Drafted in the 7th round (227th overall) by the Philadelphia Phillies in 2009 (signed for $900,000).
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Colvin lacks polish and consistency, but he sure looks like a first-rounder when he's on top of his game. He has an extremely quick arm that delivers fastballs up to 94 mph, and there's more velocity remaining in his sculpted 6-foot-4, 190-pound frame. Scouts project that he'll sit at 92-94 mph and touch 96 once he fills out. Colvin's fastball dances and sinks so much that he has trouble controlling it. His No. 2 pitch is a hard curveball with 11-to-5 break that can be unhittable at times. He's still developing feel for his changeup. Colvin stabs in the back of his delivery and throws across his body, so he'll need to clean up his mechanics, which should help with his command. His athleticism--he has average speed and power potential as an outfielder--bodes well for his ability to make the necessary adjustments. Focusing all his efforts on pitching will help too. Colvin came down with blisters at the end of the season, and he topped out at 92 mph in a 11-3 rout at the hands of Byrd High in a Louisiana 5-A first-round playoff game. He has committed to Louisiana State.
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Rated as a sandwich-round talent in the 2009 draft, Colvin dropped to the seventh round because of his strong commitment to Louisiana State but signed for $900,000, considerably more money than any other Phillies draftee in that class. He ranked as Philadephia's top pitching prospect entering the 2011 season, but his development has slowed the last two years. He still has the pure stuff and big body to get back on track, but he struggles with consistency and hasn't allayed concerns about his makeup. Colvin's fastball sits at 90-94 mph with sink, and he throws a power curveball and an average changeup. Fastball command has been his Achilles' heel throughout his career, mostly because he has an inconsistent release point. He has a long arm circle with a hook and wrap in the back, and he throws across his body. Colvin seemed to panic in the rotation last year, and the Phillies tried to clear his mind by letting him work out of the bullpen. Pitching in relief might best suit his delivery and mentality, though he still has starter stuff. He should return to Double-A this year, with his role to be determined.
A sandwich-round talent whose commitment to Louisiana State clouded his signability, Colvin signed for $900,000 as a seventh-rounder in 2009. The No. 3 prospect and top pitcher on this list a year ago, he took a big step backward in 2011. He reported to spring training in poor condition, then struggled to stay healthy with back and groin injuries hampering him throughout the season. His stuff wasn't as sharp and his command wavered. When he's healthy, Colvin's fastball sits at 92-94 mph and peaks at 96 with sink. He shows signs of two above-average secondary offerings, a sharp curveball in the upper 70s and an 83-85 mph changeup. Since he was in high school, he has had a long arm circle with a hook and wrap in the back of his motion. He also throws significantly across his body. When everything was going well, there was little reason to alter Colvin's mechanics, but that's no longer the case. Because of his delivery concerns, some scouts say Colvin is destined for the bullpen. Others think his stuff will rebound and he should remain in the rotation, where he has No. 2 starter upside. He'll likely will return to Clearwater to regain his confidence at the start of 2012.
Though Colvin was considered a sandwich-round talent coming out of high school, his Louisiana State commitment scared teams off. Area scout Mike Stauffer did a good job getting to know Colvin, however, and the Phillies drafted him in the seventh round and signed him for $900,000, by far the most they spent on a 2009 draft pick. He had an 8.40 ERA after seven outings last year, then posted a 2.00 ERA in his final 20 starts, adding velocity along the way. Scouts love Colvin's live arm and strong frame. His fastball sits at 92-94 mph and he can reach back for 97 when needed. He shows signs of two above-average secondary offerings, an upper-70s curveball and an 83-85 mph changeup. His competitiveness helps him maximize his stuff. Philadelphia worked to clean up Colvin's delivery, but it still needs some refinement. He throws across his body from a high three-quarters arm slot and sometimes gets on the side of his curveball. Some scouts have questioned Colvin's makeup--he was arrested on three misdemeanor charges last February--but the Phillies aren't concerned. Colvin has No. 2 starter potential and took a giant step in his first full pro season. He'll open the 2011 season in high Class A but could finish it at Double-A Reading.
Philadelphia paid Colvin considerably more than any of its other 2009 draft picks, signing him for $900,000 in the seventh round. While many clubs were concerned that he couldn't be signed away from a Louisiana State commitment, the Phillies were confident they knew the family well enough to know that he wanted to play pro ball. They landed one of the best fastballs in the draft and one of the best arms in the system. Colvin's fastball touches 96 mph and he could sit at 92-96 mph range eventually as he grows into his lean frame. Like most young pitchers, he'll have to work to clean up his mechanics. He's athletic enough to repeat his delivery, so a small adjustment or two should help him improve his command. He'll also need to harness his breaking ball. While his curveball at times has power and depth, it's inconsistent. His changeup remains in its early phases. Colvin should be able to start his first full pro season in low Class A, but it wouldn't be a surprise if Philadephia held him back in extended spring training and sent him to Williamsport instead.
Minor League Top Prospects
The third strong-armed member of Clearwater's rotation, Colvin's results have yet to match up with his stuff. He has gone just 9-16, 3.96 since signing for $900,000 as a seventh-round pick two years ago. He missed a month after injuring his back in his first start this year and never got untracked. Colvin's repertoire can be impressive, starting with a 90-94 mph fastball that peaks at 95. He gets good arm speed and sink on his changeup but has trouble spotting it. He flashes the ability to spin a quality curveball, though it comes and goes. Colvin is still learning to mix his pitches effectively and gets too predictable with his fastball. He tends to throw across his body, and while the Phillies have tried to straighten him out, he has trouble repeating his altered mechanics. He leaves ball up in the zone too frequently, throwing hittable pitches and not missing bats like someone with his stuff should.
Lakewood had a loaded rotation, with Colvin, Cosart and May all ranking among the SAL's top starting pitching prospects. Observers liked Colvin the best because of his workhorse frame and the way all of his pitches tend to jump just prior to reaching the plate. "He threw three pitches for strikes against us," Haines said. "He has a real durable body with a fastball that sits at 93 to 95. His changeup is good and his breaking ball is a little slurvy, but we're talking about a guy who just turned 20 and has a real good idea of what he's doing on the mound." One scout thought Colvin may profile better as a reliever because he throws across his body, but didn't rule him out as a starter and like the way he rose to the situation late in one outing. Colvin opened the seventh inning by allowing a walk and a double, then responded by hitting 97 mph for the first time all evening and retiring two batters with changeups in 2-1 counts.
Top 100 Rankings
Scouting Reports
Background: A sandwich-round talent whose commitment to Louisiana State clouded his signability, Colvin signed for $900,000 as a seventh-rounder in 2009. The No. 3 prospect and top pitcher on this list a year ago, he took a big step backward in 2011. He reported to spring training in poor condition, then struggled to stay healthy with back and groin injuries hampering him throughout the season. His stuff wasn't as sharp, his command wavered and he struggled to miss bats. Scouting Report: When he's healthy, Colvin's fastball sits at 92-94 mph and peaks at 96 with sink. He shows signs of two above-average secondary offerings, a sharp curveball in the upper 70s and a changeup. Since he was in high school, Colvin has had a long arm circle with a hook and wrap in the back of his motion. He also throws significantly across his body. When everything was going well, there was little reason to alter Colvin's mechanics, but his difficulties in 2011 raised some red flags. The Future: Because of his delivery issues, some scouts say Colvin is destined for the bullpen. Others think his stuff will rebound and he should remain in the rotation, where he has No. 2 starter upside. He'll likely will return to Clearwater to regain his confidence at the start of 2012.
Though Colvin was considered a sandwich-round talent coming out of high school, his Louisiana State commitment scared teams off. Area scout Mike Stauffer did a good job getting to know Colvin, however, and the Phillies drafted him in the seventh round and signed him for $900,000, by far the most they spent on a 2009 draft pick. He had an 8.40 ERA after seven outings last year, then posted a 2.00 ERA in his final 20 starts, adding velocity along the way. Scouts love Colvin's live arm and strong frame. His fastball sits at 92-94 mph and he can reach back for 97 when needed. He shows signs of two above-average secondary offerings, an upper-70s curveball and an 83-85 mph changeup. His competitiveness helps him maximize his stuff. Philadelphia worked to clean up Colvin's delivery, but it still needs some refinement. He throws across his body from a high three-quarters arm slot and sometimes gets on the side of his curveball. Some scouts have questioned Colvin's makeup--he was arrested on three misdemeanor charges last February--but the Phillies aren't concerned. Colvin has No. 2 starter potential and took a giant step in his first full pro season. He'll open the 2011 season in high Class A but could finish it at Double-A Reading.
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