RoboScout Top MLB Prospects At Every Level On Aug. 25, 2024
Over the last week, the regular season of the DSL has ended, Christian Moore (Angels) has come back down to Earth and the hottest draftee names are currently Nick Kurtz (Athletics) and Cam Smith (Cubs). We’re also in the heat of pennant races – in the majors, the minors, and your fantasy leagues.
What else? As always, RoboScout has been watching it all for you – so let’s see…through games including August 24th.
As a reminder, the RoboScore is the value (0 to 100) assigned per level by RoboScout based on 2024 statistical performance and projecting fantasy value (without considering defensive ability or position). The RoboCast number is the RoboScore but with statcast blended in and then transformed to the 0 to 100 scale.
Dominican Summer League Hitters (FINAL, min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Emil Morales | LAD | 100 | 100 |
2 | Rainiel Rodriguez | STL | 91 | 94 |
3 | Eduardo Beltre | MIN | 85 | 90 |
4 | Jesus Made | MIL | 80 | 88 |
5 | Juneiker Caceres | CLE | 83 | 85 |
6 | Stiven Martinez | BAL | 77 | 84 |
7 | Jose Anderson | MIL | 74 | 80 |
8 | Luis Pena | MIL | 74 | 80 |
9 | Edward Florentino | PIT | 69 | 79 |
10 | Yolfran Castillo | TEX | 69 | 79 |
11 | Juan Ortuno | MIL | 71 | 77 |
12 | Santiago Camacho | SFG | 69 | 77 |
13 | Arnaldo Lantigua | LAD | 63 | 77 |
14 | Queni Pineda | NYY | 64 | 76 |
15 | Javier Sanchez | TEX | 79 | 76 |
16 | Jirvin Morillo | CIN | 66 | 76 |
17 | Justin Gonzales | BOS | 66 | 76 |
18 | Jhonny Level | SFG | 75 | 75 |
19 | Adriander Mejia | BAL | 63 | 75 |
20 | Sebastian Baquera | TEX | 66 | 74 |
With the regular DSL season now completed – and it being unlikely that any of the players will be brought over stateside into organized games with the Complex Leagues also being finished – we can dig into the players in more detail over the coming weeks. For now though, the top prospects from the DSL this year per RoboScout – with Statcast data considered in the analysis – are Emil Morales (Dodgers), Eduardo Beltre (Twins), and Jesus Made (Brewers). Each are likely Top 100 fantasy prospects.
Emil Morales had the highest wRC+ of any 17-year old, while also leading the league in home runs with 14. Under the hood, he showed an xwOBA of .447 which was nearly 3 standard deviations better than the league average.
Eduardo Beltre finished second in home runs behind Morales with 11 and himself had a reasonable approximation of Morales’ statcast metrics:
Name | Contact% | 90th EV | Chase% | Barrel% | xwOBAcon |
E Morales | 68% | 102.6 mph | 20% | 27% | .447 |
E Beltre | 69% | 102.6 mph | 24% | 21% | .498 |
Rainiel Rodriguez (Cardinals) was just behind the two sluggers in home runs with 10 on the season. He, however, is a catcher – and even with the reports on his framing being excellent, from a fantasy perspective, investing in a teenage catcher who has not yet made it stateside is risky and I consider him a tier below the big three.
That leaves Jesus Made who had the third highest contact rate amongst all hitters with at least 25 plate appearances but also the fourth highest 90th percentile exit velocity of a 17-year old at 104 mph. Despite the high exit velocities, he only hit six home runs on the season – in no small part because he had a 50% groundball rate. Still, his xwOBAcon – which is derived from exit velocity and launch angle – was still .361, which would grade out as a 65 on the 20 to 80 scale for the DSL. Add in the fact that he stole 28 bases and he has arguably the highest fantasy ceiling of any hitter in the DSL in 2024.
Low-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Leodalis De Vries | SDP | 100 | 100 |
2 | Colt Emerson | SEA | 86 | 93 |
3 | Michael Arroyo | SEA | 86 | 90 |
4 | Aidan Smith | SEA | 85 | 89 |
5 | Blake Mitchell | KCR | 82 | 88 |
6 | Eric Bitonti | MIL | 81 | 87 |
7 | Kevin McGonigle | DET | 82 | 86 |
8 | Franklin Arias | BOS | 81 | 85 |
9 | Demetrio Crisantes | ARI | 78 | 85 |
10 | Zyhir Hope | LAD | 77 | 85 |
11 | Robert Calaz | COL | 83 | 84 |
12 | Jaison Chourio | CLE | 80 | 84 |
13 | Lazaro Montes | SEA | 89 | 82 |
14 | Arjun Nimmala | TOR | 84 | 81 |
15 | Jonny Farmelo | SEA | 76 | 81 |
16 | Walker Jenkins | MIN | 76 | 81 |
17 | Luis Merejo | CLE | 76 | 80 |
18 | Josue De Paula | LAD | 73 | 80 |
19 | Pablo Guerrero | TEX | 79 | 80 |
20 | Yeremi Cabrera | TEX | 77 | 79 |
21 | Welbyn Francisca | CLE | 78 | 77 |
22 | Eduardo Quintero | LAD | 72 | 76 |
23 | Max Clark | DET | 76 | 76 |
24 | Jeral Perez | CHW | 72 | 76 |
25 | Alfredo Duno | CIN | 75 | 75 |
Eric Bitonti (Brewers) and Franklin Arias (Red Sox) have cooled since their torrid introduction to Low-A but are still in the Top 10. As a reminder, RoboScout regresses as part of the model, therefore, it should reduce some of the volatility associated with small sample size performance is attenuated.
Bo Davidson (Giants) has been getting a lot of warranted buzz recently as the 21-year old outfielder has a 172 wRC+ with nine home runs and six stolen bases in 217 plate appearances. But it’s been recently that the sweet-swinging undrafted free agent has really been on fire with five home runs and three stolen bases in his last 76 plate appearances where he’s put up an absurd 271 wRC+, the second highest weighted runs created plus of anyone with at least 20 plate appearances since July 29th – behind only Nick Kurtz (Athletics)…more on that later.
Under the hood, Davidson has shown improvements in the last month too. Coming into August, he had a 68% contact rate which would grade as a 45 in Low-A, his chase rate was league average at 25%, but his xwOBAcon was plus at .364. In August, his contact rate has been much better at 74%, his chase rate has been 18%, and his xwOBAcon has been a preposterous .618. With his 90th percentile exit velocity sitting at 106 mph on the season with a maximum exit velocity of 110 mph, the bat speed is clearly above average. The main concern is the below average contact rate. leading to a 24% strikeout rate, which will put pressure on the batting average as he rises through the levels – though, the fact that he is playing an above-average defense in the outfield will raise his floor. Essentially, his statcast hitting profile looks a lot like Zyhir Hope (Dodgers) or Yeremi Cabrera (Rangers), but of course he is two years and three years older than those other names, lowering his ceiling.
Luis Merejo (Guardians) has hit three home runs and has a 182 wRC+ across 75 plate appearances in his time at Low-A. Unlike the archetypical Guardian infield prospect, the 18-year old has “only” an average contact rate and, again, off-brand, tremendous bat speed. With a 106 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and a 113 mph maximum exit velocity, Merejo actually bests fellow 18-year old Eric Bitonti (Brewers) on both measures. To put what Merejo is doing in context with another formerly antithetical Guardian prospect, Junior Caminero (Rays) who also reached Low-A as an 18-year old in 2022, check out their Statcast data comparison in their age 18 seasons:
Name (18yrs at CPX & A) | Contact% | 90th EV | Hard Hit% | Barrel% | Chase% |
L Merejo (2024, 275 PAs) | 70% | 106.1 mph | 52% | 21% | 21% |
J Caminero (2022, 271 PAs) | 77% | 106.6 mph | 44% | 14% | 31% |
It’s a clumsy comparison but Caminero was rightfully lauded for his quality of contact at such a young age – paired with better-than-average ability to make contact. Luis Merejo has arguably better quality-of-contact metrics than Caminero had at the same age, with better swing decisions – though only fringe average contact ability. Expect Merejo to be a popular off-season helium prospect name.
The highest ranked 2024 draftees at Low-A (minimum 25 plate appearances), per RoboScout – in an extremely small sample – but with Statcast data included are:
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Nick Kurtz | OAK | 65 | 75 |
2 | Cam Smith | CHC | 64 | 73 |
3 | Ethan Anderson | BAL | 62 | 71 |
4 | Callan Moss | KCR | 60 | 68 |
5 | Brendan Jones | NYY | 59 | 68 |
6 | Jared Thomas | COL | 60 | 66 |
7 | Sam Antonacci | CHW | 57 | 66 |
7 | Ian Petrutz | STL | 58 | 66 |
8 | Robert Hipwell | SFG | 55 | 65 |
9 | Aaron Parker | TOR | 59 | 65 |
10 | Duce Gourson | PIT | 56 | 65 |
Low-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Matt Wilkinson | CLE | 100 | 100 |
2 | Travis Sykora | WSN | 94 | 98 |
3 | Jonah Tong | NYM | 91 | 96 |
4 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 86 | 96 |
5 | Jarlin Susana | WSN | 81 | 93 |
6 | Didier Fuentes | ATL | 83 | 93 |
7 | Alejandro Rosario | TEX | 85 | 93 |
8 | George Klassen | LAA | 81 | 92 |
9 | Santiago Suarez | TBR | 79 | 91 |
10 | Grant Taylor | CHW | 77 | 90 |
11 | Trevor Harrison | TBR | 79 | 88 |
12 | Yujanyer Herrera | COL | 82 | 86 |
13 | Anderson Brito | HOU | 71 | 84 |
14 | Eliazar Dishmey | MIA | 70 | 83 |
15 | Thomas White | MIA | 72 | 82 |
16 | Rafael Gonzalez | HOU | 74 | 82 |
17 | Kohl Drake | TEX | 82 | 82 |
18 | Jace Kaminska | COL | 77 | 82 |
19 | Gary Gill Hill | TBR | 80 | 81 |
20 | Welinton Herrera | COL | 70 | 81 |
21 | Josh Knoth | MIL | 75 | 80 |
22 | Adam Serwinowski | CIN | 67 | 79 |
23 | Sean Linan | LAD | 80 | 79 |
24 | Jackson Nezuh | HOU | 68 | 79 |
25 | Noble Meyer | MIA | 68 | 78 |
There is no hotter pitcher in all of the minor leagues than Travis Sykora (Nationals) who has now clawed his way to the No. 2 spot on the Low-A robo-rankings. Every week, we lavish new accolades upon him – such as a 42% strikeout minus walk rate since July 29th which is the highest amongst Low-A pitchers with at least 10 innings pitched, where the next highest pitcher has a distant 36%. Or the fact that he has a 0.45 WHIP and 24.5% swinging strike rate during that span – again, the best marks by far amongst his Low-A cohort. The 2023 third round draft pick has a starter’s mix of a 95 mph fastball that has kissed 99 mph, an 83 mph slider that gets nearly 50% whiffs and a changeup/splitter that has 10 mph separation from his heater. He’s a top 20 fantasy pitching prospect.
A few weeks ago, we highlighted Anderson Brito (Astros) as the premier DSL name and, fast forward a month or so, and the righthander finds himself in the Top 15 on the Low-A robo-rankings. Although the 16.5% walk rate is too high, RoboScout likes the teenager’s 35% strikeout rate and especially loves the stuff. The righthander has a 96 mph fastball that touches 99 mph and has a super-flat -4.2 vertical approach angle, an 82 mph slider that has over a foot of glove-side sweep, and a changeup that has over a foot of arm-side fade. As suspected, the arsenal we saw in the DSL has been able to play Stateside and was not just a scenario of Brito bullying hapless teenagers in the Dominican Republic who aren’t old enough to watch Deadpool vs Wolverine without a parent’s permission. Even if Brito can’t improve his command, he has the stuff that would suit a bullpen.
Another pitcher who has been on fire over the last month has been Braxton Bragg (Orioles) who has struck out 34% of batters he’s faced over his last four starts while only walking 4%, with a 0.42 ERA over that span. Although older for the level, his stuff is above average with his primary pitch being an 81 mph slider, an ultra-flat 94 mph four seam fastball, a 93 mph two-seamer that has over 17 inches of horizontal tail from his low 5-foot release height, a change-up with nearly a foot-and-a-half of arm-side fade, and even an 87 mph cutter. Looks like another Oriole pitching developmental success as the 2023 eighth round pick out of Dallas Baptist, who signed for only $100,000, has been showing the ingredients for a back-of-the-rotation starter. Of course, we will feel a lot better about his performance once he gets to High-A Aberdeen seeing as he is already 23-years old.
High-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Michael Arroyo | SEA | 100 | 100 |
2 | Colt Emerson | SEA | 96 | 98 |
3 | Luke Adams | MIL | 96 | 98 |
4 | Luke Keaschall | MIN | 95 | 98 |
5 | Cam Collier | CIN | 96 | 96 |
6 | Kevin McGonigle | DET | 91 | 93 |
7 | Sebastian Walcott | TEX | 100 | 93 |
8 | Lazaro Montes | SEA | 98 | 92 |
9 | Sal Stewart | CIN | 87 | 91 |
10 | Thayron Liranzo | DET | 86 | 89 |
11 | Xavier Isaac | TBR | 93 | 89 |
12 | Bryce Eldridge | SFG | 87 | 89 |
13 | Josue De Paula | LAD | 83 | 88 |
14 | Walker Jenkins | MIN | 85 | 88 |
15 | Carter Jensen | KCR | 89 | 88 |
16 | Jhostynxon Garcia | BOS | 82 | 86 |
17 | Alex Freeland | LAD | 79 | 85 |
18 | Max Clark | DET | 85 | 85 |
19 | Jesus Baez | NYM | 83 | 83 |
20 | Ralphy Velazquez | CLE | 82 | 83 |
21 | Cooper Ingle | CLE | 76 | 82 |
22 | William Bergolla | PHI | 83 | 82 |
23 | Brayden Taylor | TBR | 82 | 82 |
24 | Tre’ Morgan | TBR | 79 | 82 |
25 | Mike Boeve | MIL | 73 | 81 |
Colt Emerson (Mariners) sits at No. 4 on the High-A list now that he has accumulated 76 plate appearances at the level, despite being 2 for his last 34 with no home runs. The shortstop just turned 19-years old a month ago and, despite the recent slump, still projects to be a high batting average, high OBP bat, averaging around 20 home runs per season.
Cam Collier (Reds) started off 2024 extremely hot but then cooled considerably. In August, the 19-year old is once again scorching the ball with a 259 wRC+ – the second highest mark at the level, behind only Thayron Liranzo (Dodgers) amongst hitters with at least 20 plate appearances in the month. After hitting four home runs in his last two games, Collier now has 19 home runs and a 134 wRC+ on the season over 458 plate appearances, which projects to be 25+ home runs at peak in the major leagues. After an extremely quiet mid-summer, Collier has re-emerged as a top 100 fantasy prospect per RoboScout.
Speaking of Liranzo (Tigers), the catcher has hit four home runs in his last 64 plate appearances in August. Liranzo is once again showing that he projects to be a 20 home run bat in the major leagues.
The hitter with the most home runs in High-A since July 29th – with 11 over 105 plate appearances – is Spencer Nivens (Royals) who also has a 215 wRC+ over that time. On the season, the 22-year old outfielder has a 28% strikeout rate which puts a huge damper on his prospect value. Even during his ungodly hot streak, Nivens has a 26% strikeout rate. Even with the ability to hit 25 to 30 home runs in the major leagues, it might not be sufficient to overcome a sub-.300 OBP. RoboScout thinks he is only worth rostering in the deepest of leagues.
The highest ranked 2024 draftees at High-A (minimum 25 plate appearances), per RoboScout – in an extremely small sample – but with statcast data included are:
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Travis Bazzana | CLE | 57 | 64 |
2 | Dylan Dreiling | TEX | 55 | 63 |
3 | Jac Caglianone | KCR | 47 | 56 |
4 | Zach Ehrhard | BOS | 45 | 50 |
5 | Gage Miller | MIA | 50 | 49 |
High-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Alejandro Rosario | TEX | 100 | 100 |
2 | Noah Schultz | CHW | 92 | 98 |
3 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 95 | 98 |
4 | Luis Perales | BOS | 90 | 97 |
5 | Owen Murphy | ATL | 92 | 96 |
6 | Chase Dollander | COL | 90 | 96 |
7 | Jarlin Susana | WSN | 90 | 96 |
8 | Matt Wilkinson | CLE | 100 | 93 |
9 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 85 | 90 |
10 | George Klassen | LAA | 86 | 90 |
11 | Alessandro Ercolani | PIT | 81 | 89 |
12 | K.C. Hunt | MIL | 92 | 88 |
13 | Jonah Tong | NYM | 88 | 86 |
14 | Thomas White | MIA | 82 | 86 |
15 | Sean Sullivan | COL | 95 | 85 |
16 | Kohl Drake | TEX | 92 | 85 |
17 | Brett Wichrowski | MIL | 82 | 85 |
18 | Ryan Lobus | TEX | 82 | 84 |
19 | Winston Santos | TEX | 78 | 83 |
20 | Owen Wild | TBR | 81 | 82 |
21 | Jedixson Paez | BOS | 93 | 81 |
22 | Yoniel Curet | TBR | 72 | 80 |
23 | Brandyn Garcia | SEA | 72 | 79 |
24 | Ethan Pecko | HOU | 82 | 79 |
25 | Yujanyer Herrera | COL | 83 | 79 |
It’s only taken 35 innings but Alejandro Rosario (Rangers) now sits atop the High-A robo-rankings. The righthander has been a stalwart name in these pages for months now and has been one of the biggest breakouts of 2024 with his fastball, slider, and changeup mix. Amongst all pitchers in High-A who have thrown a minimum of 12 innings and average over 4 innings per appearance, Rosario trails only major league pitcher Zebby Matthews (Twins) in strikeout-minus-walk rate. He’s a top 10 fantasy pitching prospect per RoboScout.
The most dominant performance of the last month has belonged to Ryan Lobus (Rangers) who has had 56 strikeouts and only 5 walks since July 1 as both a long-man out of the bullpen or starter, averaging four innings per appearance. Over the last four weeks though, the righthanded side-armer has been even more dominant, with a preposterous 53% strikeout rate and 23% swinging strike rate over that period, with a sub-1.00 WHIP and sub 2.00 ERA. Although the fastball only sits 91 mph, it is a tough look – especially for righthanded batters – especially when considering that there is over 29 inches of East-West movement variance amongst his pitches. With his low 90s fastball, he may not have the stuff to play in a rotation but his unique look and profile would complement a modern bullpen.
After being a part of the Isaac Paredes trade with the Cubs, Ty Johnson (Rays) has made four appearances for High-A Bowling Green, including one as a starter, and the 22-year old righthander has struck out 45% of the batters he’s faced with a sub 1.00 WHIP and sub 1.00 ERA over 14 innings. The 2023 15th rounder has a 94 mph fastball that has touched 98 mph, along with an 84 mph slider and 82 mph changeup, all thrown with above-average extension leading them to play up. On the Cubs, his pitch mix was 55% four-seamer, 33% slider, 8% changeup, and 4% two-seamer. Since the trade to the Rays, it’s 39% four-seamer, 31% two-seamer, 28% slider and the changeup only 2%. In other words, it’s been a big increase in his sinker usage and reduction in changeup usage, possibly because the cambio was his only pitch that had a CSW% that was below league average.
Another pitcher who joined the Rays after the trade deadline was Brody Hopkins. Since July 29th, the 22-year old right hander has a solid 1.05 WHIP and 3.32 ERA with a 31% strikeout rate. The Rays again seem to be encouraging more use of his two-seamer, as his primary mix for the Mariners was 24% usage of his 96 mph, ultra-flat four-seamer and 23% usage of his 95 mph sinker, with his 87 mph slider being thrown 40% of the time. Now with High-A Bowling Green, the slider usage has decreased to only 27% of the time with his two-seamer being increased to 32%. Another bump has been more usage of his cutter, up from 5% to 12%, while his changeup has been essentially abandoned – similar to Ty Johnson above – after arriving in the Tampa Bay organization. Perhaps it is a new philosophical position for the Rays, or perhaps it is just specific to these two pitcher’s off-speed pitches themselves that is being mistaken for a trend – but it is an interesting observation nonetheless.
Double-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Emmanuel Rodriguez | MIN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Roman Anthony | BOS | 90 | 90 |
3 | Agustin Ramirez | NYY | 89 | 89 |
4 | Luke Keaschall | MIN | 85 | 88 |
5 | Moises Ballesteros | CHC | 89 | 86 |
6 | Kristian Campbell | BOS | 79 | 84 |
7 | Matthew Lugo | LAA | 80 | 84 |
8 | Cole Young | SEA | 83 | 82 |
9 | Samuel Basallo | BAL | 88 | 81 |
10 | Deyvison De Los Santos | ARI | 83 | 80 |
11 | Alex Freeland | LAD | 73 | 79 |
12 | Edgar Quero | CHW | 77 | 79 |
13 | Dalton Rushing | LAD | 71 | 78 |
14 | Ryan Clifford | NYM | 79 | 78 |
15 | Carter Jensen | KCR | 79 | 77 |
16 | Jhostynxon Garcia | BOS | 74 | 77 |
17 | Jimmy Crooks | STL | 72 | 77 |
18 | Matt Shaw | CHC | 76 | 77 |
19 | Hao-Yu Lee | DET | 78 | 76 |
20 | Xavier Isaac | TBR | 81 | 76 |
21 | Cooper Ingle | CLE | 70 | 75 |
22 | Colby Thomas | OAK | 72 | 74 |
23 | Jacob Wilson | OAK | 68 | 74 |
24 | Carson Williams | TBR | 76 | 74 |
25 | Alejandro Osuna | TEX | 69 | 73 |
The type of start that Christian Moore (Angels) had in Double-A was always unsustainable. Now that he has accrued 70 plate appearances for Rocket City, we can view his performance in a more dispassionate light. He still has a 180 wRC+ and five home runs – but with a contact rate of 64%, there is a bit more swing-and-miss to his game than we would like – situating him currently at No. 30 on the overall Double-A robo-rankings. The quality-of-contact – his xwOBAcon is still at an outrageously lofty .564 – is at the top of the charts and he is still projected to hit 25 home runs in the major leagues. If his strikeout rate hovers at 34%, he may only be a .240/.320 type hitter. With this two week slump, Moore drops to the 100 to 125 area amongst fantasy prospects.
RoboScout mentioned RJ Schreck (Blue Jays) a month ago as a potentially under-the-radar outfielder in a loaded Mariners system who was showing plus swing decisions, above average contact, above average outfield defense, and a 20% barrel rate. After being traded for Justin Turner, Schreck has hit five home runs, with a 197 wRC+, over 77 plate appearances, and impressed Geoff Pontes a few days ago. He’s an underrated prospect.
Double-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Noah Schultz | CHW | 95 | 97 |
3 | Kumar Rocker | TEX | 96 | 94 |
4 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 95 | 93 |
5 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | 90 | 92 |
6 | Logan Henderson | MIL | 98 | 92 |
7 | Chase Dollander | COL | 89 | 91 |
8 | K.C. Hunt | MIL | 99 | 90 |
9 | Tink Hence | STL | 97 | 89 |
10 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | 91 | 88 |
11 | Thomas Harrington | PIT | 90 | 86 |
12 | David Sandlin | BOS | 85 | 86 |
13 | Troy Melton | DET | 84 | 85 |
14 | Brandon Sproat | NYM | 89 | 85 |
15 | Ben Shields | NYY | 87 | 84 |
16 | Ben Casparius | LAD | 81 | 84 |
17 | Blade Tidwell | NYM | 80 | 83 |
18 | Peter Van Loon | BAL | 85 | 82 |
19 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | 78 | 82 |
20 | Chandler Champlain | KCR | 95 | 82 |
21 | Winston Santos | TEX | 81 | 81 |
22 | Tyler Stuart | WSN | 83 | 81 |
23 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL | 84 | 80 |
24 | Sean Sullivan | COL | 93 | 80 |
25 | Caden Dana | LAA | 85 | 80 |
How often has this happened to you? You leave town for a couple weeks and return to see that Kumar Rocker (Rangers) has popped into third place on the Double-A pitchers robo-rankings. The resume is impressive: in four starts for Double-A Frisco, Rocker has struck out 41% of batters whilst only walking 5% – and his swinging strike rate of 24% leads all Double-A starting pitchers who have thrown at least 12 innings, trailing only relief aces Ben Joyce (Angels) and Andrew Walters (Guardians). Under the hood, the stuff heralds Kumar’s resurgence with his main offerings being a four-seam fastball sitting 98 mph and his tight bullet slider averaging 87 mph and which elicits above average whiffs and chases, with each pitch in his arsenal grading above average per Stuff+. There is some inconsistency in the mechanics thus far though with some release height variance amongst the pitch types of up to 3 inches – and, interestingly, extension variance too, between the fastballs and the secondaries. Not sure what all of that means yet –will astute hitters pick up on the discrepancies? – but as of now, it doesn’t seem to be hurting him in this small sample size. And it’s great to see the 2022 first round draft pick excelling in 2024. His next start is earmarked for Triple-A Round Rock.
It’s been a disappointing 2024 season for Robby Snelling (Marlins) but ever since he was the main part of the Tanner Scott trade with the Padres, the southpaw has had a 41% strikeout rate with a swinging strike rate just shy of 20% for his new club. Bienvenido a Miami, indeed. In terms of pitch mix, nothing has really changed in his three starts with the Double-A Pensacola: it’s still 59% usage of his 92 mph four-seam fastball, 25% usage of his 80 mph slider/curveball, and 16% usage of his 85 mph changeup. It’s too early to conclude anything, but perhaps Snelling just needed a change of scenery.
Triple-A Hitters (min 25 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | James Wood | WSN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Jackson Holliday | BAL | 93 | 92 |
3 | Coby Mayo | BAL | 88 | 91 |
4 | Adrian Del Castillo | ARI | 79 | 86 |
5 | Kyle Manzardo | CLE | 82 | 86 |
6 | Miguel Vargas | CHW | 78 | 86 |
7 | Andy Pages | LAD | 76 | 85 |
8 | Chase Meidroth | BOS | 77 | 84 |
9 | Roman Anthony | BOS | 80 | 83 |
10 | Jose Fermin | STL | 71 | 80 |
11 | Jacob Wilson | OAK | 71 | 79 |
12 | Elehuris Montero | COL | 70 | 79 |
13 | Dillon Dingler | DET | 69 | 78 |
14 | Shay Whitcomb | HOU | 75 | 77 |
15 | Nacho Alvarez Jr. | ATL | 68 | 75 |
16 | Andres Chaparro | WSN | 68 | 74 |
17 | Matthew Lugo | LAA | 66 | 74 |
18 | Moises Ballesteros | CHC | 73 | 74 |
19 | Luis Matos | SFG | 67 | 74 |
20 | Junior Caminero | TBR | 70 | 74 |
21 | Deyvison De Los Santos | ARI | 78 | 73 |
22 | Joey Loperfido | HOU | 65 | 73 |
23 | Jerar Encarnacion | SFG | 66 | 73 |
24 | Agustin Ramirez | MIA | 69 | 73 |
25 | Jasson Dominguez | NYY | 65 | 73 |
The most exciting trio of hitters on a team in Triple-A right now has to be Roman Anthony, Chase Meidroth and Kristian Campbell on the Worcester Red Sox. With seven home runs amongst them since July 29 and with each of them being 22-years old or younger, the future looks very bright for Beantown – even without including Marcelo Mayer.
Max Muncy (Athletics) and Nick Allen (Athletics) have been quite hot for Triple-A Las Vegas as they’ve both hit five home runs each in August. Muncy, at just 21-years old, projects to be an above average hitter in the major leagues with 20+ home run power. Although athletic enough to play shortstop now, he seems a bit out of position there defensively and may end up at second base on account of his average arm strength.
Congratulations to Shay Whitcomb (Astros) who has been a mainstay in the Triple-A robo-rankings and finally earned a major league call up after 25 home runs, 26 stolen bases, and excellent infield defense.
Triple-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Paul Skenes | PIT | 100 | 100 |
2 | Christian Scott | NYM | 91 | 91 |
3 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 88 | 88 |
4 | Tylor Megill | NYM | 88 | 86 |
5 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | 85 | 86 |
6 | Jack Leiter | TEX | 82 | 84 |
7 | David Festa | MIN | 88 | 81 |
8 | Will Warren | NYY | 80 | 81 |
9 | Logan Henderson | MIL | 85 | 80 |
10 | Chayce McDermott | BAL | 81 | 79 |
11 | Thomas Harrington | PIT | 80 | 77 |
12 | Carson Spiers | CIN | 76 | 77 |
13 | Tobias Myers | MIL | 74 | 77 |
14 | Yilber Diaz | ARI | 80 | 75 |
15 | AJ Smith-Shawver | ATL | 77 | 75 |
16 | Elieser Hernandez | LAD | 74 | 75 |
17 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | 76 | 74 |
18 | Louie Varland | MIN | 77 | 74 |
19 | Robert Gasser | MIL | 71 | 74 |
20 | Cade Povich | BAL | 83 | 74 |
21 | Blake Snell | SFG | 74 | 73 |
22 | Alek Manoah | TOR | 76 | 72 |
23 | Chad Patrick | MIL | 73 | 72 |
24 | Reid Detmers | LAA | 86 | 71 |
25 | Alec Marsh | KCR | 78 | 71 |
Back on July 15, Eli Ben-Porat highlighted the improvements that Sean Burke (White Sox) made to his arsenal, essentially adding two mph to each of his four pitches. In his last five starts, the results have started catching up to the improvement in Stuff as he has struck out 38% of batters with a swinging strike rate of 15.5%. The command continues to be the main concern as, even during this dominant streak, the walk rate is still a bit high at 9%. All in all, the results point to a starting pitcher with the potential for No. 3 potential in his peak years. With Ky Bush and Jonathan Cannon seemingly given free rein in the White Sox rotation, don’t be surprised if we see Burke debut in the final month of the season. The Sox would have to make a 40-man roster move to accommodate.
Congratulations to Ben Casparius (Dodgers) who was written about in these pages a few months ago when he was still in Double-A. Although he didn’t make an appearance, the 2021 fifth round pick did get called up and was on the major league roster for three games.
Bubba Chandler (Pirates) keeps putting in his bid for a late season call-up as well, as the 21-year old right hander has struck out 23 batters and only walked five in his three Triple-A starts totalling 18 innings. In last week’s RoboScout Top 100 of non-debuted prospects, Chandler appeared at No. 11. The Pirates are putting together a formidable rotation.
In his most recent four starts for Triple-A Toledo, Ty Madden (Tigers) has a swinging strike rate of 20%, the highest for a starting pitcher since July 29th. As a result, he got a call-up to the big leagues this weekend. RoboScout sees a No. 3 or No. 4 starting pitcher with a 94-mph four-seam fastball, 83-mph bullet slider, an 87-mph cutter, a changeup, and even a curveball with all four secondaries getting better-than-league-average whiffs.
Happy bidding!