2024 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Startup Mock Draft
Image credit: Julio Rodriguez (Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images)
For the second consecutive season, Baseball America’s fantasy team headed by Dylan White and Geoff Pontes assembled a star-studded group of dynasty and prospect rankers to mock out the first 360 picks of a startup dynasty league.
The league is structured as a 5×5 roto style scoring with on-base percentage swapped for batting average. Our rosters consisted of one catcher, a first baseman, second baseman, third baseman, shortstop, corner infield, middle infield, five outfielders, one utility spot and nine pitchers.
There were 12 teams, making this a shallower dynasty league. Due to the shallow nature of this league’s player pool we required a minimum of five prospects rostered per team.
Dynasty Top 700
See Baseball America’s exclusive dynasty fantasy rankings, featuring new 2024 analysis for the top 200 players.
Dylan White tracked the leagues projected standings using Fangraphs projections. Jordan Rosenberg of Scout The Statline and Prospects Live is our projected champion with Baseball America’s duo of Dylan White and Geoff Pontes finishing second and third respectively.
You can see full results from the draft here. Users can sort by an overall view of the draft, team-by-team and round-by-round selections. We have also asked each manager to break down their draft below.
Here are the results from the first round.
1. Ronald Acuna Jr., OF, Braves (Jordan Rosenblum, Prospects Live)
2. Julio Rodriguez, OF, Mariners (Ross Jensen, Scout The Statline)
3. Corbin Carroll, OF, D-backs (The Itch, Razzball)
4. Bobby Witt Jr., SS, Royals (Chris Blessing, Baseball HQ)
5. Juan Soto, OF, Yankees (Shelly Verougstraete, Rotoworld)
6. Fernando Tatis Jr., OF, Padres (Matt Eddy, Baseball America)
7. Kyle Tucker, OF, Astros (Dylan White, Baseball America)
8. Shohei Ohtani, UT, Dodgers (Geoff Pontes, Baseball America)
9. Yordan Alvarez, OF, Astros (Jesse Roche, Baseball Prospectus)
10. Mookie Betts, OF, Dodgers (James Anderson, RotoWire)
11. Aaron Judge, OF, Yankees (Eric Cross, FTN Fantasy)
12. Spencer Strider, RHP Braves (Chris Clegg, Dynasty Dugout)
Jordan Rosenblum, Prospects Live
In the year of our lord Acuña 2024, my rule of thumb is that in any league where you’re lucky enough to get the best player, you have to go all in to avoid a missed opportunity. There has never been a bigger projection gap between Ronald Acuña Jr. and the next best player.
Accordingly, I drafted a win-now team projected to dominate the league in 2024 per Dylan White’s number crunching using FanGraphs projections. I have both the best projected hitting and pitching, forecasted to win the league by 23 standings points.
My pitching is highlighted by Corbin Burnes, Kevin Gausman, and Tyler Glasnow, with Jhoan Duran headlining my bullpen. On the offensive side, Acuña’s supporting cast is led by José Ramírez and underrated OBP stalwarts, Kyle Schwarber and Alex Bregman.
Lastly, although I am going for it in 2024, I could not pass up major injury discounts on Shane McClanahan and Jacob deGrom after pick 100. If we played this one out, both would have a ton of trade value to noncontenders near the trade deadline in year one—if I didn’t decide to keep them and have an even more stellar 2025 rotation.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 1 | 1 | OF | Ronald Acuna Jr. | ATL |
2 | 12 | 24 | 3B | Jose Ramirez | CLE |
3 | 1 | 25 | P | Corbin Burnes | BAL |
4 | 12 | 48 | P | Kevin Gausman | TOR |
5 | 1 | 49 | P | Tyler Glasnow | LAD |
6 | 12 | 72 | OF | Kyle Schwarber | PHI |
7 | 1 | 73 | 3B | Alex Bregman | HOU |
8 | 12 | 96 | P | Jhoan Duran | MIN |
9 | 1 | 97 | 2B | Andres Gimenez | CLE |
10 | 12 | 120 | 1B | Yandy Diaz | TB |
11 | 1 | 121 | P | Andres Munoz | SEA |
12 | 12 | 144 | P | Carlos Rodon | NYY |
13 | 1 | 145 | P | Shane Bieber | CLE |
14 | 12 | 168 | P | Shane McClanahan | TB |
15 | 1 | 169 | P | Jacob deGrom | TEX |
16 | 12 | 192 | 1B | Rhys Hoskins | MIL |
17 | 1 | 193 | MI | Trevor Story | BOS |
18 | 12 | 216 | OF | Teoscar Hernandez | LAD |
19 | 1 | 217 | OF | Daulton Varsho | TOR |
20 | 12 | 240 | P | Yu Darvish | SD |
21 | 1 | 241 | OF | Taylor Ward | LAA |
22 | 12 | 264 | 2B | Brandon Lowe | TB |
23 | 1 | 265 | P | Jose Alvarado | PHI |
24 | 12 | 288 | OF | Emmanuel Rodriguez | MIN |
25 | 1 | 289 | OF | Samuel Zavala | SD |
26 | 12 | 312 | C | Willson Contreras | STL |
27 | 1 | 313 | P | Drew Thorpe | SD |
28 | 12 | 336 | P | Noah Schultz | CHW |
29 | 1 | 337 | P | Sean Manaea | NYM |
30 | 12 | 360 | SS | Kevin McGonigle | DET |
Ross Jensen, Scout The Statline
Among those that know me, it’s no secret that I plan every dynasty draft I’m in with a very forward-facing focus. This draft was no different. I went with young hitters early and often, reaching for talents that I expect to be highly productive in the years to come over immediate returns. This usually means that I will take my lumps for a couple years, but once it arrives, team success is repeated and sustained. I do tend to make exceptions with my strategy for pitchers, typically looking to draft older, more established players. In general, my rationale is that pitchers don’t consistently follow the average development trajectory as well as hitters do. These pitchers may turn into trade bait for me if my team isn’t ready to compete out of the gates.
I started my draft with uber talent Julio Rodriguez No. 2 overall and shifted to nab arguably the league’s best pitcher Gerrit Cole with my 23rd overall pick. With the 33rd pick, I landed my personal No. 1 overall prospect, Jackson Holliday, who I think may make a major league impact sooner than people expect. From there, it was all about filling important open positions with young talents. Evan Carter, Anthony Volpe, Spencer Torkelson and Francisco Alvarez give me a strong young core of players that I have a high level of confidence in. Coby Mayo and Colt Keith will both make immediate impacts at third base (possibly?) and second base, respectively.
The later rounds of my draft were filled with some high-floor young players that I think will help immediately but still have some room for potential growth (Steven Kwan, Jung Hoo Lee, Esteury Ruiz, Nolan Schanuel, Eloy Jimenez).The projections done by Dylan White don’t love my team for 2024, but overall, I have confidence that this team will end up becoming one of the league’s premier teams in the next 2-3 years.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 2 | 2 | OF | Julio Rodriguez | SEA |
2 | 11 | 23 | P | Gerrit Cole | NYY |
3 | 2 | 26 | SS | Jackson Holliday | BAL |
4 | 11 | 47 | OF | Evan Carter | TEX |
5 | 2 | 50 | SS | Anthony Volpe | NYY |
6 | 11 | 71 | 1B | Spencer Torkelson | DET |
7 | 2 | 74 | C | Francisco Alvarez | NYM |
8 | 11 | 95 | P | Aaron Nola | PHI |
9 | 2 | 98 | 3B | Coby Mayo | BAL |
10 | 11 | 119 | 3B | Colt Keith | DET |
11 | 2 | 122 | MI | Bryson Stott | PHI |
12 | 11 | 143 | OF | Esteury Ruiz | OAK |
13 | 2 | 146 | OF | Steven Kwan | CLE |
14 | 11 | 167 | P | Shota Imanaga | CHC |
15 | 2 | 170 | P | Walker Buehler | LAD |
16 | 11 | 191 | UT | Eloy Jimenez | CHW |
17 | 2 | 194 | OF | Jung Hoo Lee | SF |
18 | 11 | 215 | P | Andrew Abbott | CIN |
19 | 2 | 218 | P | Kenley Jansen | BOS |
20 | 11 | 239 | P | Tanner Scott | MIA |
21 | 2 | 242 | P | Yennier Cano | BAL |
22 | 11 | 263 | P | Yuki Matsui | SD |
23 | 2 | 266 | P | Merrill Kelly | ARI |
24 | 11 | 287 | UT | Curtis Mead | TB |
25 | 2 | 290 | 1B | Nolan Schanuel | LAA |
26 | 11 | 311 | P | Bryce Eldridge | SF |
27 | 2 | 314 | SS | Cole Young | SEA |
28 | 11 | 335 | OF | Justin Crawford | PHI |
29 | 2 | 338 | C | Kyle Teel | BOS |
30 | 11 | 359 | C | Salvador Perez | KC |
Nick Roos, Razzball
My core of Corbin Carroll, Ozzie Albies, Rafael Devers and Tarik Skubal should be useful for however long this league might last. I’d like to think all my key players are either entering their prime or smack in the middle of it, which is how I like to navigate startups in a general sense. You only get one shot, kind of thing. Josh Bell and Kris Bryant are exceptions, but even they have upside in an OBP league at their cost of free forty free.
I don’t love having an unsigned Snell, but I like to build sustainable pitching in shallower leagues, and even when Snell’s bad he can be OK for our purposes. The law firm of Snell, Cease, and Steele doesn’t roll off the tongue, but the prices were right. Drew Carey was yodeling over my shoulder the whole time and wound up paying for my lunch.
I probably reached for Ryan Pepiot and Paul Skenes, but I wanted to have the full confidence of organizational confidence represented. Let’s see what the Rays can do with Pepiot, and alternatively, what the Pirates can’t do with Skenes, who I’d be looking to trade if we were going live with this league.
Some of my favorite values here (aside from the lunch) were Alex Kirilloff, Alek Manoah, and J.P. Crawford, who was a 3/4/5 guy over the season’s second half and should approach 100 runs with a useful OBP even if he regresses from the .380 he posted in 2023. He’s always had extreme physical gifts though, especially in his hands, so I’m guessing he keeps most of the gains he’s made over a long career filled with opportunities to fail and improve.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 3 | 3 | OF | Corbin Carroll | ARI |
2 | 10 | 22 | 2B | Ozzie Albies | ATL |
3 | 3 | 27 | 3B | Rafael Devers | BOS |
4 | 10 | 46 | P | Tarik Skubal | DET |
5 | 3 | 51 | SS | CJ Abrams | WSH |
6 | 10 | 70 | OF | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | MIA |
7 | 3 | 75 | P | Blake Snell | (N/A) |
8 | 10 | 94 | P | Paul Skenes | PIT |
9 | 3 | 99 | P | Josh Hader | HOU |
10 | 10 | 118 | P | Justin Steele | CHC |
11 | 3 | 123 | P | Dylan Cease | CHW |
12 | 10 | 142 | 1B | Nathaniel Lowe | TEX |
13 | 3 | 147 | P | Ryan Pepiot | TB |
14 | 10 | 166 | P | Evan Phillips | LAD |
15 | 3 | 171 | OF | James Outman | LAD |
16 | 10 | 190 | P | Adbert Alzolay | CHC |
17 | 3 | 195 | C | Sean Murphy | ATL |
18 | 10 | 214 | SS | J.P. Crawford | SEA |
19 | 3 | 219 | P | John Means | BAL |
20 | 10 | 238 | 1B | Lazaro Montes | SEA |
21 | 3 | 243 | P | Alek Manoah | TOR |
22 | 10 | 262 | UT | Byron Buxton | MIN |
23 | 3 | 267 | OF | Alex Kirilloff | MIN |
24 | 10 | 286 | UT | Henry Davis | PIT |
25 | 3 | 291 | SS | Sebastian Walcott | TEX |
26 | 10 | 310 | 1B | Josh Bell | MIA |
27 | 3 | 315 | P | Max Meyer | MIA |
28 | 10 | 334 | P | Rhett Lowder | CIN |
29 | 3 | 339 | P | Jordan Hicks | SF |
30 | 10 | 358 | OF | Kris Bryant | COL |
Chris Blessing, Baseball HQ
I am pleased with my draft, top to bottom. Bobby Witt Jr. was a no-brainer at No. 4 overall given his immense stat-stuffing abilities. I grabbed Wyatt Langford, my first prospect, with my third-round pick. Langford was the best player on my board at that point, edging out fellow prospects Jackson Chourio and Junior Caminero.
Prior to the fifth round, I wasn’t sure if I was playing for this year or playing for the future. I decided to go for it, picking Jose Altuve in the fifth round and grabbing Paul Goldschmidt in the eighth. For me, landing four pitchers in the top 10 is out of character. I usually grab a front-line starter in the fourth round, like I did with Zac Gallen, and a closer a little later, and then pile up on pitchers in the mid-teens. However, looking at the other competitors, grabbing two more starters in the Top 10 rounds was the right play.
After picking Langford in the third round, I didn’t pick a prospect again until round 19, where I was between James Wood and Andrew Painter. I chose Wood and was able to grab Painter a round later. I took top Jan. 15 international signing Leodalis De Vries in the 26th round and I took two prospects who have already debuted, Ceddane Rafaela and Orion Kerkering, hoping each might help this season and into the future.
I have a balanced roster and believe I could compete for a championship in year one of this league if we were to play on. I wish I had gotten some more over-the-fence power on offense and I wish my rotation didn’t have as many question marks, especially on the back end.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 4 | 4 | UT | Bobby Witt Jr. | KC |
2 | 9 | 21 | OF | Michael Harris II | ATL |
3 | 4 | 28 | OF | Wyatt Langford | TEX |
4 | 9 | 45 | P | Zac Gallen | ARI |
5 | 4 | 52 | 2B | Jose Altuve | HOU |
6 | 9 | 69 | OF | Riley Greene | DET |
7 | 4 | 76 | P | Logan Gilbert | SEA |
8 | 9 | 93 | 1B | Paul Goldschmidt | STL |
9 | 4 | 100 | P | Emmanuel Clase | CLE |
10 | 9 | 117 | P | Cole Ragans | KC |
11 | 4 | 124 | OF | Seiya Suzuki | CHC |
12 | 9 | 141 | P | Bryce Miller | SEA |
13 | 4 | 148 | OF | George Springer | TOR |
14 | 9 | 165 | C | Yainer Diaz | HOU |
15 | 4 | 172 | P | Jordan Romano | TOR |
16 | 9 | 189 | 3B | Jake Burger | MIA |
17 | 4 | 196 | 3B | Alec Bohm | PHI |
18 | 9 | 213 | 2B | Luis Arraez | MIA |
19 | 4 | 220 | OF | James Wood | WSH |
20 | 9 | 237 | P | Andrew Painter | PHI |
21 | 4 | 244 | 1B | Andrew Vaughn | CHW |
22 | 9 | 261 | P | Nick Pivetta | BOS |
23 | 4 | 268 | P | Lucas Giolito | BOS |
24 | 9 | 285 | P | Kenta Maeda | DET |
25 | 4 | 292 | UT | J.D. Martinez | (N/A) |
26 | 9 | 309 | SS | Leodalis De Vries | SD |
27 | 4 | 316 | 2B | Jonathan India | CIN |
28 | 9 | 333 | UT | Ceddanne Rafaela | BOS |
29 | 4 | 340 | P | Charlie Morton | ATL |
30 | 9 | 357 | P | Orion Kerkering | PHI |
Shelly Verougstraete, Rotoworld
My overall strategy was to put together a team that would be competitive for the upcoming season but also not bog down my roster with a bunch of older players. With the fifth overall pick, I selected Juan Soto. If any of the previous four players (Acuña Jr., Rodriguez, Carroll, Witt Jr.) had fallen to me there, I easily would have selected them over Soto. I followed those picks up with two Phillies, Bryce Harper, and Trea Turner, which should give me a considerable batting average floor and some much-needed steals from Turner.
Sadly, my team has already been bitten by the injury bug, as I took Kyle Bradish in the fifth round. He has already begun to throw, but it is not where I would have gone if we had the news earlier. Outside of Bradish, I have Bobby Miller, Emmet Sheehan, Aaron Civale and MacKenzie Gore as my core starters. It will be interesting to see how the Dodgers use Miller and Sheehan going forward, as the team seems poised to move into a six-man rotation for the foreseeable future. However, I believe in their talent and that the organization will get the most out of them during their careers.
From a minor league perspective, I love the five I selected: Jett Williams, Adael Amador, Samuel Basallo, Hurston Waldrep and Robby Snelling. Most have a realistic shot of helping my squad in the next two years, with Basallo being the furthest away.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 5 | 5 | OF | Juan Soto | NYY |
2 | 8 | 20 | 1B | Bryce Harper | PHI |
3 | 5 | 29 | SS | Trea Turner | PHI |
4 | 8 | 44 | P | Bobby Miller | LAD |
5 | 5 | 53 | P | Kyle Bradish | BAL |
6 | 8 | 68 | OF | Nolan Jones | COL |
7 | 5 | 77 | 2B | Marcus Semien | TEX |
8 | 8 | 92 | OF | Bryan Reynolds | PIT |
9 | 5 | 101 | P | Devin Williams | MIL |
10 | 8 | 116 | SS | Jett Williams | NYM |
11 | 5 | 125 | P | Emmet Sheehan | LAD |
12 | 8 | 140 | P | David Bednar | PIT |
13 | 5 | 149 | C | Bo Naylor | CLE |
14 | 8 | 164 | 3B | Ke’Bryan Hayes | PIT |
15 | 5 | 173 | SS | Adael Amador | COL |
16 | 8 | 188 | C | Samuel Basallo | BAL |
17 | 5 | 197 | OF | Parker Meadows | DET |
18 | 8 | 212 | P | Aaron Civale | TB |
19 | 5 | 221 | P | MacKenzie Gore | WSH |
20 | 8 | 236 | OF | Sal Frelick | MIL |
21 | 5 | 245 | 1B | Jeimer Candelario | CIN |
22 | 8 | 260 | P | Hurston Waldrep | ATL |
23 | 5 | 269 | SS | Vaughn Grissom | BOS |
24 | 8 | 284 | P | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI |
25 | 5 | 293 | P | Robby Snelling | SD |
26 | 8 | 308 | UT | MJ Melendez | KC |
27 | 5 | 317 | P | Kutter Crawford | BOS |
28 | 8 | 332 | SS | Liover Peguero | PIT |
29 | 5 | 341 | OF | Max Kepler | MIN |
30 | 8 | 356 | P | Aaron Ashby | MIL |
Matt Eddy, Baseball America
Picking sixth overall granted me access to the strong middle class of the first round. I favored Fernando Tatis Jr. for his overall explosiveness and youth. He’s younger than Kyle Tucker or Yordan Alvarez and could be poised for a huge 2024—his first 30-30 season?—after building back from a lost 2022 and a recovery year in 2023.
My draft strategy overall was to focus on players with room to grow and find another level. That group includes Zack Gelof (eighth round), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (10th), Hunter Brown (11th), Gabriel Moreno (12th), Zach Neto (16th), Kerry Carpenter (17th) and Reid Detmers (18th).
When drafting veterans, I steered toward those no older than 31 and preferably on large contracts, such as Matt Olson (second round), Luis Castillo (fourth), Manny Machado (sixth), Xander Bogaerts (seventh), Brandon Nimmo (14th) and Carlos Correa (25th).
For my core rotation arms, I placed an emphasis on strikeout pitchers and set a floor at roughly 180 projected punchouts. I liked the values on Camilo Doval, Paul Sewald and Robert Stephenson, and drafting three closers allows for greater flexibility in making speculative in-season adds.
For my five prospect picks, I emphasized elite upside or proximity. I got both with Jackson Chourio (third round) and did well value-wise with Jackson Merrill (20th), Colt Emerson (22nd) and Ethan Salas (24th).
Players’ projected statistics place my team right in the middle of the 2024 standings. But there is another race where my team fares well. It has the third-youngest average age of core players, trailing only Chris Clegg and Shelly Verougstraete.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 6 | 6 | OF | Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD |
2 | 7 | 19 | 1B | Matt Olson | ATL |
3 | 6 | 30 | OF | Jackson Chourio | MIL |
4 | 7 | 43 | P | Luis Castillo | SEA |
5 | 6 | 54 | P | Freddy Peralta | MIL |
6 | 7 | 67 | 3B | Manny Machado | SD |
7 | 6 | 78 | SS | Xander Bogaerts | SD |
8 | 7 | 91 | MI | Zack Gelof | OAK |
9 | 6 | 102 | P | Camilo Doval | SF |
10 | 7 | 115 | 1B | Christian Encarnacion-Strand | CIN |
11 | 6 | 126 | P | Hunter Brown | HOU |
12 | 7 | 139 | C | Gabriel Moreno | ARI |
13 | 6 | 150 | OF | Cedric Mullins | BAL |
14 | 7 | 163 | OF | Brandon Nimmo | NYM |
15 | 6 | 174 | P | Mitch Keller | PIT |
16 | 7 | 187 | SS | Zach Neto | LAA |
17 | 6 | 198 | OF | Kerry Carpenter | DET |
18 | 7 | 211 | P | Reid Detmers | LAA |
19 | 6 | 222 | P | Paul Sewald | ARI |
20 | 7 | 235 | SS | Jackson Merrill | SD |
21 | 6 | 246 | P | Braxton Garrett | MIA |
22 | 7 | 259 | SS | Colt Emerson | SEA |
23 | 6 | 270 | P | Robert Stephenson | LAA |
24 | 7 | 283 | C | Ethan Salas | SD |
25 | 6 | 294 | SS | Carlos Correa | MIN |
26 | 7 | 307 | OF | Brandon Marsh | PHI |
27 | 6 | 318 | P | Ranger Suarez | PHI |
28 | 7 | 331 | P | Chase Silseth | LAA |
29 | 6 | 342 | P | Erick Fedde | CHW |
30 | 7 | 355 | OF | Drew Gilbert | NYM |
Dylan White, Baseball America
I adhered closely to our Dynasty 700 rankings for the first few rounds. When Geoff sniped Bo Bichette from me in the fourth round, it forced me to pivot to a starting pitcher (Pablo Lopez, who I like quite a bit for dynasty) and again in the sixth round when Geoff took Mike Trout (an OBP monster and another target of mine), I took another arm in Max Fried.
Adley Rutschman in a 12-team, one-catcher league is not as valuable as indicated on our list—a perfect reminder that league format and settings are extremely important—but I wanted the ability to not have to worry about the catcher position for the next five years and took him in the fifth round.
Speaking of making adjustments to your ranking list based on your league format, I decided in the eighth round to take the first closer of the draft with Edwin Diaz. Even though relievers are not generally ranked highly in dynasty lists (mainly due to job precarity), I made the explicit decision to try to win in 2024 and started drafting players with an eye for immediate production. It also kicked off a “closer run,” as five more relievers were taken before my next pick.
For my pitching staff, there’s quite a bit of injury risk, but I’m gambling on Nestor Cortes and Chris Sale returning much nearer-to-form than the market believes. With Chase Hampton and Ricky Tiedemann, I also picked two of my favorite upper level pitching prospects.
All in all, the projection systems like what I did, estimating that my startling lineup will finish in the top 2. As I would do in a non-mock draft, I also made sure I had bench depth to fill in for each position (except catcher) in case of injury—or to maximize the ability to focus on specific roto categories. Not bad for a tough room!
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 7 | 7 | OF | Kyle Tucker | HOU |
2 | 6 | 18 | 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR |
3 | 7 | 31 | 3B | Junior Caminero | TB |
4 | 6 | 42 | P | Pablo Lopez | MIN |
5 | 7 | 55 | C | Adley Rutschman | BAL |
6 | 6 | 66 | P | Max Fried | ATL |
7 | 7 | 79 | OF | Josh Lowe | TB |
8 | 6 | 90 | P | Edwin Diaz | NYM |
9 | 7 | 103 | 3B | Nolan Arenado | STL |
10 | 6 | 114 | 2B | Ketel Marte | ARI |
11 | 7 | 127 | SS | Ha-seong Kim | SD |
12 | 6 | 138 | OF | Lars Nootbaar | STL |
13 | 7 | 151 | P | Bryan Woo | SEA |
14 | 6 | 162 | P | Pete Fairbanks | TB |
15 | 7 | 175 | UT | Jorge Soler | SF |
16 | 6 | 186 | P | Chris Sale | ATL |
17 | 7 | 199 | OF | Tyler O’Neill | BOS |
18 | 6 | 210 | P | Ricky Tiedemann | TOR |
19 | 7 | 223 | SS | Tommy Edman | STL |
20 | 6 | 234 | P | Chris Bassitt | TOR |
21 | 7 | 247 | P | Nestor Cortes Jr. | NYY |
22 | 6 | 258 | 2B | Tyler Black | MIL |
23 | 7 | 271 | P | Griffin Canning | LAA |
24 | 6 | 282 | OF | Max Clark | DET |
25 | 7 | 295 | MI | Jorge Polanco | SEA |
26 | 6 | 306 | 3B | Matt Chapman | (N/A) |
27 | 7 | 319 | 1B | Ryan Mountcastle | BAL |
28 | 6 | 330 | SS | Masyn Winn | STL |
29 | 7 | 343 | P | Chase Hampton | NYY |
30 | 6 | 354 | OF | Luis Matos | SF |
Geoff Pontes, Baseball America
Picking from the eighth slot, I missed out of what I feel is the clear top group in the player pool. While Shohei Ohtani won’t pitch in 2024, he provides a first-round quality bat with the hope he returns to his two-way form in 2025 and beyond.
After Gunnar Henderson and Elly De La Cruz went before my second pick I made a clear decision to build a win-now roster. Ohtani, Corey Seager, Freddie Freeman and Bo Bichette gave me a solid offensive base.
In the fifth round I selected my first pitcher in Zack Wheeler. The Phillies righthander has proved to be one of the most productive fantasy starters over the last few seasons. He’s older but when paired with a group of younger starters in Jesus Luzardo, Hunter Greene, Kyle Harrison and Brayan Bello he provides some certainty at the top.
In a 12-team league with saves as a category, closers get pushed up and I managed to nab two closers (Alexis Diaz, 11th round and Raisel Iglesias, 15th) inside my first 15 picks with solid situations heading into 2024. In the final two I picked Justin Lawrence and Jose Leclerc as closer fliers that could easily be discarded for saves on the waiver wire if things don’t work out.
As far as prospect strategy, with a minimum of five prospects required I tried to focus on close to the majors players with the ability to contribute and didn’t put a premium on prospects. I waited until round 14 for my first prospect in Kyle Harrison, a player who’s already debuted and looks likely to be entrenched in the Giants rotation. My next two prospects followed the theme of 2024 contributors with D.L. Hall and Michael Busch. In rounds 25 and 26 I took my first real prospects as I nabbed a pair of highly regarded shortstops that tumbled down the board in Brooks Lee and Marcelo Mayer.
My roster ranked third overall based on preseason projections with the second-best projected hitting. In a 12-team league where pitching will be more abundant on the waiver wire I feel I have a roster built to compete for the next 3-5 years.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 8 | 8 | UT | Shohei Ohtani | LAD |
2 | 5 | 17 | SS | Corey Seager | TEX |
3 | 8 | 32 | 1B | Freddie Freeman | LAD |
4 | 5 | 41 | SS | Bo Bichette | TOR |
5 | 8 | 56 | P | Zack Wheeler | PHI |
6 | 5 | 65 | OF | Mike Trout | LAA |
7 | 8 | 80 | P | Jesus Luzardo | MIA |
8 | 5 | 89 | 2B | Nico Hoerner | CHC |
9 | 8 | 104 | OF | Christian Yelich | MIL |
10 | 5 | 113 | P | Hunter Greene | CIN |
11 | 8 | 128 | P | Alexis Diaz | CIN |
12 | 5 | 137 | 3B | Max Muncy | LAD |
13 | 8 | 152 | OF | Ian Happ | CHC |
14 | 5 | 161 | P | Kyle Harrison | SF |
15 | 8 | 176 | P | Raisel Iglesias | ATL |
16 | 5 | 185 | P | Brayan Bello | BOS |
17 | 8 | 200 | OF | TJ Friedl | CIN |
18 | 5 | 209 | C | J.T. Realmuto | PHI |
19 | 8 | 224 | OF | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | ARI |
20 | 5 | 233 | MI | Jordan Westburg | BAL |
21 | 8 | 248 | P | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI |
22 | 5 | 257 | P | DL Hall | MIL |
23 | 8 | 272 | UT | Michael Busch | CHC |
24 | 5 | 281 | P | Edward Cabrera | MIA |
25 | 8 | 296 | SS | Brooks Lee | MIN |
26 | 5 | 305 | SS | Marcelo Mayer | BOS |
27 | 8 | 320 | P | Max Scherzer | TEX |
28 | 5 | 329 | P | Seth Lugo | KC |
29 | 8 | 344 | P | Jose Leclerc | TEX |
30 | 5 | 353 | P | Justin Lawrence | COL |
Jesse Roche, Baseball Prospectus
Dynasty leagues come in all shapes and sizes, yet the goal is always the same: build a dynasty. There are many paths to developing a consistent, competitive team, during and following a startup draft. The draft itself, while important, is far from conclusive. Post-startup team-building via trade, waivers or draft is always necessary, regardless how well the initial draft goes. That said, a strong startup draft is an ideal jumping off point.
Startup draft strategies range from a pure youth route–drafting exclusively prospects or young big leaguers–to a pure win-now, tomorrow-be-damned route–drafting the best possible redraft team and worrying about the future later. My preferred strategy falls somewhere in between. Typically, I target young, established production–ideally, 27 years old or younger–early and backfill with aging veterans. The perceived dynasty value of younger MLB players is more likely to increase or remain stable. Even with poor production, such players retain solid value. (For example, players like Jarred Kelenic maintain a market despite three lackluster seasons.)
Notice how I qualified the youth I target with “established production”? I do not target prospects in dynasty startup drafts unless the acquisition cost is simply too good to pass up. Prospects can be readily identified and acquired in-season via waivers or, in some cases, trades. The failure or attrition rate for non-elite prospects is high. Why bear that risk in a startup draft?
For this draft, I balanced early high-upside youth with MLB production (Yordan Alvarez, Elly De La Cruz, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Jordan Walker) with stable 27- to 30-year-old veterans (Pete Alonso, Logan Webb, Cody Bellinger, and Framber Valdez). (Granted, Bellinger is hardly stable.) Later, I backfilled with older, quality options (Sonny Gray, Justin Verlander, Marcell Ozuna, and Starling Marte) that can provide short-term stability for a roster with a lot of youth. Of the players on my active roster, 14 of 22 are age-27 or younger. I waited to select non-Yamamoto prospects and still filled out a quality group (Colson Montgomery, Jacob Misiorowski, Owen Caissie, Victor Scott, and Carson Williams) despite not selecting a prospect until pick 249. My roster is designed to compete in year one and beyond, with plenty of players that could breakout or further increase their value as soon as this year.
1 | 9 | 9 | OF | Yordan Alvarez | HOU |
2 | 4 | 16 | SS | Elly De La Cruz | CIN |
3 | 9 | 33 | 1B | Pete Alonso | NYM |
4 | 4 | 40 | P | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD |
5 | 9 | 57 | OF | Jordan Walker | STL |
6 | 4 | 64 | P | Logan Webb | SF |
7 | 9 | 81 | 1B | Cody Bellinger | (N/A) |
8 | 4 | 88 | P | Framber Valdez | HOU |
9 | 9 | 105 | P | Tanner Bibee | CLE |
10 | 4 | 112 | 1B | Vinnie Pasquantino | KC |
11 | 9 | 129 | 2B | Nolan Gorman | STL |
12 | 4 | 136 | 3B | Isaac Paredes | TB |
13 | 9 | 153 | P | Michael King | SD |
14 | 4 | 160 | 2B | Edouard Julien | MIN |
15 | 9 | 177 | P | Ryan Helsley | STL |
16 | 4 | 184 | SS | Willy Adames | MIL |
17 | 9 | 201 | P | Sonny Gray | STL |
18 | 4 | 208 | OF | Jack Suwinski | PIT |
19 | 9 | 225 | P | Taj Bradley | TB |
20 | 4 | 232 | C | Cal Raleigh | SEA |
21 | 9 | 249 | SS | Colson Montgomery | CHW |
22 | 4 | 256 | P | Justin Verlander | HOU |
23 | 9 | 273 | P | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL |
24 | 4 | 280 | UT | Marcell Ozuna | ATL |
25 | 9 | 297 | OF | Owen Caissie | CHC |
26 | 4 | 304 | OF | Starling Marte | NYM |
27 | 9 | 321 | P | Robert Suarez | SD |
28 | 4 | 328 | OF | Victor Scott II | STL |
29 | 9 | 345 | SS | Carson Williams | TB |
30 | 4 | 352 | 2B | Luis Rengifo | LAA |
James Anderson, RotoWire
My approach was to take the best dynasty player available with my first 10-12 picks, and then to address specific team needs from there. Everyone in a 12-team league should be playing to win right away, knowing that you can pivot to playing for Year 2 if things go wrong early in Year 1. With that in mind, I took a lot of my favorite starting pitcher targets for 2024 (Brandon Pfaadt, Bailey Ober, Dean Kremer, Chris Paddack, Luis Severino, Trevor Rogers) and got a couple closers.
I didn’t take any prospects outside of my top 18, as I think the size of this league really devalues the non-elite prospects, and using those later picks on productive big leaguers makes more sense. My infield is the strength of my hitting, and the strength of my farm is my outfielders (Walker Jenkins, Roman Anthony, Chase DeLauter), so I thought that worked out well, as I won’t have a huge logjam of infielders and should be able to successfully phase out guys like Anthony Santader and Chas McCormick once they’re post-prime.
It’s a minor consideration, but I loved pairing Mookie Betts (outfield and second base) and Gunnar Henderson (shortstop and third base) for their dual-position eligibility, as that gave me more flexibility in the draft and should be very useful during the season. I knew I’d be one of the last, if not the last team to take a starting catcher, since it’s a 12-team, 1-catcher league. I almost got Willson Contreras, who’s a borderline top-five catcher just for 2024, but settled on Logan O’Hoppe, who should play a ton and hit 20-plus homers. I loved the value of Matt Wallner in the 27th round, as he’s one of my top breakout candidates this year.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 10 | 10 | OF | Mookie Betts | LAD |
2 | 3 | 15 | 3B | Gunnar Henderson | BAL |
3 | 10 | 34 | P | Eury Perez | MIA |
4 | 3 | 39 | 1B | Triston Casas | BOS |
5 | 10 | 58 | 3B | Josh Jung | TEX |
6 | 3 | 63 | 2B | Gleyber Torres | NYY |
7 | 10 | 82 | P | Joe Ryan | MIN |
8 | 3 | 87 | SS | Jordan Lawlar | ARI |
9 | 10 | 106 | 1B | Josh Naylor | CLE |
10 | 3 | 111 | P | Zach Eflin | TB |
11 | 10 | 130 | OF | Walker Jenkins | MIN |
12 | 3 | 135 | OF | Roman Anthony | BOS |
13 | 10 | 154 | P | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI |
14 | 3 | 159 | P | Bailey Ober | MIN |
15 | 10 | 178 | OF | Anthony Santander | BAL |
16 | 3 | 183 | OF | Chas McCormick | HOU |
17 | 10 | 202 | 1B | Xavier Isaac | TB |
18 | 3 | 207 | P | Jose Berrios | TOR |
19 | 10 | 226 | P | Craig Kimbrel | BAL |
20 | 3 | 231 | P | Clay Holmes | NYY |
21 | 10 | 250 | OF | Chase DeLauter | CLE |
22 | 3 | 255 | OF | Leody Taveras | TEX |
23 | 10 | 274 | P | Dean Kremer | BAL |
24 | 3 | 279 | P | Chris Paddack | MIN |
25 | 10 | 298 | P | Luis Severino | NYM |
26 | 3 | 303 | P | Trevor Rogers | MIA |
27 | 10 | 322 | OF | Matt Wallner | MIN |
28 | 3 | 327 | C | Logan O’Hoppe | LAA |
29 | 10 | 346 | 2B | Brandon Drury | LAA |
30 | 3 | 351 | 3B | Ryan McMahon | COL |
Eric Cross, FTN Fantasy
The goal for me in any dynasty startup draft is to assemble a high-upside and fairly young hitting core along with grabbing an ace before attacking my pitching staff. That’s exactly what I did in this draft. In the first three rounds out of the 11-spot, I grabbed Aaron Judge, Luis Robert and Royce Lewis, the latter two of which are under 27 years old. These three gave me a solid core that can contribute across the board offensively that I could build around moving forward.
Overall, six of my first seven picks were hitters as I grabbed Randy Arozarena, Oneil Cruz and Noelvi Marte in rounds five through seven. My one ace in the middle of all those hitters was second-year Baltimore arm, Grayson Rodriguez, who I currently value as a top-10 pitcher for dynasty purposes.
After that, I really began focusing on building my pitching staff, grabbing Kodai Senga, Jackson Jobe, and Shane Baz in rounds eight, 10, and 11 respectively. Given recent injury news, the Senga pick stings, but I executed my strategy in this draft. My SP2 for dynasty startup teams usually comes in the pick 80-100 range and I was able to grab a high-upside SP2 (before the injury) at pick 86.
As for prospects, I try to sprinkle them in throughout the draft with most of them being prospects close to ready. In this draft, I grabbed Marte in round seven, Jobe in round 10, Baz in round 11, Cade Horton in round 14, Mason Miller in round 20 along with AJ Smith-Shawver and Noble Meyer in the last several rounds. It’s important to layer your prospects in my opinion, that way you have some close to ready and the next wave of younger upside plays.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 11 | 11 | OF | Aaron Judge | NYY |
2 | 2 | 14 | OF | Luis Robert Jr. | CHW |
3 | 11 | 35 | UT | Royce Lewis | MIN |
4 | 2 | 38 | P | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL |
5 | 11 | 59 | OF | Randy Arozarena | TB |
6 | 2 | 62 | SS | Oneil Cruz | PIT |
7 | 11 | 83 | 3B | Noelvi Marte | CIN |
8 | 2 | 86 | P | Kodai Senga | NYM |
9 | 11 | 107 | C | Will Smith | LAD |
10 | 2 | 110 | P | Jackson Jobe | DET |
11 | 11 | 131 | P | Shane Baz | TB |
12 | 2 | 134 | 1B | Christian Walker | ARI |
13 | 11 | 155 | SS | Dansby Swanson | CHC |
14 | 2 | 158 | P | Cade Horton | CHC |
15 | 11 | 179 | P | Nick Lodolo | CIN |
16 | 2 | 182 | OF | Jarren Duran | BOS |
17 | 11 | 203 | 2B | Thairo Estrada | SF |
18 | 2 | 206 | OF | Lane Thomas | WSH |
19 | 11 | 227 | SS | Ezequiel Tovar | COL |
20 | 2 | 230 | P | Mason Miller | OAK |
21 | 11 | 251 | UT | Christopher Morel | CHC |
22 | 2 | 254 | P | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX |
23 | 11 | 275 | P | AJ Smith-Shawver | ATL |
24 | 2 | 278 | UT | Maikel Garcia | KC |
25 | 11 | 299 | SS | Jeremy Pena | HOU |
26 | 2 | 302 | P | Noble Meyer | MIA |
27 | 11 | 323 | P | Jeffrey Springs | TB |
28 | 2 | 326 | P | Dustin May | LAD |
29 | 11 | 347 | OF | Austin Hays | BAL |
30 | 2 | 350 | 2B | Brendan Donovan | STL |
Chris Clegg, Dynasty Dugout
Picking in the back end of the first round always creates an interesting draft process, especially in a dynasty league. You have to get your guys because they likely won’t make it back, especially with 22 picks in between in the 12-team format.
I started my draft grabbing Spencer Strider with the 12th pick and followed him up with Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves homer, I know…). I usually don’t grab starting pitching that high, but knowing the top guys would all be gone by my third-round pick led me to go ahead and get Strider. Riley made sense as one of the more consistent hitters in baseball who has been a four-category stud over the last three years.
Francisco Lindor and George Kirby were my third and fourth-round picks. Lindor feels very undervalued still after coming off a 30 home run/30 stolen base season and while he likely won’t do that again, he still provides plenty of power and speed. Kirby is a very high floor arm and a great compliment to Strider as staples in the rotation.
The next six rounds went: Matt McLain, Adolis Garcia, Jasson Dominguez, Gavin Williams, Dylan Crews, and William Contreras. My favorite picks of that grouping were probably Dominguez, Crews, and Contreras.
Moving down the draft board, I scooped up starting pictures who seemingly fell in value in Joe Musgrove(12th round), Sandy Alcantara(Out for 2024/15th round), Cristian Javier(16th), Jordan Montgomery(18th), and Triston McKenzie(21st). Given the stability of the rotation at the top, these arms complimented the rotation well.
In general, I wanted to build a youngish team that could compete in 2024 and beyond and it feels like I accomplished that if the draft were played out.
Round | Pick | Ov Pick | Pos | Player | Team |
1 | 12 | 12 | P | Spencer Strider | ATL |
2 | 1 | 13 | 3B | Austin Riley | ATL |
3 | 12 | 36 | SS | Francisco Lindor | NYM |
4 | 1 | 37 | P | George Kirby | SEA |
5 | 12 | 60 | SS | Matt McLain | CIN |
6 | 1 | 61 | OF | Adolis Garcia | TEX |
7 | 12 | 84 | OF | Jasson Dominguez | NYY |
8 | 1 | 85 | P | Gavin Williams | CLE |
9 | 12 | 108 | OF | Dylan Crews | WSH |
10 | 1 | 109 | C | William Contreras | MIL |
11 | 12 | 132 | 1B | Spencer Steer | CIN |
12 | 1 | 133 | P | Joe Musgrove | SD |
13 | 12 | 156 | 1B | Kyle Manzardo | CLE |
14 | 1 | 157 | 2B | Matt Shaw | CHC |
15 | 12 | 180 | P | Sandy Alcantara | MIA |
16 | 1 | 181 | P | Cristian Javier | HOU |
17 | 12 | 204 | OF | Nick Castellanos | PHI |
18 | 1 | 205 | P | Jordan Montgomery | (N/A) |
19 | 12 | 228 | OF | Masataka Yoshida | BOS |
20 | 1 | 229 | OF | Jarred Kelenic | ATL |
21 | 12 | 252 | P | Triston McKenzie | CLE |
22 | 1 | 253 | OF | Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC |
23 | 12 | 276 | P | Reese Olson | DET |
24 | 1 | 277 | 3B | Brett Baty | NYM |
25 | 12 | 300 | UT | Heston Kjerstad | BAL |
26 | 1 | 301 | 2B | Termarr Johnson | PIT |
27 | 12 | 324 | 2B | Gavin Lux | LAD |
28 | 1 | 325 | P | Matt Brash | SEA |
29 | 12 | 348 | OF | Colton Cowser | BAL |
30 | 1 | 349 | OF | Spencer Jones | NYY |