
5 | Sean Linan | LAD | 92 | 92 |
6 | Ovis Portes | BOS | 86 | 92 |
7 | Hayden Robinson | MIL | 95 | 91 |
8 | Joseph Yabbour | NYM | 84 | 91 |
9 | Keyner Benitez | MIA | 100 | 91 |
10 | Jefferson Jean | OAK | 89 | 91 |
11 | Juan Valera | BOS | 87 | 89 |
12 | Jacob Bresnahan | CLE | 94 | 89 |
13 | Rafael Gonzalez | HOU | 84 | 89 |
14 | Adrian Herrera | CIN | 84 | 88 |
15 | Johan Simon | TOR | 81 | 88 |
16 | Jogly Garcia | CLE | 84 | 88 |
17 | Alix Hernandez | SFG | 86 | 88 |
18 | Sandy Ozuna | COL | 92 | 86 |
19 | Luis Morellis | CIN | 89 | 85 |
20 | Jesus Carrera | HOU | 86 | 85 |
21 | Hyun-Seok Jang | LAD | 83 | 85 |
22 | Keythel Key | LAA | 80 | 84 |
23 | Zander Mueth | PIT | 78 | 84 |
24 | Jordarlin Mendoza | NYY | 78 | 84 |
25 | Nelfy Ynfante | STL | 91 | 84 |
Low-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Franklin Arias | BOS | 97 | 100 |
2 | Leodalis De Vries | SDP | 100 | 98 |
3 | Colt Emerson | SEA | 88 | 92 |
4 | Michael Arroyo | SEA | 88 | 89 |
5 | Aidan Smith | SEA | 85 | 87 |
6 | Kevin McGonigle | DET | 84 | 86 |
7 | Eduardo Tait | PHI | 93 | 86 |
8 | Blake Mitchell | KCR | 81 | 84 |
9 | Starlyn Caba | PHI | 81 | 83 |
10 | Zyhir Hope | LAD | 77 | 82 |
11 | Jaison Chourio | CLE | 81 | 82 |
12 | Demetrio Crisantes | ARI | 76 | 82 |
13 | Axiel Plaz | PIT | 87 | 81 |
14 | Jonny Farmelo | SEA | 78 | 81 |
15 | Lazaro Montes | SEA | 92 | 81 |
16 | Arjun Nimmala | TOR | 84 | 80 |
17 | Walker Jenkins | MIN | 77 | 80 |
18 | Josue De Paula | LAD | 75 | 80 |
19 | Jeral Perez | LAD | 76 | 78 |
20 | Yasser Mercedes | MIN | 73 | 75 |
21 | Alfredo Duno | CIN | 77 | 75 |
22 | Jesus Baez | NYM | 77 | 74 |
23 | Max Clark | DET | 77 | 74 |
24 | Ralphy Velazquez | CLE | 75 | 74 |
25 | Cooper Pratt | MIL | 73 | 73 |
Although Phillies SS Starlyn Caba has a 24 wRC+ through 33 Low-A plate appearances, he has seven steals without being caught. We’ve previously raved about his elite defense from the shortstop position. If he can steal 25-to-30 bases per season, he has set a very high fantasy floor.
Caba’s teammate, C Eduardo Tait, has already blasted three home runs through 28 plate appearances for Clearwater. Tait hit six homers at the Complex at 17 years old and is one of RoboScout’s favorite breakouts of 2024. Only two months older than Leodalis de Vries (Padres), Tait has actually produced a higher 90th percentile exit velocity (103.8 mph vs 102.2 mph) and maximum exit velocity (112.2 mph vs. 106.9 mph) than the Padres prospect. Of course, the quality of the pitching they have faced this season is literally a minor league level apart.
Tait needs to continue developing defensively. He has an above-average arm, but other parts of his game behind the plate need refinement. If he can, he may enter 2025 as a preseason top-50 fantasy prospect who projects for 25+ homers a year.
Arjun Nimmala (Blue Jays) has continued to wield a hot bat since returning to Low-A Dunedin on June 27. He has smashed nine home runs over that time and now sits 16th on the Low-A hitters list. Although he has clearly rediscovered the potential 30-home run power that the Blue Jays envisioned when they drafted him in the first round in 2023, he does still have some swing-and-miss in his game, with a 68% contact rate on the season. Even in his hot streak during this second go-around in Low-A, Nimmala has a 32% strikeout rate. He has a better-than-league-average chase rate to go along with his plus barrel rate and plus expected wOBA on contact. There is still a long road ahead for the 18-year old. The fact that he has made adjustments after his initial struggles bodes well for his future.
JJ Wetherholt (Cardinals) has made 19 plate appearances in Low-A Palm Beach, and despite no home runs or stolen bases yet, he does have a 170 wRC+ with more walks than strikeouts. So far, it’s an encouraging debut for the No. 7 pick in the 2024 draft.
Low-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Matt Wilkinson | CLE | 100 | 100 |
2 | Jonah Tong | NYM | 91 | 95 |
3 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 86 | 95 |
4 | Alejandro Rosario | TEX | 85 | 93 |
5 | Didier Fuentes | ATL | 84 | 92 |
6 | Jarlin Susana | WSN | 81 | 92 |
7 | Travis Sykora | WSN | 88 | 92 |
8 | Santiago Suarez | TBR | 80 | 91 |
9 | Grant Taylor | CHW | 77 | 89 |
10 | Trevor Harrison | TBR | 82 | 88 |
11 | Eliazar Dishmey | MIA | 75 | 87 |
12 | Yujanyer Herrera | MIL | 84 | 84 |
13 | Sean Linan | LAD | 83 | 82 |
14 | Thomas White | MIA | 72 | 82 |
15 | Kohl Drake | TEX | 82 | 82 |
16 | George Klassen | LAA | 81 | 82 |
17 | Gary Gill Hill | TBR | 81 | 82 |
18 | Jace Kaminska | COL | 77 | 81 |
19 | Welinton Herrera | COL | 70 | 79 |
20 | Ovis Portes | BOS | 70 | 79 |
21 | Bishop Letson | MIL | 69 | 79 |
22 | Mavis Graves | PHI | 85 | 79 |
23 | Jose Gonzalez | TEX | 72 | 79 |
24 | Adam Serwinowski | CIN | 67 | 79 |
25 | Noble Meyer | MIA | 68 | 78 |
Braves righty Didier Fuentes struck out 16 while walking just two over nine innings in a pair of starts since the all-star break. I won’t mention the eight earned runs he allowed during that time. Instead, RoboScout is far more interested in the 35% strikeout rate and 5% walk rate over his last five starts.
As we’ve mentioned before, the 19-year-old (he doesn’t turn 20 until next June) has a solid fastball/slider mix. It’s fronted by his super-flat, low-slot 93 mph four-seam fastball that has over six-and-a-half feet of extension. He’ll likely need to develop his split changeup, which he throws 7% of the time, to stick in the rotation. The teenager has added 2 mph to his average slider velocity compared to last year and has seen his fastball max out at 96 mph this year compared to 94.3 in 2023. He has shown he can make significant gains to his arsenal. Fuentes is a fascinating and underrated arm in the Braves organization.
Rays 18-year-old righty Trevor Harrison has struck out 31% of batters over his first 17 innings for Low-A Charleston. That’s the second-highest mark of the 11 pitchers with 12+ innings in Low-A in their age-18 season, behind only Alex Clemmey (Nationals by way of the Guardians) who struck out 33% in 69 innings. Although Harrison does have a 10% walk rate, that is the fourth-lowest rate for the same pitching cohort. With a 94 mph fastball that has touched 98 mph, an 84 mph bullet slider, a changeup with nine mph velocity separation and 10 inches of vertical separation, and even an 88 mph cutter, the former high school teammate of Aidan Miller (Phillies) shows a midrotation starter’s arsenal.
Nationals righty Travis Sykora has climbed into the top seven. Sykora has a 45% strikeout rate over his last 32 innings. That’s the highest rate of punchies by any Low-A pitcher with at least 20 innings. Over that time, the 20-year-old has a sub-1.00 WHIP and a sub-2.00 ERA, along with a scintillating 22% swinging strike rate. His walk rate during that time is hovering right at 10% but even though a double-digit walk rate is a little higher than we would want, the 95 mph fastball from big extension, fronting an 83 mph slider and split changeup that both get over 50% whiffs, is a clear midrotation arsenal. Sykora is a solid top-125 fantasy prospect.
High-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Michael Arroyo | SEA | 100 | 100 |
2 | Luke Adams | MIL | 99 | 100 |
3 | Luke Keaschall | MIN | 93 | 96 |
4 | Kevin McGonigle | DET | 95 | 96 |
5 | Sebastian Walcott | TEX | 99 | 95 |
6 | Xavier Isaac | TBR | 91 | 92 |
7 | Sal Stewart | CIN | 85 | 90 |
8 | Lazaro Montes | SEA | 98 | 90 |
9 | Josue De Paula | LAD | 83 | 89 |
10 | Carter Jensen | KCR | 86 | 88 |
11 | Jesus Baez | NYM | 86 | 86 |
12 | Max Clark | DET | 87 | 85 |
13 | Alex Freeland | LAD | 77 | 84 |
14 | Jhostynxon Garcia | BOS | 78 | 83 |
15 | Brayden Taylor | TBR | 80 | 82 |
16 | Bryce Eldridge | SFG | 78 | 81 |
17 | William Bergolla | CHW | 80 | 81 |
18 | Henry Bolte | OAK | 76 | 80 |
19 | Angel Genao | CLE | 76 | 80 |
20 | Mike Boeve | MIL | 72 | 80 |
21 | Samuel Zavala | CHW | 78 | 80 |
22 | Cam Collier | CIN | 81 | 80 |
23 | Cooper Ingle | CLE | 72 | 79 |
24 | Jefferson Rojas | CHC | 75 | 78 |
25 | C.J. Kayfus | CLE | 70 | 77 |
Josue De Paula (Dodgers) has had a reasonably quiet 2024 season. Yet he sits in the top 10 of the High-A list as a teenager with a 125 wRC+, two home runs and four stolen bases over 98 plate appearances. With better than league-average swing decisions, contact and quality of contact—all the more impressive because he will stay a teenager until next May—the only knock against the sweet-swinging lefthander is that his defense may ultimately relegate him to a DH-only profile. Still, with the potential for a 60-hit, 60-power profile, he should be a no-doubt fantasy contributor.
Rockies 3B Kyle Karros hasn’t ranked on the High-A list yet, but he has performed quite well recently. Since June 14, Karros has put up a 180 wRC+ with nine home runs and seven stolen bases. The 2023 fifth-round pick has played a solid third base all season and has a solidly average contact rate, chase rate, and barrel rate, though he is far more effective against fastballs than against secondaries. Note that High-A Spokane boosts homers for righthanded batters by nearly 47%. RoboScout accounts for this already, but make sure you are doing the internal math when looking at the back of his baseball card.
No. 1 pick Travis Bazzana has a 183 wRC+ with a home run and a steal through 17 plate appearances for High-A Lake County. On the face of it, his 41% strikeout rate is puzzling. Keep in mind that he has a 7% swinging strike rate, which is indicative of his extremely passive approach to start his professional debut. It’s something to watch as he accrues a larger sample size.
Kevin McGonigle (Tigers) hit his first High-A home run this week and has maintained a sub-3% strikeout rate over his first 39 plate appearances for West Michigan. With his near-90% contact rate on the season, it is clear that the infielder has one of the better hit tools in the minor leagues. Subsequently, RoboScout projects him for a .280/.360 batting average and on-base percentage in the major leagues with around 15 home runs and 15 stolen bases. He’s a top-15 prospect per RoboScout.
High-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Noah Schultz | CHW | 90 | 100 |
2 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 92 | 99 |
3 | Luis Perales | BOS | 88 | 98 |
4 | Alejandro Rosario | TEX | 92 | 97 |
5 | Matt Wilkinson | CLE | 100 | 97 |
6 | Owen Murphy | ATL | 90 | 97 |
7 | Jarlin Susana | WSN | 88 | 97 |
8 | Chase Dollander | COL | 88 | 97 |
9 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 83 | 92 |
10 | Jonah Tong | NYM | 90 | 91 |
11 | George Klassen | PHI | 83 | 90 |
12 | K.C. Hunt | MIL | 90 | 88 |
13 | Kohl Drake | TEX | 92 | 88 |
14 | Brett Wichrowski | MIL | 80 | 87 |
15 | Thomas White | MIA | 80 | 87 |
16 | Sean Sullivan | COL | 93 | 87 |
17 | Alessandro Ercolani | PIT | 74 | 85 |
18 | Winston Santos | TEX | 76 | 84 |
19 | Jaden Hamm | DET | 84 | 83 |
20 | Jedixson Paez | BOS | 92 | 82 |
21 | Brandyn Garcia | SEA | 71 | 81 |
22 | Owen Wild | TBR | 77 | 80 |
23 | Austin Peterson | CLE | 79 | 80 |
24 | Ethan Pecko | HOU | 79 | 80 |
25 | Lazaro Estrada | TOR | 69 | 80 |
Nationals righty Jarlin Susana has been lights out in his first four starts for High-A Wilmington. Susana has 26 strikeouts to just three walks while going at least five innings in each start. We can’t undersell his improvements: in 56 innings in Low-A, he had a 12% walk rate and in the 20 innings he has pitched in High-A, his walk rate is under 4%! When you average 100 mph with nearly six and a half feet of extension and an 89 mph slider, you barely need to use your changeup—even if it has nearly 18 inches of armside fade.
His 57% groundball rate in High-A only adds to his floor, especially after eliciting the second-highest Low-A mark among pitchers with at least 50 innings. Susana was a popular sleeper in 2023. His lack of command prevented him from meeting that potential and seemed to all but assure his destiny as a reliever. This season, with his vastly improved command—at least recently—he might be changing that narrative. Worst case, he should be a successful major league closer.
Congratulations to Sean Sullivan (Rockies) on his promotion to Double-A Hartford on the heels of his 39% strikeout rate and sub-5% walk rate over his last four starts.
Double-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Emmanuel Rodriguez | MIN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Agustin Ramirez | NYY | 89 | 89 |
3 | Luke Keaschall | MIN | 86 | 89 |
4 | Moises Ballesteros | CHC | 88 | 87 |
5 | Roman Anthony | BOS | 86 | 86 |
6 | Carter Jensen | KCR | 86 | 85 |
7 | Matthew Lugo | BOS | 80 | 84 |
8 | Ryan Clifford | NYM | 81 | 80 |
9 | Cole Young | SEA | 81 | 80 |
10 | Deyvison De Los Santos | ARI | 83 | 80 |
11 | Hao-Yu Lee | DET | 79 | 79 |
12 | Kristian Campbell | BOS | 73 | 79 |
13 | Alex Freeland | LAD | 72 | 79 |
14 | Edgar Quero | CHW | 76 | 78 |
15 | Samuel Basallo | BAL | 86 | 77 |
16 | C.J. Kayfus | CLE | 74 | 77 |
17 | Matt Shaw | CHC | 75 | 76 |
18 | Carson Williams | TBR | 77 | 76 |
19 | Henry Bolte | OAK | 75 | 76 |
20 | Colby Thomas | OAK | 71 | 75 |
21 | Dalton Rushing | LAD | 67 | 74 |
22 | Jacob Wilson | OAK | 67 | 74 |
23 | Tyler Locklear | SEA | 66 | 72 |
24 | Jimmy Crooks | STL | 66 | 71 |
25 | Nick Cimillo | PIT | 63 | 71 |
Royals C Carter Jensen continues to mash since his Double-A promotion, hitting two homers in his first seven games. We have written about Jensen before and he ranks in the High-A top 10 as well. RoboScout likes his average-to-above average contact rate and chase rate, and his plus barrel rate and 90th percentile exit velocity. The 20-year-old’s 16 steals this season are the biggest surprise. I don’t expect him to steal more than 10 bases in the major leagues, but with an above-average bat and 20-ish home runs, it won’t be necessary in order to be productive in fantasy.
Although he is potentially behind Blake Mitchell (Royals) on the catching depth chart, Jensen is two levels ahead of him, giving him a potential head start on establishing himself in the major leagues before Mitchell creates any potential roster controversy (of the good variety). One thing to note is that Jensen has caught 30% of High-A base runners trying to steal against him this year while Mitchell has only thrown out 13% of would-be base stealers in Low-A. On the other side of the coin, Freddy Fermin has thrown out 56% of stolen base attempts in 2024, good enough for highest in the major leagues. Luckily, RoboScout is not needed to help resolve this catching situation for Kansas City.
Prior to the season, Matt Shaw (Cubs) was an extremely popular name in redraft leagues. After all, we already know about him in dynasty leagues. But eyebrows were first raised when the Cubs made a preseason trade for Michael Busch. Shaw was expected to be a fantasy contributor but has instead remained at Double-A all season. He finished May with an OPS below .750. Over the last six, weeks however, Shaw has been one of the hottest hitters in the minors, let alone in Double-A, and has climbed into the top 20.
Shaw finished June with a .901 OPS and posted a 1.061 OPS in July. Over his last 123 plate appearances, he has eight home runs and stolen eight bases, showing the type of production we expected coming into the season. On the season, the likely third baseman has put up a 77% contact rate, down from the 84% mark he had in his brief 2023, and his max exit velocity still has not attained the 112 mph mark that he achieved in 2023. Still, with another three home runs this week, it’s merely a matter of time before he finds himself in Triple-A Iowa.
Double-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Noah Schultz | CHW | 98 | 100 |
3 | Logan Henderson | MIL | 98 | 94 |
4 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | 90 | 93 |
5 | Tink Hence | STL | 98 | 89 |
6 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | 91 | 87 |
7 | Thomas Harrington | PIT | 90 | 87 |
8 | Brandon Sproat | NYM | 89 | 85 |
9 | Troy Melton | DET | 84 | 84 |
10 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 84 | 84 |
11 | Ben Casparius | LAD | 81 | 83 |
12 | Blade Tidwell | NYM | 79 | 82 |
13 | Ben Shields | NYY | 85 | 82 |
14 | Chandler Champlain | KCR | 95 | 82 |
15 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | 77 | 82 |
16 | Jackson Jobe | DET | 77 | 81 |
17 | Caden Dana | LAA | 85 | 80 |
18 | Winston Santos | TEX | 79 | 80 |
19 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL | 84 | 80 |
20 | Carson Palmquist | COL | 83 | 79 |
21 | Zach Penrod | BOS | 87 | 79 |
22 | Kyle McGowin | CHC | 82 | 79 |
23 | Shane Smith | MIL | 85 | 78 |
24 | Yilber Diaz | ARI | 83 | 78 |
25 | Brandon Young | BAL | 89 | 78 |
Brandon Sproat’s Friday night performance was the big story this week. The Mets righty struck out 13 batters, including 11th in a row. The outing jumped him from No. 25 to inside the top 10 of the Double-A list and earned him a promotion to Triple-A Syracuse. On the season, the 23-year-old righthander has put his 96 mph four-seam fastball, 86 mph slider, and changeup to good use, leading to a sub-1.00 WHIP and sub-3.00 on all ERA indicators. Sproat, along with Nolan McLean, Jonah Tong, and Blade Tidwell, has the Mets future rotation sitting in a nice spot for the next five years.
Drue Hackenberg (Braves) was a popular add in dynasty leagues last week. That makes a lot of sense when you realize he has struck out 22 batters and only walked one over his last 12 innings. If you add his previous three starts to those two, yes he has a 35% strikeout rate, but he also has an 11% walk rate. Under the hood, Hackenberg primarily throws his curveball, which has a foot of sweep and generates over 40% whiffs, followed by two fastballs that sit 92 to 94 mph and a changeup. Interestingly, Hackenberg elicited a 98th percentile 61% groundball rate in 59.1 High-A innings. In 29 Double-A innings, though, he has a 34% groundball rate. In our Top 30 write-up we compared him to Bryce Elder with a better fastball. RoboScout agrees and projects him as a back-of-the-rotation starter.
It’s worth noting that Jackson Jobe (Tigers) last year had a walk rate under 3% over 68 innings. This year in Double-A, he has a 14.5% walk rate over 42 innings. The WHIP is still only 1.11 on account of the hellacious stuff. Interestingly, although he increased his fastball velocity (97.1 mph compared to 96.5 in 2023) and has topped out at 100 mph compared to 98 last year, his slider now averages 82 mph compared to 85 mph in 2023. He has added four inches of sweep (17 vs. 13 in 2023). The trade-off in sweep compared to velocity is essentially even from a stuff perspective, but it’s puzzling nonetheless. Jobe’s strikeout and walk rates are eerily similar to Brewers RHP Jacob Misiorowski. Will we start to see more bullpen risk concerns for Jobe?
Triple-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | James Wood | WSN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Jackson Holliday | BAL | 93 | 92 |
3 | Coby Mayo | BAL | 88 | 91 |
4 | Kyle Manzardo | CLE | 83 | 88 |
5 | Adrian Del Castillo | ARI | 79 | 86 |
6 | Miguel Vargas | CHW | 78 | 86 |
7 | Jose Fermin | STL | 75 | 84 |
8 | Andy Pages | LAD | 74 | 82 |
9 | Chase Meidroth | BOS | 74 | 81 |
10 | Elehuris Montero | COL | 73 | 81 |
11 | Jacob Wilson | OAK | 70 | 78 |
12 | Dillon Dingler | DET | 69 | 78 |
13 | Shay Whitcomb | HOU | 76 | 77 |
14 | Angel Martinez | CLE | 75 | 76 |
15 | Moises Ballesteros | CHC | 74 | 76 |
16 | Agustin Ramirez | MIA | 73 | 76 |
17 | Deyvison De Los Santos | MIA | 82 | 76 |
18 | Javier Sanoja | MIA | 75 | 75 |
19 | Matthew Lugo | LAA | 68 | 75 |
20 | Henry Davis | PIT | 72 | 74 |
21 | Joey Loperfido | HOU | 65 | 73 |
22 | Niko Kavadas | LAA | 63 | 73 |
23 | Jonatan Clase | TOR | 69 | 73 |
24 | Jerar Encarnacion | SFG | 66 | 72 |
25 | Edgar Quero | CHW | 69 | 72 |
Congratulations to Dillon Dingler (Tigers) for his major league callup one day after appearing in these pages. Of course, two Orioles were also summoned to the big leagues: Jackson Holliday for the second time and Coby Mayo.
Giants outfielder Jerar Encarnacion is another interesting callup. He has 10 homers in his last 146 plate appearances dating back to June 14. The 26-year old has always had above-average bat speed, and has a 90th percentile exit velocity above 108 mph. In 2023, his contact rate was 58%, far below league average and worse than the 66% rate he had in 2022. In 2024, though, his contact rate is essentially league-average for Triple-A. When paired with his xwOBAcon that is essentially equivalent to Deyvison De Los Santos (Marlins via the Diamondbacks) and an OPS that is essentially the same as James Wood (Nationals). It’s quite possible that Encarnacion might be a source of power in redraft leagues this year.
Triple-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Paul Skenes | PIT | 100 | 100 |
2 | Christian Scott | NYM | 91 | 91 |
3 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 87 | 88 |
4 | David Festa | MIN | 89 | 80 |
5 | Will Warren | NYY | 80 | 80 |
6 | Chayce McDermott | BAL | 81 | 79 |
7 | Tylor Megill | NYM | 81 | 78 |
8 | Jack Leiter | TEX | 75 | 77 |
9 | Carson Spiers | CIN | 76 | 77 |
10 | Tobias Myers | MIL | 74 | 76 |
11 | Chad Patrick | MIL | 77 | 75 |
12 | Louie Varland | MIN | 79 | 75 |
13 | Yilber Diaz | ARI | 79 | 74 |
14 | Cade Povich | BAL | 85 | 74 |
15 | Elieser Hernandez | LAD | 74 | 74 |
16 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | 76 | 74 |
17 | Robert Gasser | MIL | 71 | 73 |
18 | Blake Snell | SFG | 74 | 72 |
19 | AJ Smith-Shawver | ATL | 74 | 72 |
20 | Alek Manoah | TOR | 76 | 72 |
21 | Slade Cecconi | ARI | 78 | 71 |
22 | Quinn Priester | PIT | 84 | 71 |
23 | Cristian Mena | ARI | 80 | 71 |
24 | Reid Detmers | LAA | 85 | 70 |
25 | Matt Manning | DET | 68 | 70 |
Congratulations to Will Warren (Yankees) for earning his major league debut after we spoke about him last week.
Now that Zebby Matthews (Twins) has accrued 14 innings in Triple-A, he finds himself leapfrogging organizational mate David Festa (Twins) and sitting third on the list. He also hasn’t walked anyone in Triple-A yet.
Happy bidding!