Gerardo Carrillo

Organization Prospect Rankings

• 
  Ranked Washington Nationals #26 prospect in 2023
  BA Grade/Risk: 40/High
  
  Track Record: The Dodgers signed Carrillo in 2016 out of Mexico as a 17-year-old for just $75,000. In 2021, he joined the Nationals in the blockbuster that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles and brought Keibert Ruiz and Josiah Gray to Washington. Carrillo quickly became one of the most exciting pitching prospects in the organization. He was sidelined initially in 2022 with a shoulder injury but returned in early July. His velocity was down, but as he got further away from injury his power started to come back.
  
  Scouting Report: Carrillo's fastball sat 94-97 mph before the injury, but in 2022 he averaged 91-92 mph and peaked around 95. The Nationals are confident that velocity will come back, and his power sinking fastball was previously his calling card. He also has a hard slider/cutter hybrid that could be a plus secondary pitch and rounds out his arsenal with a mid-80s changeup that could be an average pitch.
  
  The Future: The 2023 season is going to be important for Carrillo's development and should answer a lot of questions. He needs to prove he can regain his power fastball and that his command can improve enough to compete in the major leagues. His likely MLB role is low-leverage reliever.
  
  Scouting Grades: Fastball: 55. Slider: 50. Changeup: 45. Control: 40
• 
  Ranked Washington Nationals #8 prospect in 2022
  Track Record: Carrillo’s velocity made a big jump after he grew three inches and put on 25 pounds soon after signing in 2016, but his quest since then has been to harness his stuff. Formerly buried fairly deep in a loaded Dodgers organization, Carrillo immediately became one of the Nationals’ top pitching prospects after coming over in the deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles.
  
  Scouting Report: A great athlete with a lightning-quick arm, Carrillo can pitch east to west with electric stuff. He leads with a fastball that sits 94-97 mph and has touched 99 with massive sink and run. He generates that velocity with relative ease and can hold it deep into his outings. His fastball pairs well with his best secondary pitch, a short, firm slider/cutter hybrid going the other direction in the high 80s to low 90s. He also works with a slurvy curveball and a changeup that are clearly behind the fastball and slider. Well below-average control continues to be a nagging issue for Carrillo, and that limits his upside, but there’s hope that improvements still to come in repeating his mechanics and optimizing pitch usage could raise his profile as a potential starter.
  
  The Future: The command issues that persist for Carrillo as he works his way closer to the big leagues make a future in the bullpen increasingly likely. As a member of the Nationals’ 40-man roster and with his fantastic stuff, that future might not be that far away.
  
• 
  Ranked Los Angeles Dodgers #30 prospect in 2021
  TRACK RECORD: Carrillo was a slight righthander with a quick arm when the Dodgers purchased his rights from the Mexican League's Tijuana franchise in 2016. He grew three inches and added 25 pounds after signing and saw a huge uptick in velocity, but also struggled to harness his newfound power. Carrillo spent 2020 at the alternate training site and instructional league and showed enough progress that the Dodgers added him to their 40-man roster after the season.
  
  SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo's stuff is undeniable. His sinker sits 94-97 mph with nearly 16 inches of run and his short, 89-91 mph slider is a swing-and-miss pitch that moves in the opposite direction. He generates his power stuff with remarkable ease and holds his velocity deep into his outings. He also flashes an average changeup with late drop and mixes in a below-average, slurvy curveball. Carrillo's issue is his well below-average control. He often throws strikes one inning and can't find the plate the next. He's still learning to control the tempo of his delivery and be on time with his arm.
  
  THE FUTURE: Carrillo doesn't throw enough strikes to start, but he has the stuff to be power reliever if he can keep the ball over the plate. He'll see Double-A in 2021.
• 
  Ranked Los Angeles Dodgers #27 prospect in 2020
  TRACK RECORD: The Dodgers purchased Carrillo for $75,000 from the Mexican League in 2016. He rapidly filled out to become one of the hardest-throwing pitchers in the Dodgers organization, but he struggled with his control and posted a 5.44 ERA at high Class A Rancho Cucamonga in 2019.
  
  SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo added 25 pounds since signing and saw his two-seam fastball jump from 90-94 mph to 94-98 mph last year. His two-seamer has special potential with its velocity and nearly 16 inches of run, but he has yet to harness his newfound power. He walked 51 batters and hit 17 more in 86 innings in 2019 and has well below-average control, especially to his armside. Carrillo complements his two-seamer with a swing-and-miss low 90s cutter and a potentially average changeup, as well as a below-average curveball. Carrillo shows some feel for pitching, and the Dodgers think he will grow into an average strikethrower in time even with his current wildness.
  
  THE FUTURE: Carrillo is 21 and has time to harness his stuff. He will try to take a step forward in 2020.
• 
  Ranked Los Angeles Dodgers #20 prospect in 2019
  Track Record: Carrillo signed with the Dodgers for $75,000 in 2016 after training with the Mexican League's Tijuana Toros and intriguing with his quick right arm. After a strong showing in the DSL in 2017, Carrillo made his U.S. debut in 2018 and was promoted out of the Rookie-Level Arizona League after just four appearances. He handled the aggressive promotion with aplomb, turning in a 1.65 ERA over nine starts at low Class A Great Lakes.
  
  Scouting Report: Carrillo is nicknamed "The Assassin" for two reasons. First, he is meticulously poised and unflappable, mowing down his opponents with precision. And second, his stuff is deadly. Carrillo is all of 6 feet, 154 pounds, but he sits 90-94 mph and touches 97 with heavy sink at the bottom of the strike zone. His changeup is an above-average pitch that overwhelmed lower level hitters, and he teases an average curveball. Carrillo is a good athlete who repeats his clean delivery to throw all his pitches for strikes, keeping hitters guessing and drawing uncomfortable swings. He wore down at the end of the year and was sitting 87-90 by his final start, but he had the guile to battle through. Though he only struck out 6.8 batters-per-nine in the Midwest League, he limited opponents to a .192 average.
  
  The Future: Carrillo's stuff excites, but he has yet to throw more than 60 innings in a season and his small frame yields durability questions. He'll try to show he can hold up at high Class A Rancho Cucamonga in 2019.

• February, 2023 Scouting Report
  BA Grade/Risk: 40/High
  
  Track Record: The Dodgers signed Carrillo in 2016 out of Mexico as a 17-year-old for just $75,000. In 2021, he joined the Nationals in the blockbuster that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles and brought Keibert Ruiz and Josiah Gray to Washington. Carrillo quickly became one of the most exciting pitching prospects in the organization. He was sidelined initially in 2022 with a shoulder injury but returned in early July. His velocity was down, but as he got further away from injury his power started to come back.
  
  Scouting Report: Carrillo's fastball sat 94-97 mph before the injury, but in 2022 he averaged 91-92 mph and peaked around 95. The Nationals are confident that velocity will come back, and his power sinking fastball was previously his calling card. He also has a hard slider/cutter hybrid that could be a plus secondary pitch and rounds out his arsenal with a mid-80s changeup that could be an average pitch.
  
  The Future: The 2023 season is going to be important for Carrillo's development and should answer a lot of questions. He needs to prove he can regain his power fastball and that his command can improve enough to compete in the major leagues. His likely MLB role is low-leverage reliever.
  
  Scouting Grades: Fastball: 55. Slider: 50. Changeup: 45. Control: 40
• December, 2022 Scouting Report
  BA Grade/Risk: 40/High
  
  Track Record: The Dodgers signed Carrillo in 2016 out of Mexico as a 17-year-old for just $75,000. In 2021, he joined the Nationals in the blockbuster that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles and brought Keibert Ruiz and Josiah Gray to Washington. Carrillo quickly became one of the most exciting pitching prospects in the organization. He was sidelined initially in 2022 with a shoulder injury but returned in early July. His velocity was down, but as he got further away from injury his power started to come back.
  
  Scouting Report: Carrillo's fastball sat 94-97 mph before the injury, but in 2022 he averaged 91-92 mph and peaked around 95. The Nationals are confident that velocity will come back, and his power sinking fastball was previously his calling card. He also has a hard slider/cutter hybrid that could be a plus secondary pitch and rounds out his arsenal with a mid-80s changeup that could be an average pitch.
  
  The Future: The 2023 season is going to be important for Carrillo's development and should answer a lot of questions. He needs to prove he can regain his power fastball and that his command can improve enough to compete in the major leagues. His likely MLB role is low-leverage reliever.
  
  Scouting Grades: Fastball: 55. Slider: 50. Changeup: 45. Control: 40
• April, 2022 Scouting Report
  BA Grade: 50/Very High
  
  Track Record: Carrillo&#39s velocity made a big jump after he grew three inches and put on 25 pounds soon after signing in 2016, but his quest since then has been to harness his stuff. Formerly buried fairly deep in a loaded Dodgers organization, Carrillo immediately became one of the Nationals&#39 top pitching prospects after coming over in the deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles.
  
  Scouting Report: A very good athlete with a lightning-quick arm, Carrillo can pitch east to west with electric stuff. He leads with a fastball that sits 94-97 mph and has touched 99 with massive sink and run. He generates that velocity with relative ease and can hold it deep into his outings. His fastball pairs well with his best secondary pitch, a short, firm slider/cutter hybrid going the other direction in the high 80s to low 90s. He also works with a slurvy curveball and a changeup that are clearly behind the fastball and slider. Below-average command continues to be a nagging issue for Carrillo, and that limits his upside, but there&#39s hope that improvements still to come in repeating his mechanics and optimizing pitch usage could raise his profile as a potential starter.
  
  The Future: The command issues that persist for Carrillo as he works his way closer to the big leagues make a future in the bullpen increasingly likely. As a member of the Nationals&#39 40-man roster and with his fantastic stuff, that future might not be that far away.
  
  Scouting Grades
  Fastball: 65. Curveball: 45. Slider: 60. Changeup: 50. Control: 30.
• December, 2021 Scouting Report
  Track Record: Carrillo’s velocity made a big jump after he grew three inches and put on 25 pounds soon after signing in 2016, but his quest since then has been to harness his stuff. Formerly buried fairly deep in a loaded Dodgers organization, Carrillo immediately became one of the Nationals’ top pitching prospects after coming over in the deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles.
  
  Scouting Report: A great athlete with a lightning-quick arm, Carrillo can pitch east to west with electric stuff. He leads with a fastball that sits 94-97 mph and has touched 99 with massive sink and run. He generates that velocity with relative ease and can hold it deep into his outings. His fastball pairs well with his best secondary pitch, a short, firm slider/cutter hybrid going the other direction in the high 80s to low 90s. He also works with a slurvy curveball and a changeup that are clearly behind the fastball and slider. Well below-average control continues to be a nagging issue for Carrillo, and that limits his upside, but there’s hope that improvements still to come in repeating his mechanics and optimizing pitch usage could raise his profile as a potential starter.
  
  The Future: The command issues that persist for Carrillo as he works his way closer to the big leagues make a future in the bullpen increasingly likely. As a member of the Nationals’ 40-man roster and with his fantastic stuff, that future might not be that far away.
  
• July, 2021 Scouting Report
  Carrillo was the Dodgers No. 22 prospect in their midseason rankings. He is an undersized rigthander with a huge arm but very little control. He went 3-2, 4.25 in 15 appearances (14 starts) with Double-A Tulsa this year. He had 70 strikeouts in 59.1 innings, but also 29 walks and 16 hit batters. Carrillo generates huge run and sink on his 94-97 mph fastball and can reach 99. His short, 89-91 mph slider is another swing-and-miss pitch that moves in the opposite direction and he'll flash an average changeup. Carrillo generates his velocity with remarkable ease for his size, but often has no idea where the ball is going from one pitch to the next. He's completed five innings only three times in 14 starts this year and has a habit of looking great for one inning and falling apart the next. Carrillo doesn't have the control to start, but his power stuff should play even better in one-inning stints. If he shows he can throw strikes more consistently in one-inning bursts, he has a chance to be a high-leverage reliever.
• March, 2021 Scouting Report
  TRACK RECORD: Carrillo was a slight righthander with a quick arm when the Dodgers purchased his rights from the Mexican League's Tijuana franchise in 2016. He grew three inches and added 25 pounds after signing and saw a huge uptick in velocity, but also struggled to harness his newfound power. Carrillo spent 2020 at the alternate training site and instructional league and showed enough progress that the Dodgers added him to their 40-man roster after the season.
  
  SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo's stuff is undeniable. His sinker sits 94-97 mph with nearly 16 inches of run and his short, 89-91 mph slider is a swing-and-miss pitch that moves in the opposite direction. He generates his power stuff with remarkable ease and holds his velocity deep into his outings. He also flashes an average changeup with late drop and mixes in a below-average, slurvy curveball. Carrillo's issue is his well below-average control. He often throws strikes one inning and can't find the plate the next. He's still learning to control the tempo of his delivery and be on time with his arm.
  
  THE FUTURE: Carrillo doesn't throw enough strikes to start, but he has the stuff to be power reliever if he can keep the ball over the plate. He'll see Double-A in 2021.
• December, 2020 Scouting Report
  TRACK RECORD: Carrillo was a slight righthander with a quick arm when the Dodgers purchased his rights from the Mexican League's Tijuana franchise in 2016. He grew three inches and added 25 pounds after signing and saw a huge uptick in velocity, but also struggled to harness his newfound power. Carrillo spent 2020 at the alternate training site and instructional league and showed enough progress that the Dodgers added him to their 40-man roster after the season.
  
  SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo's stuff is undeniable. His sinker sits 94-97 mph with nearly 16 inches of run and his short, 89-91 mph slider is a swing-and-miss pitch that moves in the opposite direction. He generates his power stuff with remarkable ease and holds his velocity deep into his outings. He also flashes an average changeup with late drop and mixes in a below-average, slurvy curveball. Carrillo's issue is his well below-average control. He often throws strikes one inning and can't find the plate the next. He's still learning to control the tempo of his delivery and be on time with his arm.
  
  THE FUTURE: Carrillo doesn't throw enough strikes to start, but he has the stuff to be power reliever if he can keep the ball over the plate. He'll see Double-A in 2021.
• July, 2020 Scouting Report
  TRACK RECORD: The Dodgers purchased Carrillo for $75,000 from the Mexican League in 2016. He rapidly filled out to become one of the hardest-throwing pitchers in the Dodgers organization, but he struggled with his control and posted a 5.44 ERA at high Class A Rancho Cucamonga in 2019.
  
  SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo added 25 pounds since signing and saw his two-seam fastball jump from 90-94 mph to 94-98 mph last year. His two-seamer has special potential with its velocity and nearly 16 inches of run, but he has yet to harness his newfound power. He walked 51 batters and hit 17 more in 86 innings in 2019 and has well below-average control, especially to his armside. Carrillo complements his two-seamer with a swing-and-miss low 90s cutter and a potentially average changeup, as well as a below-average curveball. Carrillo shows some feel for pitching, and the Dodgers think he will grow into an average strikethrower in time even with his current wildness.
  
  THE FUTURE: Carrillo is 21 and has time to harness his stuff. He will try to take a step forward in 2020.
• February, 2020 Scouting Report
  TRACK RECORD: The Dodgers purchased Carrillo for $75,000 from the Mexican League in 2016. He rapidly filled out to become one of the hardest-throwing pitchers in the Dodgers organization, but he struggled with his control and posted a 5.44 ERA at high Class A Rancho Cucamonga in 2019.
  
  SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo added 25 pounds since signing and saw his two-seam fastball jump from 90-94 mph to 94-98 mph last year. His two-seamer has special potential with its velocity and nearly 16 inches of run, but he has yet to harness his newfound power. He walked 51 batters and hit 17 more in 86 innings in 2019 and has well below-average control, especially to his armside. Carrillo complements his two-seamer with a swing-and-miss low 90s cutter and a potentially average changeup, as well as a below-average curveball. Carrillo shows some feel for pitching, and the Dodgers think he will grow into an average strikethrower in time even with his current wildness.
  
  THE FUTURE: Carrillo is 21 and has time to harness his stuff. He will try to take a step forward in 2020.