Tying It All Together: Top 30 Graduated Prospects In 2022
Image credit: (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
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- Top 10 West Division Prospect Graduates With Updated BA Grades
The offseason is prospect season.
Over the course of three issues in November, December and January, Baseball America publishes Top 10 Prospects rankings for all 30 organizations.
This year we added something new. We ranked the top overall graduated prospects from last year’s Top 10s.
Players are ranked by updated end-of-season BA Grade, which gauges each player’s realistic upside on the 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is average. A Risk assessment deducts points—10 for High, five for Medium and none for Low—to determine each prospect’s Tier.
In the vast majority of cases, these graduated prospects were also top 2022 rookies—but not always. Players retain rookie status as long as they don’t exceed 130 at-bats, 50 innings or 45 days on an active MLB roster in a season or seasons. But sometimes rookie pitchers exceed 45 days without surpassing 50 innings.
So in this BA ranking, which was developed by the BA editorial staff, you will find three pitchers—Brewers lefthander Aaron Ashby and relievers Camilo Doval of the Giants and Andres Muñoz of the Mariners—who we classified as prospect eligible in 2022 even though they were not eligible for Rookie of the Year awards.
Rk | Player | Pos | Org | 2023 Age | BA Grade | Risk | Tier | Upside Role |
1 | Julio Rodriguez | CF | Mariners | 22 | 75 | Low | 75 | Franchise CF |
2 | Adley Rutschman | C | Orioles | 25 | 75 | Low | 75 | Franchise C |
3 | Michael Harris | OF | Braves | 22 | 65 | Low | 65 | All-star CF |
4 | George Kirby | RHP | Mariners | 25 | 70 | Medium | 65 | No. 2 starter |
5 | Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | Royals | 23 | 65 | Medium | 60 | All-star SS |
6 | Spencer Strider | RHP | Braves | 24 | 65 | Medium | 60 | No. 2 or 3 starter |
7 | Nick Lodolo | LHP | Reds | 25 | 60 | Medium | 55 | No. 3 starter |
8 | Riley Greene | OF | Tigers | 22 | 60 | Medium | 55 | First-division CF |
9 | Reid Detmers | LHP | Angels | 23 | 55 | Low | 55 | No. 3 or 4 starter |
10 | Jeremy Peña | SS | Astros | 25 | 60 | Medium | 55 | First-division SS |
11 | Oneil Cruz | SS | Pirates | 24 | 60 | Medium | 55 | First-division SS |
12 | Steven Kwan | LF | Guardians | 25 | 55 | Low | 55 | First-division LF |
13 | Andres Muñoz | RP | Mariners | 24 | 55 | Low | 55 | All-star closer |
14 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | Royals | 25 | 55 | Low | 55 | First-division 1B |
15 | Jhoan Duran | RP | Twins | 25 | 55 | Low | 55 | All-star closer |
16 | CJ Abrams | SS | Nationals | 22 | 55 | Medium | 50 | Regular SS |
17 | Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Braves | 22 | 55 | Medium | 50 | Regular 2B |
18 | Bryson Stott | SS | Phillies | 25 | 50 | Low | 50 | Regular 2B |
19 | Brayan Bello | RHP | Red Sox | 24 | 60 | High | 50 | No. 3 or 4 starter |
20 | Aaron Ashby | LHP | Brewers | 25 | 55 | Medium | 50 | No. 3 or 4 starter |
21 | Hunter Greene | RHP | Reds | 23 | 55 | Medium | 50 | No. 3 or 4 starter |
22 | Joe Ryan | RHP | Twins | 27 | 50 | Low | 50 | No. 4 starter |
23 | Edward Cabrera | RHP | Marlins | 25 | 55 | Medium | 50 | No. 3 or 4 starter |
24 | Camilo Doval | RP | Giants | 25 | 50 | Low | 50 | First-division closer |
25 | Nolan Gorman | 2B | Cardinals | 23 | 55 | High | 45 | Regular 2B |
26 | Brendan Donovan | 2B | Cardinals | 26 | 45 | Low | 45 | Multi-position UT |
27 | Matt Brash | RP | Mariners | 25 | 50 | Medium | 45 | First-division RP |
28 | Felix Bautista | RP | Orioles | 28 | 50 | Medium | 45 | First-division closer |
29 | Spencer Torkelson | 1B | Tigers | 23 | 55 | High | 45 | Regular 1B |
30 | MacKenzie Gore | LHP | Nationals | 24 | 50 | Medium | 45 | No. 4 or 5 starter |
Honorable Mention: Ten more names at the 45 tier are listed here in alphabetical order: Roansy Contreras, RHP, Pirates; Ezequiel Duran, 3B, Rangers; Shea Langeliers, C, Athletics; Michael Massey, 2B, Royals; Jose Miranda, 1B, Twins; MJ Melendez, C, Royals; Lars Nootbaar, RF, Cardinals; Keibert Ruiz, C, Nationals; Robert Suarez, RP, Padres; and Alek Thomas, CF, D-backs. Note: Nootbaar and Ruiz were not rookie eligible in 2022
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