Chase Davis Stats & Scouting Report

AB	113
AVG	.301
OBP	.388
SLG	.451
HR	3

Full name Chase Davis
Born 12/05/2001 in Sacramento, CA
Profile Ht.: 6'1" / Wt.: 216 / Bats: L / Throws: L
School Arizona
Drafted in the 1st round (21st overall) by the St. Louis Cardinals in 2023 (signed for $3,618,200).

View Draft Report

School: Arizona Source: 4YR

Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 21.6
BA Grade:55/Extreme
Tools:Hit: 50. Power: 60. Run: 55. Field: 55. Arm: 70.

Davis was a toolshed prospect coming out of high school who boasted standout physicality and athleticism as well as plus arm strength and raw power potential. He was one of the highest-ranked players to make it to campus, but didn’t play everyday with Arizona until 2022, when he slashed .289/.414/.583 with 18 home runs. That led to a Team USA trials roster invitation following the season. Davis is a chiseled, 6-foot-1, 216-pound outfielder who has big-time raw power thanks to impressive bat speed and strength. Prior to the 2023 season, that power came with real swing-and-miss questions. He had just a 68% contact rate in the first two seasons of his career, but course-corrected in a sensational 2023 season where he hit .362/.489/.742 with 21 home runs, a career-low 14.4% strikeout rate and an overall contact rate that surged to 80%. Davis didn’t sacrifice any power to get there either, with all-fields power and the same loud exit velocities he normally produces. Davis’ increased contact ability has amplified his offensive profile, which already started with a strong feel for the zone and plus raw power. Davis has mostly played left field for Arizona, and he’s an above-average runner who should be a solid defender in a corner. He has one of the better throwing arms in the class, a 70-grade cannon capable of halting runners in their tracks, and profiles nicely in right field in pro ball. Davis remains a divisive prospect, perhaps given his history of contact questions, but at the high end he’s viewed as a mid-first round talent.

Top Rankings

Organization Prospect Rankings

BA Grade/Risk: 50/High.

Track Record: Davis was a highly touted recruit when he reached campus at Arizona. After a breakout sophomore campaign, he reached new heights as a junior, hitting .362/.489/.742 to earn Pacific-12 all-conference honors. The Cardinals drafted Davis with the 21st pick in 2023, signing him for $3.62 million. He debuted with Low-A Palm Beach in his draft year, appearing in 34 games. To begin 2024, Davis returned to Palm Beach, seeing 74 games before earning a promotion to High-A and later Double-A.

Scouting Report: Davis is an enigmatic player defined by his inconsistencies. The Cardinals made some tweaks to his swing, including implementing an open stance and toned-down leg kick. It took time for Davis to adjust to the changes, and he struggled by hitting .184/.281/.291 over his first 38 games of 2024. But from June 1 onward, Davis hit .288/.384/.483 while cutting his strikeout rate from 29% to 21%. Davis shows fringe-average bat-to-ball skills and above-average swing decisions. He’s an excellent fastball hitter and handles velocity especially well, hitting .305 against fastballs 94 mph or harder in 2024. Davis does damage against breaking pitches, as well, slugging .492 against sliders and curveballs. He struggles with sizable holes down and in and high and away due to his steep, uppercut swing path. Still, Davis shows above-average raw power and can get the ball in the air, giving him potential to grow into a 25-plus home run threat. An average runner, Davis is not a basestealer, but he is an average defender in an outfield corner where his plus arm plays.

The Future: Davis has the tools to be an average regular, but concerns around his hitting ability give him some risk. If he hits, he has the upside of an above-average corner outfielder with power.

Scouting Grades Hit: 45 | Power: 55 | Run: 50 | Fielding: 50 | Arm: 60
BA Grade: 55/Extreme

Track Record: Davis was a touted amateur dating back to his days as a Sacramento area prep. He lost his senior high school season to the pandemic and made it to campus at Arizona, where he hit .362/.489/.742 as a junior to earn All-Pacific-12 Conference honors and inclusion on the Golden Spikes Award watch list. The Cardinals drafted Davis with the 21st overall pick in 2023 and signed him for $3.62 million. He debuted with Low-A Palm Beach.

Scouting Report: Davis has a big league body, which includes an athletic build with strength throughout his frame. His bat-to-ball skills have come a long way in the last few years and now project as average. Davis’ approach has always been advanced and he shows a discerning eye at the plate with the ability to draw walks at a high rate. He struggled to hit lefthanders in his pro debut, but it’s uncertain how much of that was simply the product of a small sample. While his college splits favored righthanders, Davis had solid production in left-on-left matchups while at Arizona. His power didn’t show with Palm Beach, leading to some concerns of it translating with a wood bat. In college, Davis showed plus power backed by strong exit velocity numbers. His overall EV data and power production was down in his pro debut. He’s an average runner who will show above-average run times. He’s an average fielder in an outfield corner capable of making a highlight reel play from time to time. His throwing arm is plus and plays in either outfield corner and should keep baserunners honest.

The Future: Davis is a strong all-around player who will look to prove he can hit professional pitching in his first full season. He projects as an everyday corner outfielder with a chance to grow into an above-average hitter if his recent contact gains prove to be legitimate.

Scouting Grades Hit: 50 | Power: 55 | Run: 50 | Field: 50 | Arm: 60

Draft Prospects

School: Arizona Source: 4YR

Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 21.6
BA Grade:55/Extreme
Tools:Hit: 50. Power: 60. Run: 55. Field: 55. Arm: 70.

Davis was a toolshed prospect coming out of high school who boasted standout physicality and athleticism as well as plus arm strength and raw power potential. He was one of the highest-ranked players to make it to campus, but didn’t play everyday with Arizona until 2022, when he slashed .289/.414/.583 with 18 home runs. That led to a Team USA trials roster invitation following the season. Davis is a chiseled, 6-foot-1, 216-pound outfielder who has big-time raw power thanks to impressive bat speed and strength. Prior to the 2023 season, that power came with real swing-and-miss questions. He had just a 68% contact rate in the first two seasons of his career, but course-corrected in a sensational 2023 season where he hit .362/.489/.742 with 21 home runs, a career-low 14.4% strikeout rate and an overall contact rate that surged to 80%. Davis didn’t sacrifice any power to get there either, with all-fields power and the same loud exit velocities he normally produces. Davis’ increased contact ability has amplified his offensive profile, which already started with a strong feel for the zone and plus raw power. Davis has mostly played left field for Arizona, and he’s an above-average runner who should be a solid defender in a corner. He has one of the better throwing arms in the class, a 70-grade cannon capable of halting runners in their tracks, and profiles nicely in right field in pro ball. Davis remains a divisive prospect, perhaps given his history of contact questions, but at the high end he’s viewed as a mid-first round talent.
A toolsy, physical outfielder out of Northern California, Davis has a strong 6-foot-1, 210-pound frame, impressive bat speed, raw power and a big arm. Davis is the type of athlete who jumps off the field quickly in a showcase environment thanks to his tool set. He recorded a 99 mph throw from the outfield at Perfect Game’s National showcase at the start of the summer, and scouting departments voted Davis as the second-best outfield arm in the 2020 class. Additionally, he can show impressive raw power in batter practice. The Arizona commit has also shown the ability to get to his tools during games. He was particularly impressive last fall in Jupiter, where he hit a home run, two triples and a double in six games, showing solid contact and the ability to drive the ball in a game setting. Davis’ swing can get a bit long, which can hurt him, as does his ability to pick up and recognize offspeed offerings. When he stays within himself and times up pitchers, however, he does a lot of damage. Some scouts have given him 70-grade bat speed and love how long he keeps the barrel in the zone. Mechanically, he can get himself into poor positions with a deep, tight bat wrap, but when he launches for contact his bat path is direct with natural loft that helps him get to his above-average power. Defensively, Davis needs continued refinement, but he’s a solid enough runner to develop into at least an average defender in a corner with more than enough arm to fit in right field. Davis has an impressive work ethic and loves to get in the gym, as his physique suggests.