RoboScout Top MLB Prospects At Every Level On June 16, 2024
Welcome to a very special Father’s Day Edition of RoboScout, where the robotic one honors the likes of Cool Papa Bell, Big Daddy Rick Reuschel, Ronald Acuña Sr. and Bossman Upton.
We’ve got nearly two weeks of DSL goodness. RoboScout has its optical sensors on a few new names–spoiler alert: a lot of Brewers–and has some Statcast data to help inform the ranks.
Please note this week’s data is only through Thursday’s games.
Let’s get to it.
As a reminder, the RoboScore is the value (0 to 100) assigned per level by RoboScout based on 2024 statistical performance and projecting fantasy value (without considering defensive position or ability). The RoboCast number is the RoboScore but with statcast blended in and then transformed to the 0 to 100 scale.
Dominican Summer League Hitters (min 15 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Jose Anderson | MIL | 100 | 100 |
2 | Luis Pena | MIL | 91 | 88 |
3 | Jaset Martinez | CIN | 81 | 85 |
4 | Richard Matic | NYY | 84 | 84 |
5 | Angel Guzman | SFG | 76 | 84 |
6 | Yolfran Castillo | TEX | 72 | 83 |
7 | Eduardo Rojas | LAD | 75 | 82 |
8 | Moises Bolivar | BOS | 76 | 82 |
9 | Deinys Gonzalez | TBR | 80 | 82 |
10 | Yeiferth Castillo | CLE | 68 | 82 |
11 | Ashly Andujar | COL | 85 | 82 |
12 | Jesus Made | MIL | 71 | 81 |
13 | Justin Gonzales | BOS | 70 | 81 |
14 | Adriander Mejia | BAL | 64 | 79 |
15 | Cesar Lugo | CHC | 69 | 79 |
16 | Alirio Ferrebus | PHI | 71 | 79 |
17 | Raily Liriano | ARI | 64 | 77 |
18 | Iverson Allen | PIT | 83 | 77 |
19 | Elvin Garcia | BAL | 69 | 77 |
20 | Javier Acevedo | PIT | 65 | 76 |
Brewers prospect Jose Anderson’s four home runs are tied with Giants 18-year-old Angel Guzman for the DSL lead. Baseball America’s Ben Badler identified Anderson as a sleeper in Milwaukee’s 2024 international review. He noted Anderson’s good hit tool and emerging power. Well, the power has apparently arrived. The (current) center fielder has a barrel rate over 30% and a 90th percentile exit velocity that is plus for the league. The only concern we’re seeing right now is a chase rate over 30%. So far, that hasn’t hurt his production. There’s a very large gap between Anderson and the rest of the DSL class.
Brewers prospect Luis Pena is the second name on the list. Pena signed for $800,000 as a shortstop, but will likely slide over to third base. His 90th percentile exit velocity and contact rate are higher than Anderson’s and he’s also chipped in a league-leading 15 steals. However, he has only one home run this year.
If he had one more plate appearance, 16-year-old catcher Kevin Garcia–another Brewer–would have been in the top three on account of his three home runs in only 14 appearances. Unlike the other two names above, Garcia has a contact rate well below-average. Be prudent before bidding on his preposterous early-season dinger output.
I’d target Anderson, Pena, and last week’s callout Richard Matic (Yankees) in my ‘lottery ticket’ dynasty slot this week.
Complex League Hitters (min 30 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Eduardo Quintero | LAD | 95 | 100 |
2 | Robert Calaz | COL | 96 | 98 |
3 | Starlyn Caba | PHI | 93 | 97 |
4 | Dameury Pena | MIN | 93 | 97 |
5 | Yeremi Cabrera | TEX | 100 | 96 |
6 | Brailer Guerrero | TBR | 87 | 93 |
7 | Yoeilin Cespedes | BOS | 91 | 93 |
8 | Pablo Guerrero | TEX | 97 | 92 |
9 | Larry Martinez | TBR | 84 | 91 |
10 | Edgleen Perez | NYY | 79 | 90 |
11 | Julio Zayas | NYM | 83 | 90 |
12 | Jeremy Rodriguez | NYM | 96 | 90 |
13 | Eric Bitonti | MIL | 86 | 89 |
14 | Lisbel Diaz | SFG | 87 | 88 |
15 | Franyerber Montilla | DET | 77 | 87 |
16 | Alexander Albertus | LAD | 75 | 87 |
17 | Aroon Escobar | PHI | 78 | 86 |
18 | Andruw Musett | BOS | 73 | 86 |
19 | Jhonny Severino | PIT | 77 | 85 |
20 | Franklin Arias | BOS | 74 | 85 |
21 | Luis Parababire | ATL | 73 | 84 |
22 | Bryan Acuna | MIN | 76 | 84 |
23 | Eduardo Tait | PHI | 88 | 83 |
24 | Junior Garcia | ATL | 81 | 83 |
25 | Walker Jenkins | MIN | 69 | 83 |
Robert Calaz (Rockies) and Yeremi Cabrera (Rangers) started off scaldingly hot. RoboScout, though, exercised caution because both had contact rates below 63%–a huge red flag. Over the last three weeks, however, both players have produced much more palatable contact rates around 75%. Their season-long rates are now 67%, which is essentially average for the Complex League. Great in-season work from the outfielders to improve the bat-to-ball.
Any of the top seven hitters should be rostered in leagues that have up to 150 prospects.
Complex League Pitchers (min 10 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Trevor Harrison | TBR | 95 | 100 |
2 | Christian Zazueta | LAD | 87 | 93 |
3 | Jesus Palacios | BAL | 91 | 93 |
4 | Sean Linan | LAD | 91 | 93 |
5 | Hayden Robinson | MIL | 94 | 92 |
6 | Jacob Bresnahan | CLE | 98 | 92 |
7 | Keyner Benitez | MIA | 100 | 91 |
8 | Ovis Portes | BOS | 84 | 91 |
9 | Luis Arestigueta | ATL | 84 | 90 |
10 | Rafael Gonzalez | HOU | 84 | 89 |
11 | Yeferson Vargas | BOS | 82 | 89 |
12 | Alix Hernandez | SFG | 84 | 89 |
13 | Adrian Herrera | CIN | 82 | 89 |
14 | Samuel Sanchez | LAD | 86 | 87 |
15 | Adrian Bohorquez | MIN | 85 | 86 |
16 | Jogly Garcia | CLE | 80 | 85 |
17 | Nelfy Ynfante | STL | 87 | 85 |
18 | Jordarlin Mendoza | NYY | 74 | 82 |
19 | Enniel Cortez | MIL | 86 | 82 |
20 | Jeremy Reyes | ATL | 78 | 81 |
21 | Luis Morellis | CIN | 81 | 80 |
22 | Jeremy Pilon | TBR | 82 | 80 |
23 | Irving Cota | NYM | 84 | 79 |
24 | Engel Daniel Peralta | HOU | 79 | 79 |
25 | Melkis Hernandez | CLE | 84 | 79 |
Brewers righty Hayden Robinson is one of the younger pitchers in the Complex League at 18 years old, but he has a 37% strikeout rate, a 1.12 WHIP and a 20% swinging strike rate. He’s another Brewers pitcher with extreme extension, joining Jacob Misiorowski and Bishop Letson. Although his four-seamer only sits 89 mph, it approaches hitters as if it were 2 mph faster because of his seven feet of extension. Robinson also throws an 80 mph slider and a 79 mph changeup. Both generate over 45% whiffs and elicit above-average chases.
Guardians lefthander Jacob Bresnahan ranks No. 6 on the strength of his 34% strikeout-minus-walk rate. His stuff isn’t particularly compelling. Bresnahan has a 91 mph four-seam fastball, an 84 mph slider and a changeup. As you might imagine from his 4% walk rate and 30% ball rate, the 2023 13th-round pick pounds the strike zone with great control.
If you’re getting “Tugboat” vibes–as in a lefty with stuff that doesn’t light up contemporary models, yet has excellent success–the comparison isn’t quite apt. Matt Wilkinson delivers his arsenal from a low slot with high extension, and gets over 10 inches of horizontal run on all four of his pitches. Bresnahan isn’t an outlier with any of those same metrics. We’ve seen what the Guardians pitching factory is capable of producing over the last few years. We’re interested to see how this plays out.
Low-A Hitters (min 50 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Lazaro Montes | SEA | 100 | 100 |
2 | Colt Emerson | SEA | 84 | 90 |
3 | Jeral Perez | LAD | 78 | 89 |
4 | Kevin McGonigle | DET | 74 | 87 |
5 | Jonny Farmelo | SEA | 74 | 85 |
6 | Michael Arroyo | SEA | 82 | 84 |
7 | Ralphy Velazquez | CLE | 74 | 84 |
8 | Jaison Chourio | CLE | 68 | 81 |
9 | Blake Mitchell | KCR | 71 | 81 |
10 | Jesus Baez | NYM | 70 | 79 |
11 | Josue De Paula | LAD | 63 | 78 |
12 | Zyhir Hope | LAD | 63 | 78 |
13 | Yophery Rodriguez | MIL | 72 | 78 |
14 | Angel Genao | CLE | 62 | 77 |
15 | Bryce Eldridge | SFG | 65 | 76 |
16 | Aidan Smith | SEA | 72 | 76 |
17 | Josue Briceno | DET | 60 | 75 |
18 | Max Clark | DET | 60 | 74 |
19 | Leandro Arias | BAL | 55 | 73 |
20 | Cooper Pratt | MIL | 65 | 71 |
21 | Tai Peete | SEA | 63 | 71 |
22 | Alfredo Duno | CIN | 70 | 71 |
23 | Axiel Plaz | PIT | 69 | 71 |
24 | Aidan Miller | PHI | 58 | 70 |
25 | Sammy Stafura | CIN | 60 | 69 |
Mariners shortstop Michael Arroyo is quietly excelling among the Modesto Nuts’ embarrassment of riches. The 19-year-old has hit in the top three of the lineup all season, and he has a 134 wRC+. He has really turned it on over the last six weeks, leading Low-A in home runs with eight to tie teammate Lazaro Montes. Arroyo also chipped in five steals. Interestingly, Arroyo’s Statcast data maps quite closely to the more highly-regarded Montes despite considerably less fanfare.
Contact% | IZ Cont% | 90th EV | Chase% | Barrel% | Hard% | |
Montes | 73% | 77% | 104 mph | 23% | 16% | 34% |
Arroyo | 72% | 79% | 103 mph | 24% | 16% | 36% |
The second baseman is flashing 30-homer potential. He’s a Top 100 fantasy prospect for me.
Reds shortstop Sammy Stafura had a 149 wRC+ in his first 60 plate appearances after being promoted to full-season ball on May 27. That includes one home run, two stolen bases and a sub-20% strikeout rate as a teenager. The second-rounder had a maximum exit velocity of 102 mph in his pro debut of 53 plate appearances last year. He has already hit seven balls harder than that this year, although most came in the Complex League. Stafura has also vastly improved his contact from to league-average (71%) while maintaining above-average swing decisions and barrel rates.
Low-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Matt Wilkinson (no longer in Low-A) | CLE | 100 | 100 |
2 | Jonah Tong (no longer in Low-A) | NYM | 91 | 98 |
3 | Quinn Mathews (no longer in Low-A) | STL | 84 | 96 |
4 | Santiago Suarez | TBR | 80 | 93 |
5 | Alejandro Rosario | TEX | 81 | 92 |
6 | Grant Taylor | CHW | 75 | 90 |
7 | George Klassen (no longer in Low-A) | PHI | 77 | 89 |
8 | Yujanyer Herrera (no longer in Low-A) | MIL | 82 | 86 |
9 | Didier Fuentes | ATL | 73 | 85 |
10 | Jarlin Susana | WSN | 69 | 83 |
11 | Bishop Letson | MIL | 68 | 82 |
12 | Thomas White | MIA | 69 | 81 |
13 | Jose Gonzalez | TEX | 69 | 79 |
14 | Eliazar Dishmey | MIA | 63 | 78 |
15 | Jace Kaminska | COL | 71 | 78 |
16 | Kohl Drake | TEX | 76 | 78 |
17 | Travis Sykora | WSN | 70 | 77 |
18 | Noble Meyer | MIA | 64 | 77 |
19 | Mavis Graves | PHI | 79 | 77 |
20 | Welinton Herrera | COL | 64 | 77 |
21 | Tyler Gough | SEA | 60 | 77 |
22 | Luis Serna | NYY | 75 | 76 |
23 | Gary Gill Hill | TBR | 72 | 75 |
24 | Luis De Leon (no longer in Low-A) | BAL | 71 | 73 |
25 | Jedixson Paez | BOS | 75 | 75 |
Injury has befallen another top pitching prospect. Grant Taylor (White Sox) was placed on the injured list with a lat injury. There is no timeline for his return. The White Sox may not rush to bring him back considering he is returning from Tommy John surgery.
Yankees righty Luis Serna was a RoboScout favorite in 2022. He posted a 32% strikeout rate as a 17-year-old complex leaguer that year. He took a step back repeating the level last year. He threw 19.1 innings, posting a lower strikeout rate and higher walk rate compared to 2022. This year, the 19-year-old righty has a 0.80 WHIP and 2.37 ERA with a worm-burning 57% groundball rate over his previous six Low-A starts. He’s showing flashes of the potential starter we dreamt about two years ago.
Serna’s fastball sits 92 mph with over 14 inches of IVB and horizontal break on his fastballs, which helps set up his primary pitch, a changeup, to get above-average whiffs and chases. Serna has a high floor given his ability to keep batted balls on the ground. Just don’t expect much more than back-of-the-rotation upside.
Padres righthander Isaiah Lowe is outside the season-long Low-A rankings, but has pitched quite well over the last six weeks. Lowe has a 34% strikeout rate, a 1.17 WHIP and a 3.10 ERA over the last six weeks. Under the hood, his pitch mix is more intriguing than the results might suggest. His high-spin 80 mph slider has over 13 inches of horizontal sweep and generates 35% chases and over 40% whiffs. His four-seamer is 92 mph, but plays up because of his seven-foot extension and has topped out at 97 mph. Lowe also has a potentially average changeup. The over-slot 11th-rounder is showing flashes of a back-of-the-rotation starter.
Mariners righthander Tyler Gough lights up Stuff models. But the results haven’t followed until recently. In his last seven starts for Low-A Modesto, Gough averaged over five innings with a 2.25 ERA and a 26% strikeout rate. His three-pitch mix is highlighted by a low-90s fastball with 20 inches of IVB, a 79 mph slider with over 16 inches of horizontal sweep and a 78 mph changeup that generates over 45% whiffs and elicits over 35% swings out of the zone.
High-A Hitters (min 50 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Xavier Isaac | TBR | 100 | 100 |
2 | Luke Keaschall (no longer in High-A) | MIN | 95 | 100 |
3 | Carter Jensen | KCR | 94 | 97 |
4 | Sal Stewart | CIN | 85 | 90 |
5 | Luke Adams | MIL | 84 | 88 |
6 | Samuel Zavala | CHW | 83 | 87 |
7 | Henry Bolte | OAK | 83 | 86 |
8 | Sebastian Walcott | TEX | 94 | 85 |
9 | Alex Freeland (no longer in High-A) | LAD | 78 | 85 |
10 | Cam Collier | CIN | 81 | 82 |
11 | Yohendrick Pinango (no longer in High-A) | CHC | 73 | 81 |
12 | Mike Boeve (no longer in High-A) | MIL | 73 | 80 |
13 | Jefferson Rojas | CHC | 74 | 80 |
14 | Charles McAdoo | PIT | 72 | 79 |
15 | Jared Serna | NYY | 72 | 78 |
16 | Jesus Rodriguez | NYY | 70 | 77 |
17 | Ethan Salas | SDP | 79 | 77 |
18 | C.J. Kayfus | CLE | 71 | 76 |
19 | Thayron Liranzo | LAD | 72 | 76 |
20 | Brayden Taylor | TBR | 74 | 76 |
21 | Brice Matthews | HOU | 67 | 74 |
22 | Kristian Campbell | BOS | 67 | 74 |
23 | Hector Rodriguez | CIN | 68 | 74 |
24 | Joe Mack (no longer in High-A) | MIA | 73 | 74 |
25 | William Bergolla | PHI | 79 | 74 |
After a much-maligned start to the season, Rangers No. 2 prospect Sebastian Walcott now has a 103 wRC+ and a 120 wRC+ in the last six weeks spanning 125 plate appearances.
After his first 84 plate appearances in his first full professional season produced a moribund 82 wRC+ with only one home run, Mac Horvath (Orioles) has turned his season around with five home runs, 11 stolen bases and a 132 wRC+ in his last 120 plate appearances. The No. 53 overall pick hasn’t quite made the season-long High-A RoboScout ranks yet. The robot feels he “should” be excelling as a college hitter in High-A. But the (primarily) third baseman has maintained his tantalizing power/speed blend. He’s also improved his contact rate to 79%—a plus rate for the level—with even better numbers against non-fastballs.
Rays first baseman Tre’ Morgan is another player crushing it, even if he hasn’t quite cracked the season-long High-A rankings. Morgan had a 238 wRC+ and two homers in his first 56 plate appearances following his promotion from Low-A Charleston. Although he’s a low-power first baseman, RoboScout still has the LSU alumnus as an above-average major league bat who should manage 15 to 20 home runs at peak, with above-average swing decisions and above-average contact. The damage on contact isn’t impactful yet. He also hits the ball into the ground a bit too much. But Morgan produces against all pitch types and adds a speed component, raising his fantasy floor. He should be rostered in leagues with at least 350 prospects.
High-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Noah Schultz | CHW | 86 | 100 |
2 | Matt Wilkinson | CLE | 100 | 99 |
3 | Luis Perales (no longer in High-A) | BOS | 84 | 97 |
4 | Quinn Mathews | STL | 87 | 97 |
5 | Owen Murphy | ATL | 86 | 97 |
6 | Jaden Hamm | DET | 88 | 91 |
7 | Zebby Matthews (no longer in High-A) | MIN | 78 | 91 |
8 | Chase Dollander | COL | 77 | 90 |
9 | K.C. Hunt | MIL | 86 | 89 |
10 | Jonah Tong | NYM | 82 | 88 |
11 | Alessandro Ercolani | PIT | 69 | 83 |
12 | Winston Santos | TEX | 73 | 83 |
13 | Sean Sullivan | COL | 84 | 82 |
14 | Moises Chace | BAL | 67 | 81 |
15 | Edgar Portes | BAL | 67 | 81 |
16 | Austin Peterson | CLE | 75 | 80 |
17 | Yujanyer Herrera | MIL | 77 | 80 |
18 | Owen Wild | TBR | 74 | 79 |
19 | Trevor Martin | TBR | 76 | 79 |
20 | Nolan McLean (no longer in High-A) | NYM | 65 | 79 |
21 | Jake Bloss (no longer in High-A) | HOU | 66 | 78 |
22 | Joseph Montalvo | TEX | 69 | 77 |
23 | Ryan Lobus | TEX | 66 | 76 |
24 | Andrew Morris (no longer in High-A) | MIN | 73 | 75 |
25 | Andry Lara (no longer in High-A) | WSN | 77 | 75 |
Rays righty Owen Wild checks in at No. 18 this week. In his age-21 season, Wild has averaged over five innings in his last four starts with a 30% strikeout-minus-walk rate. With over six and a half feet of extension, his ultra-flat 91 mph four-seam fastball with 20 inches of IVB plays up even more. Wild’s 83 mph bullet slider generates above-average chases, and he also throws a firm changeup that flashes above-average. He is already filled out, so it’ll be interesting to see whether he can add more velocity and continue to build on his in-season development and actualize as a back-of-the-rotation starter.
For the first time I can remember, I think all eight pitchers on the High-A list should be rostered in dynasty leagues up to 150 prospects. However, recent injuries to Luis Perales (Red Sox) and Owen Murphy (Braves) muddy the water.
Double-A Hitters (min 40 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Emmanuel Rodriguez | MIN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Luke Keaschall | MIN | 90 | 94 |
3 | Agustin Ramirez | NYY | 90 | 94 |
4 | Moises Ballesteros | CHC | 85 | 88 |
5 | Cole Young | SEA | 87 | 88 |
6 | Roman Anthony | BOS | 81 | 87 |
7 | Matthew Lugo | BOS | 80 | 84 |
8 | Carson Williams | TBR | 85 | 83 |
9 | Alex Freeland | LAD | 75 | 82 |
10 | Samuel Basallo | BAL | 82 | 80 |
11 | Hao-Yu Lee | DET | 79 | 79 |
12 | Edgar Quero | CHW | 74 | 78 |
13 | Harry Ford | SEA | 76 | 77 |
14 | Deyvison De Los Santos (no longer in Double-A) | ARI | 84 | 77 |
15 | Colby Thomas | OAK | 71 | 77 |
16 | Jett Williams | NYM | 69 | 76 |
17 | James Triantos | CHC | 69 | 75 |
18 | Dalton Rushing | LAD | 66 | 75 |
19 | Kristian Campbell | BOS | 66 | 74 |
20 | Tyler Locklear | SEA | 67 | 73 |
21 | Yohendrick Pinango | CHC | 62 | 72 |
22 | Marcelo Mayer | BOS | 66 | 71 |
23 | Jasson Dominguez | NYY | 65 | 71 |
24 | Jacob Wilson | OAK | 68 | 70 |
25 | Adael Amador | COL | 63 | 68 |
Guardians infielder Nate Furman never quite cracked the High-A top 25 this season. Still, Furman earned a promotion to Double-A Akron after posting a 216 wRC+, six home runs and five steals under 100 plate appearances for High-A Lake County. The 2022 fourth-rounder’s calling card out of the draft was his ability to get on base by any means necessary. He would then wreak havoc with his plus speed. The 5-foot-8 infielder is fulfilling that role in 2024.
Furman continues to make above-average swing decisions and plus contact. Now, he is making more damage on impact. He’s raised his xwOBAcon from .290 in 2023 to .357 this year and added six mph to his 90th percentile exit velocity to bring it up to a more acceptable 101 mph. Although he hasn’t hit any home runs yet in his first seven games in Double-A, keep in mind that the transition from Lake County (HR park factor of 182 for lefties) to Akron (HR park factor of 83) is extreme. He should be an average MLB bat with league-average power and speed. That’s a top 200 fantasy prospect. RoboScout would feel a lot better if he could trim his groundball rate.
Cubs outfielder Yohendrick Pinango hasn’t carried his High-A performance to Double-A Tennessee. RoboScout isn’t ready to tag him as a High-A wonder. Under the hood, Pinango has maintained a plus contact rate of 77%, a league-average chase rate of 27% and above-average bat speed. Yes, his barrel rate has fallen from his lofty 20% mark at South Bend to a merely league-average 14% in Tennessee, but those numbers are in the same Statcast cluster as Dylan Crews. In other words, RoboScout cautions not to write Pinango off just yet.
Baseball America ranks 21-year-old White Sox catcher Edgar Quero No. 90 in the Top 100. Still, it feels like he’s having a quiet year in terms of national discourse. Nothing could be further from the truth. The switch-hitting backstop has a 145 wRC+ and 10 home runs in 230 plate appearances. Remember, his park suppresses home runs 20% more than average. According to RoboScout, he is the fourth-best catching prospect in Double-A. He ranks ahead of Harry Ford (Mariners) and Dalton Rushing (Dodgers). Quero should unquestionably be considered a top-100 fantasy prospect, even with the “catcher” discount.
Double-A Pitchers (min 13 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Nolan McLean | NYM | 87 | 90 |
3 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | 89 | 87 |
4 | Tink Hence | STL | 94 | 86 |
5 | Chandler Champlain (no longer in Double-A) | KCR | 93 | 83 |
6 | Ben Casparius (no longer in Double-A) | LAD | 78 | 81 |
7 | Blade Tidwell (no longer in Double-A) | NYM | 76 | 81 |
8 | Brandon Young | BAL | 87 | 80 |
9 | Thomas Harrington | PIT | 80 | 78 |
10 | Carson Palmquist | COL | 78 | 78 |
11 | Zach Penrod | BOS | 85 | 78 |
12 | Yilber Diaz | ARI | 81 | 78 |
13 | Jackson Jobe | DET | 72 | 77 |
14 | Brandon Sproat | NYM | 78 | 77 |
15 | Kyle McGowin | CHC | 80 | 77 |
16 | Ian Seymour | TBR | 85 | 76 |
17 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD | 74 | 76 |
18 | Rhett Lowder | CIN | 81 | 76 |
19 | Ty Madden (no longer in Double-A) | DET | 81 | 75 |
20 | Mason Barnett | KCR | 79 | 75 |
21 | Mason Adams | CHW | 84 | 74 |
22 | Caden Dana | LAA | 78 | 74 |
23 | Tyler Stuart | NYM | 74 | 74 |
24 | Tyler Woessner (no longer in Double-A) | MIL | 90 | 74 |
25 | Cameron Weston | BAL | 75 | 73 |
We called attention to Pirates righty Braxton Ashcraft in these hallowed pages last week. The Pirates promptly promoted him to Triple-A Indianapolis. If he continues on this path, Ashcraft might see the big leagues by August. He’s a top-150 fantasy prospect for me.
Cardinals righty Ian Bedell piqued RoboScout’s interest this week. Bedell has a 32% strikeout rate, a 6% walk rate and a sub-1.00 WHIP in his last six starts. Although the righthander has a five-pitch mix, he’s predominantly a fastball/slider pitcher. His 93 mph four-seamer has over a foot of IVB and a foot of tail. His 83 mph bullet slider gets over 40% whiffs and over 35% chases. Bedell bridges the two with a cutter he throws about 10% of the time and generates extremely weak contact. A back-of-the-rotation starter role seemed like his ceiling in May. Now, that’s looking more likely.
Triple-A Hitters (min 50 PA)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | James Wood | WSN | 100 | 100 |
2 | Jose Fermin | STL | 88 | 92 |
3 | Jackson Holliday | BAL | 89 | 88 |
4 | Coby Mayo | BAL | 81 | 86 |
5 | Miguel Vargas | LAD | 79 | 84 |
6 | Kyle Manzardo | CLE | 77 | 84 |
7 | Andy Pages | LAD | 74 | 78 |
8 | Tyler Black | MIL | 70 | 75 |
9 | Jace Jung | DET | 73 | 74 |
10 | Heston Kjerstad | BAL | 69 | 74 |
11 | Johnathan Rodriguez | CLE | 66 | 72 |
12 | Chase Meidroth | BOS | 64 | 72 |
13 | Adrian Del Castillo | ARI | 63 | 71 |
14 | Heliot Ramos | SFG | 62 | 71 |
15 | Junior Caminero | TBR | 69 | 71 |
16 | Deyvison De Los Santos | ARI | 79 | 70 |
17 | Jordan Beck | COL | 64 | 70 |
18 | Spencer Horwitz | TOR | 60 | 70 |
19 | Parker Meadows | DET | 66 | 70 |
20 | Javier Sanoja | MIA | 64 | 70 |
21 | Jonatan Clase | SEA | 67 | 70 |
22 | Ji Hwan Bae | PIT | 64 | 69 |
23 | Juan Brito | CLE | 65 | 69 |
24 | Isaac Collins | MIL | 58 | 69 |
25 | Luis Matos | SFG | 58 | 69 |
Jhonkensy Noel has the second-most home runs of any Triple-A hitter since May 5 behind only Griffin Conine (Marlins). An old friend of the robot, Noel has 10 homers in his last 143 plate appearances. Surprisingly he’s still only in his age-22 season. The first baseman/left fielder has the fifth-highest 90th percentile exit velocity among Triple-A hitters. He pairs that with an average contact rate.
That production plus his age–he’s a month shy of his 23rd birthday–implies that Noel should become an above-average MLB hitter capable of 25 homers per season. The bad news? The Dominican slugger has a chase rate above 40%. Can massive power with average bat-to-ball skills–but with an extreme preponderance to chase–play at the big-league level? Tentatively…yes (see, Christian Encarnacion-Strand). But this likely leads to a career profile of a slugger who will have a volatile major league career.
Triple-A Pitchers (min 15 IP)
Rank | Name | Team | Robo | RoboCast |
1 | Paul Skenes | PIT | 100 | 100 |
2 | Christian Scott | NYM | 99 | 98 |
3 | Cade Povich | BAL | 88 | 79 |
4 | David Festa | MIN | 83 | 79 |
5 | Carson Spiers | CIN | 74 | 77 |
6 | Tobias Myers | MIL | 73 | 77 |
7 | Chayce McDermott | BAL | 75 | 77 |
8 | Jack Leiter | TEX | 73 | 77 |
9 | Slade Cecconi | ARI | 82 | 77 |
10 | Elieser Hernandez | LAD | 73 | 75 |
11 | Matt Manning | DET | 72 | 74 |
12 | Chad Patrick | MIL | 73 | 73 |
13 | Alek Manoah | TOR | 75 | 73 |
14 | Louie Varland | MIN | 76 | 73 |
15 | Will Warren | NYY | 68 | 72 |
16 | Cristian Mena | ARI | 78 | 72 |
17 | Gerson Garabito | TEX | 73 | 72 |
18 | Mason Black | SFG | 68 | 72 |
19 | Quinn Priester | PIT | 82 | 71 |
20 | Albert Suarez | BAL | 74 | 71 |
21 | Chandler Champlain | KCR | 78 | 71 |
22 | Brant Hurter | DET | 70 | 70 |
23 | Osvaldo Bido | OAK | 72 | 70 |
24 | Ben Casparius | LAD | 64 | 70 |
25 | AJ Smith-Shawver | ATL | 69 | 69 |
Reds righty Carson Spiers made his big league debut and has thrown 19.1 innings in 2024 for Cincinnati. Don’t be surprised to see him become a fixture in the Reds starting rotation in the second half. In his last three starts, the 26-year-old righthander has a 27% strikeout minus walk rate with a 0.83 WHIP and 1.00 ERA. His five-pitch mix has generated a groundball rate over 50%. Spiers is likely not on many redraft radars. He could be a sneaky add as a flier who could contribute this year.
Happy bidding!