Drafted in the 1st round (24th overall) by the Atlanta Braves in 2006 (signed for $1,375,000).
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One veteran Florida area scout summed up sentiment on Johnson, saying, "I don't know if he can hit or not. One day he's Ryan Howard and the next he's Eddie Pearson," making reference to the White Sox' first round pick in 1992 who never fulfilled his potential. Johnson was the talk of last summer's showcase circuit, picking up MVP award in Marietta, Ga., at Perfect Game wood bat events. He was Aflac's Jackie Robinson Award winner in August, which was around the same time he started to slump. Johnson has a hitch in his swing that hinders his ability to catch up to good fastballs, especially above his hands. His pitch recognition is below-average, as is his defense in the outfield. What makes him intriguing is his plus raw power. He drives balls with loft and carry to all parts of the park, and when he extends his long arms he can really mash. He performed better this spring, but his holes remain glaring. He has above-average arm strength but lacks feel and doesn't take good routes in the outfield. His hands are stiff and he's not fluid at first base, either. He has turned in sub-7.0-second 60-yard dash times, although his times from home to first are typically around 4.2 seconds. Johnson has a good work ethic and age on his side--he doesn't turn 18 until mid-August--but signability could come into play if he isn't drafted in the first two or three rounds. He has committed to Florida State.
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The 30th overall pick in 2006, Johnson signed for $1.375 million and then hit .184 with one homer in his pro debut. He since has led the Appalachian League with 17 homers in 2007, ranked second in the Sally League with 26 in 2008 and topped the Carolina League with 32 last season. No CL hitter had reached the 30-homer plateau since Danny Peoples in 1997. A pure power hitter, Johnson has as much raw strength as anyone in the minor leagues. Nearly half of his hits have gone for extra bases, and he's developing more patience when pitchers refuse to challenge him. A better athlete than he gets credit for, he's a slightly above-average baserunner. Johnson has ranked second in the minors in strikeouts in each of the past two seasons. When he struggles, he starts trying to pull everything, and more advanced pitchers could really exploit his all-or-nothing swing and approach. He's just adequate in left field, where he needs to take better routes and has below-average arm strength and accuracy. Johnson has been a minor league version of Adam Dunn, albeit with significantly fewer walks. His ability to hit for enough average while maintaining his power will determine his future. A full season in Double-A awaits in 2010.
The roller-coaster ride that is Johnson's career continued in 2008. One year after leading the Appalachian League in homers (17), extra-base hits (40) and slugging (.630), the 24th overall pick in 2006 did little more than air-condition ballparks during the first half of last season. He did make some adjustments, improving his selectivity, shortening his swing with two strikes and using the opposite field, and he ended up batting .296/.340/.578 in the second half. Signed for $1.375 million, Johnson possesses a classic slugger mentality and finished second in the South Atlantic League with 26 homers. He lives to record tape-measure shots and is capable of hitting the ball so hard that infielders don't have time to react. He has excellent bat speed and loves the ball up and out over the plate, which allows him to extend his long arms. The biggest question is whether he'll make enough consistent contact at higher levels. He ranked second in the minors with 177 strikeouts last year and has fanned 298 times in 222 pro games. Another concern is his defense in left field. Limited from an athletic standpoint, Johnson has shown some improvement but continues to struggle in taking the correct angles on balls. His arm strength rates as below-average. While several opposing SAL managers labeled him a designated hitter and questioned his attitude and approach to the game, Johnson did make strides with his maturity. The power is undeniable, but the rest of the package remains a work in progress. His next test will come in high Class A in 2009.
Criticism was commonplace a year ago after the Braves' 2006 first-round draft pick struggled mightily in all aspects of the game in his pro debut. Johnson quieted the critics in his second season, however, after brutalizing Appalachian League pitchers and pacing the loop in homers, extra-base hits and slugging percentage. Johnson admits he employs the swing-hard-in-case-you-hit-it strategy, and the result is screaming 2-iron line drives to all fields. He gets good extension with his long arms and drives balls long distances. He has solid-average speed and is an underrated baserunner who takes the extra base and went 7-for-7 stealing bases last summer. No one doubts his power, but Johnson is streaky and some scouts still question how much he'll hit for average at higher levels. He still struggles with pitch recognition and rarely tones down his aggressiveness. His big swing has holes and he doesn't adjust with two strikes. After struggling at first base in his debut, he moved to left field in 2007 and still has a lot of work to do with his routes and throwing accuracy. The Braves realized Johnson was a work in progress when they drafted him and will be patient. They're hoping he'll make more progress this year in low Class A.
It came as a mild surprise when Atlanta drafted Johnson in the first round with the 24th overall pick last June. He made a name for himself on the showcase circuit in the summer of 2005, highlighted by winning MVP honors at a pair of Perfect Game wood-bat tournament in Marietta, Ga. But his performance as a high school senior raised major questions about whether he'll make enough contact to be a productive hitter, and striking out 49 times in 114 pro at-bats did nothing to dispel them. Johnson earned a $1.375 million bonus, the fourth-highest in club history, on the basis of his power potential. He can hit majestic home runs to all fields, particularly when he gets his long arms extended. He struggles with pitch recognition, though, and some scouts are worried about a hitch in his swing. Johnson has solid speed, though he'll slow down as he fills out. And though he runs well, his lack of athleticism limits him defensively. He showed little agility in left field after signing and was a below-average defender at first base as an amateur. The Braves know Johnson is a work in progress and will move him slowly, but they think he has the work ethic and aptitude to make adjustments at the plate. He'll begin 2007 in extended spring training and report to Danville in June.
Minor League Top Prospects
The 30th overall pick in the 2006 draft, Johnson was on pace to establish a SAL record for strikeouts during the first half of the season. He wound up second in the minors with 177 whiffs, but that doesn't tell the story of how much progress he made in the second half. He reduced his strikeout rate from 41 to 34 percent of his at-bats while improving his OPS from .658 to .918. Scouts and manager rave about how hard Johnson hits the ball, as his all-or-nothing swing has produces jaw-dropping blasts. He worked diligently with Rome hitting coach Bobby Moore to use the opposite field and cut down on his swing with two strikes. At the same time, Johnson's defense and arm strength are questionable at best, and many observers doubt his drive. His body language speaks volumes, especially when he becomes frustrated and fails to run balls out. The Braves have emphasized these aspects of the game, and Ingle believes Johnson is beginning to respond. "I've been in professional baseball for 30 years and I've never seen anyone hit the ball as hard as Cody, and that includes Mark McGwire, Jose Canseco and Sammy Sosa," Ingle said. "If the ball is not hit right at an infielder, the defender doesn't have time to react and make the play. He improved as much as anyone in the league, and that includes his defense in left field. He really seemed to understand what it takes to develop and began working hard to move in that direction."
A year ago, Johnson looked like the biggest bust in 2006's first round. Other clubs were surprised when Atlanta made him the 24th overall pick because of his inability to make consistent contact, and those worries were exacerbated when he hit .184 with 49 strikeouts in 32 games in the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League. But the raw power that made Johnson attracted to the Braves came out in force this year. He led the Appy League in homers (17, seven more than his closest competitor), extra-base hits (40) and slugging percentage (.630). He can drive the ball out to all fields. "Every time we face him, it seems like he hits a home run," Greeneville manager Rodney Linares said. "He's full of intangibles and promise. He has a chance to be an impact player in the big leagues."Johnson still strikes out too much, but he did make more contact. His defense is another question, as he was drafted as a first baseman and has moved to left field. His agility and arm strength are below average.
Best Tools List
Rated Best Power Prospect in the Eastern League in 2012
Rated Best Power Hitter in the Atlanta Braves in 2010
Rated Best Power Prospect in the Carolina League in 2009
Rated Best Power Hitter in the Atlanta Braves in 2009
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