Drafted in the 12th round (371st overall) by the Houston Astros in 2002.
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RHP Chance Douglass has a Ben Sheets-like body (6-foot-1, 195 pounds) and like Cox threw very well at the Area Code Games. He's had a shoulder problem this spring, so his velocity has fluctuated from 84 to 94 mph. He doesn't have much of a breaking ball, and he'll be tough to sign away from Rice.
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Douglass signed for an above-slot $225,000 as a 12th-rounder in 2002, then did little to justify the bonus in his first three pro seasons. He broke through by leading the Carolina League in ERA in 2005, then was a solid starter on Corpus Christi's championship team. He won both his Texas League playoff starts, striking out 19 in 12 innings. Douglass is a lesser version of Chris Sampson, relying on command of average stuff. He now has the best changeup in the system after refining it over the last two years. He sits at 87-88 mph and tops out at 92 mph with his sinker, and he also mixes in a curveball and slider. Both of his breaking balls have their moments. Douglass does a good job of throwing strikes and working inside, but he sometimes catches too much of the plate. He needs to improve his conditioning and athleticism. Douglass has a ceiling as a workhorse back-of-the-rotation starter, and he'll work toward that goal in Triple-A this year.
It's difficult to sway high school players from a commitment to Rice, but the Astros did that with Douglass after taking him in the 12th round in 2002 and giving him a bonus of $225,000. He did little to justify that bonus in his first three pro seasons, spending two years in Rookie ball before getting torched in low Class A. Douglass broke through in 2005, however, leading the Carolina League in innings and ERA while earning the organization's Salem MVP award. He relies on command and sink. Douglass throws his two-seam fastball in the low 90s and locates it well in the strike zone. He throws two breaking balls, and his slider has some crispness at times. He'd be better off relying on the slider and relegating his curveball to a show pitch. His changeup is below-average now, but it's improving and has good downward movement at times. He's intelligent and a tough competitor. With a strong frame and an easy delivery, he can hold his stuff through games. Projected as a No. 4 or 5 starter, Douglass will advance to Double-A this year.
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Rated Best Control in the Texas League in 2007
Rated Best Changeup in the Houston Astros in 2007
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