Drafted in the 1st round (12th overall) by the Milwaukee Brewers in 2001 (signed for $2,075,000).
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Jones climbed to the top of the list of the nation's high school prospects last summer when he wowed scouts at the major high school showcases. He showed superior athletic ability, loose arm action, excellent mechanics, tremendous makeup, above-average velocity and life on his fastball. He still has those qualities but didn't make advances in other parts of his game as scouts hoped he might. He still lacks a quality second pitch. He throws a curve but gets under it too much, resulting in a flat, slurvy plane. He also showed little progress on a changeup. It's nothing that advanced instruction won't correct. Even Jones' signature fastball, which he threw at 94-97 mph last year, dipped to as low as 91 on occasion. Jones had stiffness in his shoulder this spring and made a series of starts 10 days apart to ease the strain. He wasn't impressive in his final start of the year, a loss. Jones is an accomplished power hitter and played shortstop for his high school team when he didn't pitch. He would be a high-round pick as a position player, too, but it's clearly as a pitcher that he commands high first-round attention. Some scouts say he's no sure thing and point to Matt White, who received a $10.2 million bonus as a can't-miss prospect in 1996. White had a lot of the same traits as Jones--and still hasn't thrown a pitch in the big leagues.
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Entering 2003, Jones was the top pitching prospect in the organization and ranked among the best in baseball. But following an outstanding beginning to his season in Double-A, he was shut down for the entire second half of '03 with an ailing elbow. Returning to action last year, Jones overcompensated for the elbow and developed a lesion on the labrum in his shoulder. After surgery, he'll miss all of the 2005 season. The 12th overall pick in 2001 and recipient of a $2.075 million bonus, Jones didn't look like a breakdown candidate coming out of high school. He operated with textbook mechanics, but they deteriorated after he turned pro. Whether Jones recovers his lively low- to mid-90s fastball and sharp-breaking curveball remains to be seen. He still needs to refine his changeup and control when he returns. His work ethic and maturity will be tested with a long rehabilitation program.
Jones was pushed to Double-A despite not turning 20 until a month into the season. He was performing up to expectations, making the midseason Southern League all-star team, until a lingering elbow problem prompted the Brewers to shut him down and monitor his health closely. When healthy, Jones throws a fastball in the low to mid-90s. He also has a tough curveball that he delivers from a three-quarters angle. Beyond his fluid delivery and athletic ability, Jones has impressed Brewers officials with his work ethic and poise. Scouts loved the ease with which Jones threw the ball in high school, but he fought his mechanics at times in 2003 as his strikeout-walk ratio declined. His changeup is decent but not completely deceptive. He sometimes gets too cute and gives hitters too much credit instead of just trusting his stuff, which is plenty good. There has been disagreement regarding the severity of Jones' elbow injury, and some feared he was headed for Tommy John surgery. But the Brewers said he would be OK with rest and rehabilitation, and late in the winter doctors diagnosed only a strained elbow ligament. A second opinion by Angels orthopedic specialist Lewis Yocum confirmed the diagnosis. Jones still will be closely watched when he reports to spring training, but the Brewers were hopeful he could open the season at Triple-A Indianapolis.
Of all the stats Jones compiled in his first full pro season, one stands out: 27. That's the number of starts he made at Beloit. Nagging shoulder problems and a reduction in velocity caused some clubs to shy away from Jones early in the 2001 draft, but the Brewers rolled the dice and could be rewarded with a top-of-the-rotation starter. Though he probably could have blown Midwest League hitters away with a low-90s fastball that touches 96 mph, Jones followed orders and worked hard to improve his curveball, which he releases from a three-quarters arm angle. Besides velocity, his fastball also has life to both sides of the plate. Scouts love his stuff, fluid delivery and athletic ability, but Milwaukee may be most pleased by his makeup. He competes intensely, shows good poise on the mound and works hard between starts. After the season, Jones went to instructional league to work on his changeup. If it improves as much as his curve, he'll move up the system quickly. He's still refining his command as well. Jones will spend this year in high Class A. The Brewers hope he'll eventually help form an impressive front three in their big league rotation with Ben Sheets and Nick Neugebauer.
The Brewers were thrilled when Jones was still on the board when the 12th overall pick came around in the 2001 draft. He was expected to go higher, but concerns about shoulder problems and diminished velocity in his senior year made some teams back off. Milwaukee didn't hesitate and projects him as a bona fide No. 1 starter. The Brewers love three things above all else about Jones: his large frame, his blazing fastball and his smooth delivery. It isn't easy to find high school pitchers so mechanically sound, or who can throw 93-94 mph with ease. Beyond that, he has demonstrated considerable poise and focus on the mound. Jones was a multisport athlete and talented basketball player who played shortstop when he didn't pitch in high school. Because Jones can blow away hitters with his fastball, he hasn't always concentrated on improving his curveball and changeup. If he continues to work on his breaking ball, there's every reason to think he could move quickly through the system. He was ranked as the top prospect in the Rookie-level Pioneer League and is probably ready to take on Class A in 2002. He's still a teenager but is mature for his age.
Minor League Top Prospects
Once considered a possible No. 1 overall pick in the run-up to the 2001 draft, Jones went 12th overall. He was throwing fastballs with radar-gun readings that nearly matched the Arizona desert heat back then, but didn't show that kind of velocity with the Stars this summer. He pitching more in the 90-92 mph range before a sprained elbow ligament ended his season after 17 starts. Jones was consistent in spotting his fastball and showed an excellent approach considering his age and experience. Kremblas said the key to Jones' early success was throwing quality strikes and improving his curveball to an above-average offering. His changeup still needs work. The biggest question now is his health. He felt tenderness in the elbow in September while attempting to get ready for the Arizona Fall League, and surgery remains a possibility in the offseason.
Jones had one of the liveliest arms in the MWL. Using a smooth delivery, he delivered 91-96 mph fastballs that seemed to explode out of his hand. He gets life on his fastball toward both sides of the plate, throws it on a good downward plane and learned to spot it better in the second half of the season. He made a number of improvements after the league all-star break, allowing more than three earned runs just once in 15 starts. Jones also starting snapping his curveball better and continued to make progress with his changeup. His fastball remained his strength, and one scout said that pitch alone would make him a solid No. 3 starter.
Jones emerged as the overwhelming choice as the Pioneer League's top prospect. One manager described him as a smaller version of Andy Benes, while nearly everyone thought he has the potential to develop into a No. 1 or 2 starter. The 12th overall pick in June, Jones displayed tremendous poise for a pitcher taken out of high school. Managers liked his arm action, as well as his tall frame and lean body. His fastball explodes on the way to the plate, residing in the 92-95 mph range and reaching as high as 97. "He's like many major league pitchers in that the last six or seven feet of his fastball really jumps," Casper manager P.J. Carey said. "He has an easy arm, a great body and a tremendous mound demeanor for a young kid." The key to Jones' long-term success will be the development of his second and third pitches. His curveball looked good at times but remained flat on other occasions. His changeup is no better than average.
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