90th Percentile: Are Prep Pitching Gains From High School To Pro Ball Real Or A Mirage?

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Image credit: (Photo by Bill Mitchell)

This week on the 90th Percentile Podcast, hosts Matt Pajak and Geoff Pontes discuss prep pitching prospects and their reported fastball velocity pre-draft.

Do prep arms gain velocity after reaching pro ball? Does velo stay the same? Or is there some inconsistency between what’s reported and what’s real?

To address these questions, Matt and Geoff examine a variety of prep pitchers taken between the 2020 and 2023 drafts to see if high schoolers have gained velocity in the years following their draft.

Time Stamps

  • (3:30) 70 Grade BBQ In Denver
  • (7:30) The Genesis Of Prep Pitcher Marketing
  • (10:30) Cole Phillips
  • (12:15) Alex Clemmey
  • (16:00) Showcasing Pitchers At Their Best
  • (18:00) More Physically Maxed Prep Prospects
  • (19:00) 2020 Draft Class
  • (22:00) Have There Been Velocity Gains?
  • (24:00) Prep Pitchers That Have Seen Velocity Gains
  • (30:00) Break
  • (33:00) Nick Bitsko, Ben Hernandez, Justin Lange and Dax Fulton
  • (36:00) Chase Petty
  • (38:00) Is Prep Velocity Projection A Myth?
  • (41:00) College Pitchers Make Bigger Velocity Jumps
  • (45:00) Noah Schultz
  • (53:00) Final Thoughts 

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